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Donald Trump’s Amazingly Incredible YUGE Day In Overwhelming Statistics
The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 2-23-2016 | sundance

Posted on 02/23/2016 4:15:27 PM PST by smoothsailing

Pundits call this the “Big Mo“, meaning Big Momentum… unless, of course, they are describing it in relationship to Donald Trump. With anti-Trump media, momentum becomes an inconvenient reality to be ignored; because in the 2016 presidential election cycle MSM define winning as who comes next closest to third place…. or something.

Rasmussen Polling and Tracking shows Donald Trump taking a much larger lead than the media are willing to discuss. Trump has picked up another five points since South Carolina:

rasmussen poll

[…] The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Voters finds Trump with 36% support, giving him a 15-point lead over Senator Marco Rubio who earns 21% of the vote. Senator Ted Cruz is in third place with 17%. (Link)

In addition Reuters polling averages completely validate what we previously predicted over a year ago. In a three way race between Trump, Rubio and Cruz, candidate Donald Trump locks up 46%, Ted Cruz 25% and Marco Rubio 24%. (link)

If either Cruz or Rubio drop out, Trump will jump over 60% gaining roughly a third to a half (or more) of the eliminated opponent. So much for the “ceilings” the pundits are so happy to discuss.

This statistical reality is also supported by the Washington Post who outline the change in overall support for Donald Trump if he continues winning, and becomes the nominee.

supporting trump

(link)

Combine all of this data and what you find is in a two person race Donald Trump will command approximately 65% of the vote and the non-Trump (Cruz or Rubio) can only pull themselves to approximately 35%.

In order to shrink the field the state-by-state races are where the battle takes shape. And when you look at the state-by-state current positioning Donald Trump continues to lead in each of the contests:

Georgia Polling Released Today:

Trump 34%
Rubio 22%
Cruz 20%
Kasich 9%
Carson 8%
Undecided 7%
(link)

West Virginia Polling Released Today:

Trump 40%
Cruz 20%
Rubio 15%
Carson 10%
Kasich 6%
(link)

Arizona Polling:

Trump 34.8%
Rubio 22.7%
Cruz 14.1%
Kasich 7.1%
Undecided 21.3%
No data for Carson
(link)

Ohio Polling:

Trump 31%
Kasich 26%
Cruz 21%
Rubio 13%
Carson 5%
(link)

trump vegas

Tonight we begin in Nevada. The Nevada Caucuses begin at 5:00pm PST until 8:00pm PST. With the caucus results most likely coming out until after 11:00pm Eastern it will be a long night of checking the results.

Additionally, it appears the Republican Party of Nevada is anticipating a much larger turnout than previous caucus events.

Shenanigans ?

As will all “caucus elections”, let us hope for the best, but always be prepared for the worst….

trump lion

 



TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; cnsrvtvtreehouse; election2016; nevada; newyork; nuthouse; polls; sundance; trump
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To: smoothsailing
I know the charts make it look bad for Cruz, but remember;

Cruz will ALWAYS have Iowa.

21 posted on 02/23/2016 5:15:08 PM PST by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: smoothsailing

The more the cartel maneuvers to defeat Trump, the more the people outside the cartel migrate to Trump.

The pope boosted Trump 3% by his stupid remarks.

Pushing Jeb out to consolidate the establishment around Rubio pushed Trump up another 2%.

The establishment will continue to do stupid things and try to stay in control, or appear to stay in control. Those things will continue to backfire.


22 posted on 02/23/2016 5:15:17 PM PST by spintreebob
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To: smoothsailing

The first and really only question to ask in politics is: who benefits? Answer that and the “whys” almost always become evident.


23 posted on 02/23/2016 5:17:18 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (Texas deserves better - Greg Abbott for US Senate 2018)
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To: spintreebob
Trump is bringing in so many new voters the Cruz clan here that says they will stay home will not matter. I am sick and tired of them posting they will not vote if Trump is nominee. Fine. No one cares. Go suck your thumbs.
24 posted on 02/23/2016 5:18:32 PM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: TornadoAlley3

I’m so happy you and the tRumpster don’t need my vote to win. Not that you were going to get it anyway but I’m glad that you don’t need it.


25 posted on 02/23/2016 5:23:00 PM PST by beandog (TrumperTantrum)
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To: spintreebob

The establishment is desperate, they can see their gravy train drying up. It will get even crazier before this is all over.


26 posted on 02/23/2016 5:23:21 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: beandog

Glad you are glad. Stay home and cry.


27 posted on 02/23/2016 5:26:14 PM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: beandog

You don’t sound happy. You sound pitiful :(


28 posted on 02/23/2016 5:30:08 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: TornadoAlley3
I support Cruz and prefer him over Trump. If, however, Cruz can't get the nomination (which appears likely) then I will happily support Trump.

Amnesty whore Rubio will never have my support.

29 posted on 02/23/2016 5:30:34 PM PST by Dagnabitt (Islamic Immigration is Treason)
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To: smoothsailing

30 posted on 02/23/2016 5:32:05 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel
Doesn't Acme have anything to stop Trump?


31 posted on 02/23/2016 5:36:47 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: TornadoAlley3

I won’t stay home on Election Day. I will vote for Hillary Clinton if Trump is the nominee as that will then be the conservative choice.


32 posted on 02/23/2016 5:59:06 PM PST by brandon craig
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To: brandon craig

Little doubt you’ll vote for Hillary if Trump is the nominee, most trolls from DU that post here a couple times a year support you...Jerk.


33 posted on 02/23/2016 6:40:20 PM PST by jazusamo (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: brandon craig

Congratulations. That’s the stupidest thing I’ve ever read on FR.


34 posted on 02/23/2016 6:46:40 PM PST by Lucas McCain (Liberalism is the willful embrace of abject stupidity.)
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To: smoothsailing

Trump supporters have to say what that old Yankee dictator Abe Lincoln said about the South, “We should let them up easy.”


35 posted on 02/23/2016 6:51:40 PM PST by theoldmarine (Saved by grace throu gh Faith)
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To: jazusamo

Isn’t it time to change your diaper, you’re stinking up the joint.

Asshat.


36 posted on 02/23/2016 6:52:50 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: brandon craig

I feel sorry for you.


37 posted on 02/23/2016 6:58:19 PM PST by SaraJohnson
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To: theoldmarine

The anti-Trumpers can’t be placated, they’re in denial and that’s going to last for a while. Let them stew in their own juices.


38 posted on 02/23/2016 6:58:37 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Bump


39 posted on 02/23/2016 6:58:41 PM PST by gibsosa
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To: Lucas McCain

Almost every position Trump has espoused over the years, has been leftist. Only a naive fool would think he has suddenly changed his philosophy.

Hillary Clinton with a Congress controlled by the GOP would essentially mean gridlock which is a far more conservative position than an activist, liberal Trump presidency.

A Trump nomination is the death of conservatism in the Republican Party. Better to lose in 2016 and regroup than be completely extinct.

Perhaps you can intelligently refute what I’ve written instead of throwing out Trump like insults.


40 posted on 02/23/2016 7:03:49 PM PST by brandon craig
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