Those are poll results, which are easily manipulated. Especially this far out from the election. You assume that it's all or nothing, either all polls are honest or all polls are propaganda. In fact they vary depending on the time, place, pollster and candidate. One thing no pollster can do is claim someone who's popular with 40% of the voters is at 1%. But between today's standing and a year out hypothetical there's a whole world of lying and manipulation to explore.
Like all hem polls from exactly the same people claiming Trump is leading in the GOP primaries yes?
Ok, I get it. Trump is in reality behind in the primaries. Ted Cruz will smoke Trump in the GOP primaries and win the nomination, easy.