Posted on 01/03/2016 8:53:05 PM PST by justlittleoleme
Most national polls show Republican frontrunner Donald Trump trailing likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and faring worse than other GOP hopefuls against her.
That raises an obvious question: Could doubts about Trump's strength in a general election derail his bid for the Republican nomination, or would GOP caucus attendees and primary voters simply ignore poll numbers that suggest Trump would be a risky bet in November?
SNIP
But Quinnipiac University's Dec. 16-20 survey showed Trump's image with all registered voters at 33 percent favorable/59 percent unfavorable - dismal numbers, and the highest unfavorable rating of any GOP hopeful.
Trump trailed Clinton by 11 points, 49 percent to 38 percent, in the mid-December Fox News ballot test, while Cruz and Clinton were tied at 45 percent and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio held a 45 percent to 43 percent lead over Clinton. The Quinnipiac poll found Trump trailing Clinton 47 percent to 40 percent, while Cruz and Clinton were tied at 44 percent and Rubio trailed Clinton by a single point, 44 percent to 43 percent.
But not every survey showed Trump trailing Clinton so dramatically in hypothetical match ups. For example, a Dec. 17-21 CNN/ORC survey showed the two candidates separated by only two points (Clinton 49 percent, Trump 47 percent). Of course, Cruz held a 2-point lead over Clinton and Rubio a 3-point lead in that survey, seemingly confirming that Trump is a weaker nominee against Clinton than at least two other Republican hopefuls.
But even if additional surveys between now and the Iowa caucuses show Trump's relative weakness in the general election, it is not yet clear that GOP voters - and Trump voters - will care. Opinion about the importance of "electability" as an issue for voters has been divided over the years.
(Excerpt) Read more at 3.blogs.rollcall.com ...
Realclear Politics has Trump loosing to Clinton on average.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html
And worse than any other front runner in the presidential race.
Just keep seeing people make the point that we should vote for Trump instead of Cruz because Trump is more electable..... the recent Poll data is not echoing those statements.
“Electability” did nothing for Dole, McCain or Romney.
I definitely agree with that...
“Most national polls show Republican frontrunner Donald Trump trailing likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and faring worse than other GOP hopefuls against her.”
Think, Trump-fans.
It is clear to me that Trump will beat Hillary. The issue is how many of the GOP wants in.
Trump will take independents and honest democrats. I say let him run.
I don’t see how Trump is less electable than any of the other GOP candidates.
Trump can pull the GOP base, and a fair portion of blacks, hispanics, unions and Reagan democrats.
Cruz can pull the GOP base, but I don’t see him pulling any of the democrats.
Mario might get more democrats than Cruz, but he’d lose a fair portion of the GOP base.
And Jeb has almost completely lost the GOP base.
Anyone who would withdraw their support of Trump based on their belief in the above assertion is an absolute idiot.
Angry voters don't respond much to polls, except for the ones located at the voting booth.
And the polls were just spot-on in the recent KY gubernatorial election, calling for TEA Party candidate Matt Bevin to lose.
Except he won.
Yup. Bush will flatten Hillary. But, of course, Trump towers over him.
There is no such thing as “electability” because the only way to determine if someone is “electable” is to put them into the nomination. Anything else is just surmising.
It seems clear to me that it’s Donald or Hillary. I kind of like Donald, but if Hillary gets in, it’s the new dark age, as far as I can determine. I fear the worst. I just hope I can pass on the past to my GC, but I fear my influence is weak. I’ll do my best.
I’m sorry, but the article is merely GOPe projection, and has no base in reality.
And if you believe that I have beach front property for sale.
Cruz numbers will be worse than Dole.
Hillary will likely win regardless of whom the GOP nominates.
If we’re going to go down this year, I want us to go down with someone willing to fight.
Trump can’t do worse than historical milquetoast GOP candidates no one got excited about and he could do better.
In the long run of things, electability is way overrated.
.
Trump is absolutely not electable.
He is just the favorite of the simplistic class. They always find the most simplistic candidate and rally behind him.
Simplistic candidates cannot win; the voters are simply too aware of their vast weakness.
Did Hillary ever have a standing-room-only rally with 15,000 in one colliseum and 10,000 next door watching on video screen in 2008 or 2016?
Why I prefer Cruz over Trump.
Cruz is a strict constitutionalist and Trump is not.
The Constitution is a document that limits federal power. This nation is currently in a sad state of law because the Presidents in the past and present have ignored Constitutional law. Congress has aided and abetted the gutting of this magnificent document.
The Constitution is what made our nation the greatest in history. If we lose the protection of this document we will become a failed state.
GO TED CRUZ
Finally, someone who gets it. If Cruz gets the nomination I will work my ass off for him. Trump has a much better chance of winning. It’s not stupid to notice charisma.
I like cruz a lot but I kind of agree. I wonder why he fares better in the polls. Interesting
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