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To be clear, the 5-10% within 80 years figure refers to any eruption of VEI (Volcanic Explosivity Index) 7 or greater. VEI 7 would almost certainly result in severe global food shortages and "volcanic winter".

Yellowstone would of course be much worse (VEI 8+) but its individual probability is much less...thankfully.

For those interested in a deeper dive the paper is at:

http://www.esf.org/uploads/media/Natural_Hazards.pdf

1 posted on 01/07/2016 5:06:58 AM PST by PreciousLiberty
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To: PreciousLiberty

If any of them or other massive volcanic peaks suffered a major eruption the team said millions of people would die and earth’s atmosphere would be poisoned with ash and other toxins “beyond the imagination of anything man’s activity and global warming could do over 1,000 years.


Will it help if I bike to work to reduce my carbon footprint?


2 posted on 01/07/2016 5:09:28 AM PST by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
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To: PreciousLiberty

If Yellowstone blew.... the US would be gone instantly.


3 posted on 01/07/2016 5:10:56 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, & R)
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To: SunkenCiv

Catastrophism ping!


4 posted on 01/07/2016 5:11:00 AM PST by PreciousLiberty
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To: PreciousLiberty

however, remember Oklahoma.

the magmatic stress applied at yellow stone is being transmitted through the strata all the way to faults in oklahoma where the induced slippage is felt as earth quakes


6 posted on 01/07/2016 5:12:49 AM PST by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc;+12, 73, ....carson is the kinder gentler trump.)
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To: PreciousLiberty

Some tourist will throw one too many rocks in Old Faithful and that will be it. ;-)


7 posted on 01/07/2016 5:13:04 AM PST by r_barton
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To: PreciousLiberty

I like this comment after the article: “Not to play down the potential seriousness of an eruption, but how long until the man-made volcanic eruption crowd starts clamoring for taxes on the rich?” (made by JackCoyote)


8 posted on 01/07/2016 5:15:59 AM PST by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: PreciousLiberty

A severe volcanic event, and we might be looking at an ice age. If Yellowstone erupts, grab your ankles and kiss your butt goodbye. (unless you have your own personal Fallout 3 style Vault with a decade or more of food & water)


9 posted on 01/07/2016 5:18:29 AM PST by baltimorepoet
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To: PreciousLiberty

Will these guys accept a personal bet of say, $25,000 against?

They need to put there money where “their research” is. (Instead of getting paid in grants for making outlandish claims.)

Oldplayer


10 posted on 01/07/2016 5:19:14 AM PST by oldplayer
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To: PreciousLiberty

Yellowstone Volcano to blow, Dems blame Tea Party - NY Slimes headlines...


12 posted on 01/07/2016 5:25:19 AM PST by ExCTCitizen (I'm ExCTCitizen and I approve this reply. If it does offend Libs, I'm NOT sorry...)
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To: PreciousLiberty

We need to bankrupt Western society producing giant, leak-proof tampons to plug these volcanoes and ensure the safety of the human race. No strings attached.


13 posted on 01/07/2016 5:25:45 AM PST by Mr Ramsbotham (Laws against sodomy are honored in the breech.)
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To: PreciousLiberty

Thankfully and with honor and glory “He’s got the whole world in His hands.” Thy will be done.


15 posted on 01/07/2016 5:28:00 AM PST by huldah1776
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To: PreciousLiberty; All

“Yellowstone about to blow? Scientists warning over SUPER-VOLCANO that could kill MILLIONS”

This should be regulated — Can’t obamadork issue an executive order to prevent this...I mean, OMG!


16 posted on 01/07/2016 5:28:04 AM PST by areukiddingme1 (areukiddingme1 is a synonym for a Retired U.S. Navy Chief Petty Officer and tired of liberal BS.))
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To: PreciousLiberty

You’ve posted an interesting article so don’t take this personally. It’s not written with you in mind.

This is however a good example of ‘a type” of mindset that is of notice to me.

There are people and groups out there who seem to flock to talk of doom in mas.

Be it the next big killer flu bug, the next fatal communicable disease, the next planet ending space object, the next big tsunami, the next big volcano, or something else, these folks seem to need to find something to fixate on and obsess over it.

There is also the thought that some people out the seem to think the public needs to obsess over this, for some reason.

In this story, there is admittedly a 90% chance nothing will happen, and I’d submit it’s probably more like 99.95% nothing will happen.


18 posted on 01/07/2016 5:28:48 AM PST by DoughtyOne ((It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.))
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To: PreciousLiberty

Sounds like Powerball odds!

I think I’ll buy a ticket instead.


20 posted on 01/07/2016 5:29:23 AM PST by G Larry (ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS impose SLAVE WAGES on LEGAL Immigrants.)
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To: PreciousLiberty
scientists fear a major one that could kill millions and devastate the planet is a real possibility

An asteroid strike is a real possibility. Another ice age is a real possibility. Failure of the sun - supernova or brown dwarf - is a real possibility.

What "scientists fear" has nothing to do with any of it.

23 posted on 01/07/2016 5:33:04 AM PST by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown Are by desperate appliance relieved Or not at al)
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To: PreciousLiberty

People who live in the beautiful state of California have this primordial fear of sudden catastrophic earthquakes and apocalyptic volcanoes. Hollywood, ever sensitive to its market, churns out disaster movies due to such phenomena, on a regular basis. Forget reforming the drugs, decadence, violence, crime, terrorism and individual dissipation that is rotting the culture from within. People are awaiting a sudden biblical like severe punishment for their behavior. Why reform when its all going to blow up anyway? So it goes.


24 posted on 01/07/2016 5:33:33 AM PST by allendale
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To: PreciousLiberty

On the bright side an eruption would do wonders in the fight against global warming which the alarmists claim will wipe out humanity. Think positively.


26 posted on 01/07/2016 5:38:36 AM PST by Brooklyn Attitude (It's the apocalypse, lets have some fun!)
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To: PreciousLiberty

So Global Warming doesn’t matter


27 posted on 01/07/2016 5:39:34 AM PST by AppyPappy (If you really want to irritate someone, point out something obvious they are trying hard to ignore.)
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To: PreciousLiberty

http://nautil.us/issue/31/stress/the-volcano-that-shrouded-the-earth-and-gave-birth-to-a-monster
The Volcano That Shrouded the Earth and Gave Birth to a Monster
Three years of darkness and cold spawned crime, poverty, and a literary masterpiece.
In 1815


30 posted on 01/07/2016 5:41:38 AM PST by Haddit (Minimalists Al Gore and Al Qaeda)
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To: PreciousLiberty

Since when is a “5-10% chance” “likely”?

Based on the timing of the last three Yellowstone eruptions, if it erupts next year it won’t be early, if it doesn’t erupt for another 10000 years, it won’t be late.


33 posted on 01/07/2016 5:45:38 AM PST by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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