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National poll: Cruz and Rubio surged after Iowa
Politico ^ | February 9, 2015 | Nolan D. McCaskill

Posted on 02/09/2016 4:10:13 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio are riding a wave of momentum after strong finishes in Iowa.

Donald Trump maintains a double-digit lead over his Republican rivals, but Rubio has experienced the largest surge, according to an NBC News/SurveyMonkey tracking poll released Tuesday.

The billionaire businessman has 35 percent support nationally among Republicans and Republican-leaning voters. Ted Cruz, who won the Iowa caucuses last week, has 20 percent support, followed by Rubio in third with 17 percent support. Ben Carson is at 7 percent, and the rest of the field is at 3 percent or less.

While Trump still leads by 15 percentage points, his support has dropped in the past week as Rubio has risen 5 points. The remainder of the field has been relatively stagnant.

But Republicans and Republican-leaning voters are increasingly seeing Cruz and Rubio as threats to take the nomination away from Trump, who has held commanding leads over his rivals nationally for months. A 42 percent plurality say Trump will win the nomination - a massive 20 percent fall since last week that comes amid double-digit gains for Cruz and Rubio. About three in 10 say they believe will Cruz will win the nomination, and 18 percent say they see Rubio coming out on top. Both are 10 percentage-point upticks since last week.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida; US: Iowa; US: New Hampshire; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bothineligible; cruz; election2016; enoughalready; florida; frontrunners; gopprimary; iowa; iowtrumpisleading; marcorubio; newhampshire; newyork; nolandmccaskill; ntsa; politico; tedcruz; texas; trump
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"Regardless of whom you support, who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president in 2016?"

POLL

1 posted on 02/09/2016 4:10:13 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I have nothing bad to say about Cruz here, but with Rubio all I can say is “backed up sewage often ‘surges’ back into the home”.


2 posted on 02/09/2016 4:11:55 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Rubio is a snake.


3 posted on 02/09/2016 4:14:16 AM PST by LibFreeUSA
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

BS


4 posted on 02/09/2016 4:18:32 AM PST by nikos1121 ('There is no substitute for the comfort supplied by the utterly taken for granted relationship.')
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To: Gaffer

Rubio’s surge will soon begin to go as people see him more clearly as a GOPe robot. Amnesty is not what real Americans want.


5 posted on 02/09/2016 4:19:33 AM PST by nclaurel
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To: nclaurel

In the end, Rubio is a conniving Amnesty Snake. Nothing else about him matters in my book.


6 posted on 02/09/2016 4:20:36 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

No surge in NH.


7 posted on 02/09/2016 4:20:37 AM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Will we see three or four Republican candidates drop out after this evening? Consistently polling between 3-10% is
never going to get one the Republican nomination.


8 posted on 02/09/2016 4:37:26 AM PST by Maine Mariner
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To: TornadoAlley3

http://www.politico.com/blogs/new-hampshire-primary-2016-live-updates/2016/02/dixville-notch-new-hampshire-results-218986#ixzz3zeCCSdLt

....”Texas Sen. Ted Cruz won Millsfield with nine of 18 Republican votes, distantly followed by Trump at three.

Kaisch, Christie, Bush, Rubio and Carly Fiorina each got one vote there; Sen. Rand Paul also got one vote in Millsfield even though he dropped out of the presidential race last week. On the Democratic side, Clinton got two votes and Sanders added one vote...”


9 posted on 02/09/2016 4:38:59 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

“Surge”...the most overused word in the 2016 election cycle. Even a one point increase is referred to as a surge.


10 posted on 02/09/2016 4:47:08 AM PST by Russ (Repeal the '17th amendment.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

18 votes? Voting goes until 7 tonight. Cruz is done. Lucky to finish 5th


11 posted on 02/09/2016 4:48:12 AM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Trump is like a cheap 30-1 long shot with a poor/inconsistent past performance record opening up a big early lead on the field in a mile and a quarter horse race only to end up fading in the home stretch.


12 posted on 02/09/2016 4:48:41 AM PST by ETL (Ted Cruz 2016!! -- For a better, safer America)
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To: LibFreeUSA

13 posted on 02/09/2016 4:50:56 AM PST by RavenLooneyToon (Trump or Cruz, if you don't vote then STFU and leave the country, non-voters =non-Republic.)
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To: Gaffer
In the end, Rubio is a conniving Amnesty Snake. Nothing else about him matters in my book.

Ditto!

14 posted on 02/09/2016 4:53:11 AM PST by Mr Apple ( google: JEFFREY EPSTEIN / BILL 'TWITCHIN' HANDS CLINTON)
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To: TornadoAlley3

Read it again.

This new national poll shows a “massive 20 point drop” for Trump in GOP voters believing he will be the eventual nominee.


15 posted on 02/09/2016 4:53:13 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: LibFreeUSA

Rubio will drop if he isn’t the top establishment candidate in the nh primary. Cruz misses the top 3 in NH he will drop as well nationally.


16 posted on 02/09/2016 4:55:08 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: Russ
Even a one point increase is referred to as a surge.

Yup, in a poll with a Margin of Error of 3.8%.
17 posted on 02/09/2016 4:56:35 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

And a win in NH will change that. Look, a poll is just a snapshot of the now. It is not a prediction of future. Trump is ahead in NH now. By tonight he may win by 2. Cruz fit Iowa. Trump fits NH. Rubio will fit SC. And on we go for several months.


18 posted on 02/09/2016 5:05:48 AM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: TornadoAlley3

It works both ways.


19 posted on 02/09/2016 5:06:40 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

#rubot


20 posted on 02/09/2016 5:07:30 AM PST by Jim Noble (I won't be laughing at the lies when I'm gone, and I won't question what or when or why when I'm gon)
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