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Reuters poll: Half of US women have “very unfavorable” view of Trump
Hotair ^ | 03/17/2016 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 03/17/2016 8:35:07 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

If this poll accurately reflects the US electorate, get ready for the mother of all gender gaps (so to speak) in November if Donald Trump wins the Republican presidential nomination. The frontrunner has a major problem with women, according to this Reuters-Ipsos poll conducted over the first half of March, and it has gotten worse rather than better over the last six months. Half of all women have a “very unfavorable” view of Trump, in an election that could pit him against the first female major-party nominee:

Real estate billionaire Donald Trump’s coarse rhetoric has won him some fans, but there’s at least one large group in America that is increasingly unimpressed: women.

Half of U.S. women say they have a “very unfavorable” view of the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling, up from the 40 percent who felt that way in October. The survey was taken from March 1-15, and included 5,400 respondents.

The rise in anti-Trump sentiment among women could pose a problem for the New York billionaire in his quest for the White House. Women form just over half of the U.S. population, and they have turned out at higher rates than men in every election since 1996, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

“If the presidential election were tomorrow, women would be a big problem for Trump,” Republican strategist David Carney said. “But he has time to fix it.”

In head-to-head polling, Reuters puts the gender gap between Trump and Hillary Clinton into double digits:

If the GOP frontrunner were to run against Democratic hopeful Hillary Clinton in the general election, likely women voters would support Clinton over Trump by nearly 14 percentage points, according to the March polling data. Among men, Clinton would win by about 5 percentage points.

I asked Reuters for a statement on methodology, and they provided this:

Margin of error: The credibility interval for our polls on women who give Trump the lowest level of favorability – aka “very unfavorable” – is 1.9 percentage points in March and 1.6 percentage points in October.

Sample sizes and dates: The March poll included 3,477 responses from March 1 to March 15. The October poll included 5,093 responses from Oct. 1 to Oct. 31.

It’s an interesting result, especially since the same polling data for Reuters’ national tracking poll suggests that Trump does better among women at the moment than his Republican rivals in the GOP primaries, at least. Filtering down to March 1-15 and selecting women only across all political affiliations, a third of 1,997 respondents support Trump for the GOP nomination, while only 16% support Ted Cruz. Nearly 30% wouldn’t vote at all. When narrowed further to only Republican and independent voters (1,632 respondents), Trump gets 39%, Cruz gets 18.3%, and 18.9% wouldn’t vote at all. (Note that this poll included Marco Rubio and Ben Carson for at least part of the period.)

Even without the gender gap, Trump has major favorability issues in Reuters’ tracking polls. Once again filtering for those who participated in 2012, 39.5% of respondents view him very unfavorably, 6.9% somewhat unfavorably, and another 9.2% lean toward unfavorable, for a total unfavorability of 55.6%. He gets only 18.2% for “very favorable,” with a total favorability of 44.4%.

However, when it comes to the head-to-head matchup, the tracking poll shows Trump a distant second to Hillary, 41.1/34, with a quarter of respondents declaring that they’ll skip the election altogether. That narrows slightly when filtering out all those who didn’t vote for either Barack Obama or Mitt Romney in 2012, but Hillary still leads 46.2/39.7, and 14% of those who voted in 2012 say they won’t be back in 2016. Among men who voted in 2012, Hillary only has a slight edge, 44/43.5, but among women who voted in 2012, it expands to 48.5/35.8.

Don’t forget that the gender gap in 2012 was much narrower. Women made up 53% of the electorate and broke 55/44 for Obama, while men went for Romney 52/45 for a net gap of -4 for the GOP. Right now, we’d be looking at a net gap of -13.2 among those who voted in 2012. That has the makings of a disaster for Republicans in November if it doesn’t change, one that could roll well down the ballot.

There is certainly time to fix this, and head-to-head polling is still somewhat fraught at this stage with other emotional baggage from the primaries. Also, Reuters does not have similar data readily available to compare Trump against Ted Cruz or John Kasich, which makes it a little tough to argue on a data basis that either would substantially improve the GOP’s chances in the fall. However, this is still a big red flag for Republicans, especially given that they will likely face off against a woman at the top of the opposing ticket.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: New York; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 3wives; 3woves; 4bankruptcies; 66percentnegative; alreuters; edmorrissey; election2016; hotair; newyork; poll; reuters; trump; trumpbaggage; unelectable; unitedkingdom; women
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To: PrairieLady2

Every woman I know voted for Trump. Republican women will vote for Trump and Dem women will vote for Hillary. The independents who knows? It won’t matter because Trump will get 20-25% of the black vote.


101 posted on 03/17/2016 10:35:12 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: austinaero

Women are driven by compulsive impulses and are loyal to their emotional pleasures, not to reason or logic. They are the weakest link, therefore susceptible to dark forces. When you liberate and emancipate women from natural roles and moral restraints, when you erode the authority and protective responsibility of father figures, you’re empowering the metaphysical forces that manipulate women. The corruption of our society is evidence to these phenomenon. I am not bashing women when I flush their emotional heroine down the toilet.


102 posted on 03/17/2016 10:36:54 AM PDT by conservativeimage (I won't go underground. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wema3CNqzvg)
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To: dsc

List source, page by page, save it, run it through a little program doodad, spot check/select/edit. :’) Thanks for asking!


103 posted on 03/17/2016 10:40:15 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Funny how the media doesn’t discuss Hillary’s problem with male voters. I did a quick Google. First result that popped up was for a Quinnipiac Poll in Oct. of last year, where Hillary’s negatives with men were over 70%. I doubt they’ve gotten any better as the campaign has gone on.


104 posted on 03/17/2016 11:02:16 AM PDT by LNV
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To: SeekAndFind

I always wonder who they target in these polls.

My mother, aunt, sister or myself would never vote for Hillary. Sure we would all love to see a woman president one day if the right candidate presents herself, but she is clearly not the right person for the job. The women overwhelmingly have or will be voting Trump in my family and it mainly comes down to jobs. Women care about jobs too.


105 posted on 03/17/2016 11:02:16 AM PDT by michelala
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To: SamAdams76

Or, if he runs against Hillary, he needs to make sure that Hillary’s role in the destruction of the lives of the women that her husband assaulted is widely publicized. It is not like he will be running against Mother Theresa.


106 posted on 03/17/2016 11:08:05 AM PDT by jospehm20
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To: SeekAndFind; All

A wise elderly Latina told me she wasn’t very fond of Donald Trump, with his brash pompous style.

But then she admitted to me that she liked some of what he stands for and that maybe his style is what America needs at this time and proceeded to vote for Trump.

CGato


107 posted on 03/17/2016 11:11:30 AM PDT by Conservative Gato
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To: SunkenCiv

So, do you save as HTML, or do you save the source code in Word or some other format?

And does your program run batches of pages, or do you have to run each one and combine?

Finally, if I may, is your doodad proprietary or open source?


108 posted on 03/17/2016 11:51:57 AM PDT by dsc (Any attempt to move a government to the left is a crime against humanity.)
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To: SeekAndFind

These women only see the ads. Wait ‘til they see Trump up close and personal.

In August,I thought he was a douche.

Now, I’d have his baby.


109 posted on 03/17/2016 12:03:59 PM PDT by GeaugaRepublican ("Which State Could Cruz win in General that Romney didn't carry in 2012?" Cruz has a math problem)
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To: SeekAndFind

Doesn’t mean they will not vote for the Donald!

Hillary is a recognized liar and criminal - endangering top state secrets and ligning her pockets and the Clinton foundation with millions of dollars in exchange for favors.


110 posted on 03/17/2016 12:21:25 PM PDT by Gumdrop
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump can make sure they hate Hillary equally or more.


111 posted on 03/17/2016 12:35:06 PM PDT by Maelstorm (America wasn't founded with the battle cry "Give me Liberty or cut me a government check!".)
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To: SeekAndFind

I wonder if the so-called gender-gap will decreas when Hillary is indicted? Or will they still adore her?


112 posted on 03/17/2016 12:38:24 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Same ones that got The Manchurian Candidate elected Twice!!!..


113 posted on 03/17/2016 12:39:38 PM PDT by MGunny
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To: SeekAndFind

Those hating Trump are the dykes/lesbians, women libbers and maggot infested IT consultants depending on cheap foreign IT workers, and they were voting for Hill. So there is no change.

Real women will vote for Trump to protect themselves, their sons and daughters and grandkids from the illegals the above are bringing into America to rape and kill innocent Americans


114 posted on 03/17/2016 12:51:03 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (I am just another low info/stupid and evil Trumpill supporter wanting to select my candidate!)
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To: SeekAndFind

“...Half of all women have a “very unfavorable” view of Trump, in an election that could pit him against the first female major-party nominee...”

Well, half the electorate are democrats. So it stands to reason...


115 posted on 03/17/2016 12:55:44 PM PDT by jaydee770
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To: grumpygresh
So an apologist and staunch defender of a serial sexual predator has a higher rating?

Also, her husband apparently was a friend George Wallace as well as his role model, Fullbright the Senate racist from Arkansas.

Old buddies, Bubba Clintoon, Bush senior and George Wallace.


116 posted on 03/17/2016 1:00:52 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (I am just another low info/stupid and evil Trumpill supporter wanting to select my candidate!)
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To: jennychase

You sound like my SIL’s and voting nieces!

This woman is for Trump.

Caitlin Jenner is against Trump.


117 posted on 03/17/2016 1:06:23 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (I am just another low info/stupid and evil Trumpill supporter wanting to select my candidate!)
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To: Toespi

Your take matches my experience. A lot of right wing women don’t like him but will darn sure vote for him if he is the nominee. Heck I don’t like him and I am a dude. But if he is our guy then he gets my vote.


118 posted on 03/17/2016 1:06:41 PM PDT by TalonDJ
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To: adc
Expect MegYn MeAgainto continue this and pump it up all next week. . .she actually started last week.


119 posted on 03/17/2016 1:08:41 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (I am just another low info/stupid and evil Trumpill supporter wanting to select my candidate!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Women, Beauty, Voting and Tyranny!
http://youtu.be/0MejkH61o_U


120 posted on 03/17/2016 1:40:54 PM PDT by Fitzy_888 ("ownership society")
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