Posted on 01/03/2016 8:53:05 PM PST by justlittleoleme
Most national polls show Republican frontrunner Donald Trump trailing likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and faring worse than other GOP hopefuls against her.
That raises an obvious question: Could doubts about Trump's strength in a general election derail his bid for the Republican nomination, or would GOP caucus attendees and primary voters simply ignore poll numbers that suggest Trump would be a risky bet in November?
SNIP
But Quinnipiac University's Dec. 16-20 survey showed Trump's image with all registered voters at 33 percent favorable/59 percent unfavorable - dismal numbers, and the highest unfavorable rating of any GOP hopeful.
Trump trailed Clinton by 11 points, 49 percent to 38 percent, in the mid-December Fox News ballot test, while Cruz and Clinton were tied at 45 percent and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio held a 45 percent to 43 percent lead over Clinton. The Quinnipiac poll found Trump trailing Clinton 47 percent to 40 percent, while Cruz and Clinton were tied at 44 percent and Rubio trailed Clinton by a single point, 44 percent to 43 percent.
But not every survey showed Trump trailing Clinton so dramatically in hypothetical match ups. For example, a Dec. 17-21 CNN/ORC survey showed the two candidates separated by only two points (Clinton 49 percent, Trump 47 percent). Of course, Cruz held a 2-point lead over Clinton and Rubio a 3-point lead in that survey, seemingly confirming that Trump is a weaker nominee against Clinton than at least two other Republican hopefuls.
But even if additional surveys between now and the Iowa caucuses show Trump's relative weakness in the general election, it is not yet clear that GOP voters - and Trump voters - will care. Opinion about the importance of "electability" as an issue for voters has been divided over the years.
(Excerpt) Read more at 3.blogs.rollcall.com ...
My guess is Trump would pull in many alienated non-voters, but lose more people who've voted Republican in recent elections.
What might make him a weaker candidate is that some of those alienated non-voters who respond positively in polls to a name they know might not pull the lever for a billionaire.
The problem for the other candidates is that people have seen Trump at his worst already and have seen a lot thrown at him (pretty much the same with Clinton).
Whether Cruz or Rubio would really be beating or tying Clinton after the media get through with them is harder to say.
There were no unionistas at the Norcross, Ga rally we attended.
For the first time in long years I feel some hope for our country. Need to keep it in perspective, but there is hope...
You will not be by yourself! Of course we Trumpettes are so dumb, we would not be able to read it./S
Excuse me, Mr. Editor, honey, but I am not “simplistic” and haven’t been for 50 years of voting.
How about you?
Nothing at all is “locked up” this time.
It DOES look good for us, but it seems too many freedom-lovers are so unused to this, it scares them. Let’s Please not be like Libertarians and scared of winning.
Like JimRob said, quoting Reagan, “we win, they lose.”
Stop being babies!
It's simply "journalists" (read as: leftist media shills) trying to start a narrative that's not true. Every time they've started a narrative about Trump with polling, they've failed.
I like that......
First, polls are not to be believed - personal observation is. Trump has been at (usually) 39% for weeks. What is that about - other than my deep suspicions.
Cruz (and I like him) has MORE negatives and LESS appeal - that’s observation.
Trump’s band isn’t narrow when it takes in all parties, all races, and independent what-nots like it does. I have been astonished at the man, and I’m too old to astonish easily. I’m having “deja-vu 1980”. Love it.
Trump is a “she”? Really? So, do you need glasses, or are you just light in the loafers?
Read the post after that mate(post # 120). Already corrected.
Those are poll results, which are easily manipulated. Especially this far out from the election. You assume that it's all or nothing, either all polls are honest or all polls are propaganda. In fact they vary depending on the time, place, pollster and candidate. One thing no pollster can do is claim someone who's popular with 40% of the voters is at 1%. But between today's standing and a year out hypothetical there's a whole world of lying and manipulation to explore.
Like all hem polls from exactly the same people claiming Trump is leading in the GOP primaries yes?
Ok, I get it. Trump is in reality behind in the primaries. Ted Cruz will smoke Trump in the GOP primaries and win the nomination, easy.
Maybee yu r rite, only dum guys like Trump any hoo. Shucks.
We're they going to go?
-- Karl Rove.
there are some including many here who will go nowhere
it’s the cop out of the intellectually lazy
.
Trump is no Whiz.
He has just been sucking at the Progressive teat, like Gates and Soros.
Do you actually believe that? It has been stunning this election cycle watching the candidates, including but to a lesser extent Cruz, shifting positions in response to positions Trump has enunciated. There are videos of Cruz “q & A”s demonstrating his shifting positions from 2011 to current on the topic of birthright citizenship for example.
Cruz is a good man, a strong conservative and an excellent analyst and debater but I have found him to be more willing to meet big business 1/2 way than I am comfortable with. I do not see him as a champion of returning power to the States and the people. He is to me somewhat Don Quixote like in his assaults on the Senate body. Trump is a less pure more pragmatic man. He will get the job done.
What the Hell is “electability”? Either a person can get the votes or not.
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