Posted on 02/20/2016 10:25:38 PM PST by JediJones
Fox News has been spinning the false narrative that South Carolina was "tailor-made" for Ted Cruz and saying "if he can't win there, where else can he win?" This is a COMPLETELY MADE-UP FALSE NARRATIVE. It was never a favorable state for Cruz. It was a state where Santorum finished a distant third four years ago, behind more secular candidates Gingrich and Romney. While Cruz does have a real but mostly still untapped potential to appeal to secular voters, the Faux narrative that evangelicals made South Carolina a very favorable state for Cruz is JUST WRONG.
South Carolina went for the most "tough-talking" candidate last time with Gingrich and again this time with Trump. Establishment Romney came in 2nd last time just as Rubio did this time. The conservatives in this state seem to like aggression in a candidate above all else. There also appears to be a solid establishment streak in the state.
To put Trump's victory in perspective, he got a lower vote total in SC than Gingrich got and a much lower percentage. Cruz and Rubio both performed about as well as Romney and well above Santorum.
Cruz continues to have a path forward to victory because the other Southern states just don't have the same profile as South Carolina. Santorum won most of the other Southern states last time just like he won Iowa, despite getting trounced in South Carolina much worse than Cruz did. These upcoming states are therefore much more favorable ground for Cruz. If Cruz can win Santorum's states, he can perhaps gain the momentum to flip some other states Santorum lost (hopefully not wasting any more time in the Romney/Trump home field advantage northeastern states).
For now Cruz is stuck in the "social conservative" lane, a lane which NEVER included South Carolina as fertile ground. This is the lane he needs to perform well in as he works on broadening his base to include national security conservatives, economic conservatives and people who just have faith he can beat the Democrat.
Below is a list of all the states voting in March and how they would vote if they followed the basic pattern Romney and Santorum experienced. While I haven't tried to count all the delegates they will be handing out, I am seeing 13 Trump states and 16 Cruz states (plus maybe Puerto Rico for amnesty pimp Rubio). For us to see a clear winner in March, either Cruz or Trump will probably need to flip some of these states from their opponent's predicted column into theirs.
Now that is funny, I must say.
Now THAT is funny. I’m not sure who Kelly is currently getting her make-up & hairstyling advice from now...but I’m sure not impressed with the “make over”.
Why would they do that? Plenty of Cruz supporters who were once optimistic about Trump as their second choice have now soured on him. Seeing their candidate bashed repeatedly will do that. Some of Cruz's supporters will look to Rubio in the primaries if Cruz drops out, or will simply stay home in November, rather than vote for Trump.
Yeah CNN made the same point which was immediately tamped down with reality.
Cruz is done.
Rubio is the threat now.
Rubio will be the nominee and, unless these rumors that he was a homosexual romper are true...
Hard for word of mouth to spread when the mouths are full. Well, not hard to spread though. There was a guy here earlier that had some pretty damning photos of a guy who looked like Rubio in a pool, if you squinted your eyes and stood twelve feet back from your computer screen, maybe he’ll post them up again. He seemed very willing to “share.”
Greta Van Susteren â€@greta 4h4 hours ago
Cruz about to give the night’s 3rd victory speech-how politically correct of GOP, all get participation trophies
Yes. Cruz should drop out to fortify the anti-Rubio vote.
l o l !
Kelly O’Donnell @KellyO
.@marcorubio ‘s exuberant and gracious speech also seemed like it might have been crafted for future use in ads
Not trying to be mean to you at all, but this IMO is a state Ted was supposed to do well in. It is in the South and Is a heavily Christian state.
The problem is, Cruz is not projecting good anywhere.
Nationally his numbers a way under Trump’s. At the current time I’m not sure he can win Texas. If I’m wrong say so, but I’ve seen some troubling things.
Where do you see Ted starting to win states?
I don’t know of one.
“Cruz about to give the night’s 3rd victory speech-how politically correct of GOP, all get participation trophies...”
Heh heh heh.
Unless, of course - it's a COMPLETELY TRUE NARRATIVE.
David Catanese â€@davecatanese 4h4 hours ago
Rubio has been best at framing his speeches as big bright glorious wins. In IA (3rd) And now, beating Cruz to the mic in SC. (tied for 2nd)
Trump is a small billionaire among the others and his anger is not righteous it is selfish. I think of child sacrifice and I get so angry I want to puke, when I think of our nation being infiltrated by Muslim communists I get pissed but not to the point I get sick.
It is very hard for a rich nation to enter the kingdom. :)
“Rubio has been best at framing his speeches as big bright glorious wins. In IA (3rd) And now, beating Cruz to the mic in SC. (tied for 2nd)”
Faster to the mic than John Kerry to a camera.
Even NATIONAL REVIEW, the anti-Trump, disagrees with you.
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