Posted on 03/30/2016 10:18:38 AM PDT by Antoninus
Latest MU Law poll in Wisconsin GOP primary (change from last):
Cruz 40 (+21)
Trump 30 (0)
Kasich 21 (+13)
Kasich will cost Cruz delegates.
— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) March 30, 2016
Ted is he worst POS in the world. If you can’t see that, you should be asahmed.
Trump will win Wisconsin by 7 points.He has the union vote, and the endorsement of the Wisconsin Border Authority.
The polls do not account for all the NEW voters that Trump turns out.
Go Donald!
Another fan for Hillary for Prez I see.
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Obviously. Anyone correcting a Trump supporter’s misinformation with actual data is a Hillary supporter.
“Ted is he worst POS in the world. If you can’t see that, you should be ashamed.”
I’m “asahmed” of nothing. Sorry to disappoint.
The other day Trump was siding with the WI public sector unions against Walker.>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
An d thats why Trump will win. He takles democrats and turns them into Republicans, while all you Cruz reporters get out your stakes, holy water and garlic as if there is a vampire in the midst of the GOP.
Buahahahahahahaha! There is no pure conservative ideologue
candidate, they all make whatever connections they can to win the majority vote.
I hope Trump beats Cruz like a drum.I want a populist president.
Yeah, the Open Borders prick is helping Cruz. Funny how all the Open Borders pricks rally around Cruz.
WI is an open primary state which is Trump’s biggest advantage. I bet they haven’t polled democrats and independents. Expect a lot of dem crossovers to vote for Trump.
I am curious if your analysis includes the cross over voters, which seem to be the margin that is giving trump victories in the states he is winning.
I ask as it seems that the “moderate” fellows I work with that would vote for Trump on his populist stances will not vote for Cruz. Not sure why but it seems the so called Reagan democrats that like Trump will not vote Cruz. Not quite sure why, all I can say is his negatives are very high, at least in eastern PA where I live. The supposed affairs have not helped, in fact I would say so far the entire issue has hurt Cruz more than Trump, but it is too early to say one way or another, especially if it comes out that Trump did paly dirty on this.
I do think most regular republicans will end up voting in September for the Republican candidate. That said most of the married women I know seem to think Cruz did have the 2 of the 5 affairs based on what has come out so far and his reaction. If this is true across the country, then it is likely that if Cruz can keep Trump from the magic number, the safest strategy for the republicans in a new candidate, not Sir Ted.
The one positive Cruz has established is he would fight Hillary like no other candidate, he has shown that with how he has taken the fight to Trump. Not sure if any other third candidate could say that, so Cruz might be the guy to go with if trump cannot reach the magic number.
We live in interesting times.
Your rationale is reasonable, but there are two other factors in play.
The delegates will find it easier to vote for Cruz than for Trump because they recognize Cruz as a Republican -- an insurgent Republican, perhaps, but a Republican nonetheless.
The same cannot be said for Trump...
Further, there is ample polling evidence that Cruz can beat Hillary, while Trump may not. Many of these delegates are office-holders themselves and would be concerned about the down-ballot impact of a Trump candidacy.
Accordingly, it's a reasonable projection to say that Trump can win on the first ballot...but, if he doesn't, the candidate will likely be Cruz.
Coming clean: I'm a Cruz supporter, but would vote for Trump if he's the candidate (with serious apprehension).
Well see the poll is in relation to the primary. Forecasting under 500 respondents and 5.8 Margin is a very poor poll.
Results for the Republican primary are based on 471 likely voters who say they are certain they will vote in the Republican primary in April. That sample has a margin of error of +/-5.8 percentage points.
“Can I vote for a sanctimonious twit telling us about copulation and rats?”
Wasn’t that something? I really am becoming convinced the bastard is deranged...seriously.
My bad. 471 voters and 5.8 MOE. Whatever ‘likely’ means.
Still pretty junk, IMO.
I guess we’ll see in a little under a week...
Trump collapse starts Tuesday!
Obviously. Anyone correcting a Trump supporter’s misinformation with actual data is a Hillary supporter.
==
How’s this for misinformation.
Good try Cruz operative, but here are the undeniable facts.
Trump v Cruz head-to-head actual primary election results for the 3 purple states which are must wins,
|——————Trump v Cruz -——— Trump v Cruz ———— Margin -——|
Ohio ............. 700,464 - 259,694 ... 35.87% - 13.30% ..... +440,770 Trump
Florida ........ 1,079,741 - 404,804 ... 45.72% - 17.14% ..... +647,937 Trump
Virginia ......... 355,961 - 173,191 ... 34.73% - 16.90% ..... +182720 Trump
The facts say, Cruz can’t win FL,OH, or VA. He has to win all of them; therefore a vote for Cruz is a vote for Hillary.
Ted Cruz won Zero Counties in Florida , Ohio and Virginia
Less than 20% of the Vote
Lose with Cruz
Has Ted Cruz broken 20% in an open primary yet?
Scott Walker’s 2010 gub opponent trashed him and his RINO ways and Neumann got 38% in a 3-way primary. That was a question of being electable statewide in Wisconsin which is not the case with Trump/Cruz where both lose but Trump will win Michigan.
The RINO Showdown is about to happen: Tommy Thompsons is claiming Cruz buddies are paying off Walker’s debt.
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