Posted on 12/18/2015 1:48:25 PM PST by VinL
Florida Republican Primary voters continue to be fake as hell. They're letting the men they elected at one point to serve as our senator and governor linger in polls of their home state. In the first poll of Florida Republicans taking since this week's debate, it turns out that our state's GOP voters still have a thing for ol' Helmet Hair but now have a growing fondness for Texas-brand Rubio, Ted Cruz.
The survey, conducted by Opinion Savvy and sponsored by the Jacksonville Times-Union and Fox 13 Tampa Bay, called up 555 registered Republicans in Florida on Wednesday.
Here's the breakdown:
Donald Trump: 29.7 percent Ted Cruz: 20.4 percent Marco Rubio: 15 percent Jeb Bush: 12.5 percent Ben Carson: 7.7 percent Chris Christie: 6.1 percent Carly Fiorina: 2.7 percent Rand Paul: 2.6 percent John Kasich: 0.9 percent Rick Santorum: 0.1 percent George Pataki: 0.1 percent
(Literally just one person each said they'd vote for Santorum or Pataki.)
ust 2.2 percent said they remained undecided.
Trump continues to do well with his whackadoo rhetoric in Florida.
48.3 percent of Florida Republicans say they "strongly approve" of his call to temporarily ban all Muslims who are not residents from entering the United States. 24.2 percent say they "somewhat approve." Just 23.3 percent say they strongly or somewhat disapprove.
Cruz has surged in Florida in the past month. In the last Opinion Savvy Poll, taken on November 11, he was sitting at just 12 percent. His surge appears to be at the expense of Ben Carson (who is down from 22 percent in November). There's also waning enthusiasm in the state for our own Senator Marco Rubio. He was at 18 percent in the November poll.
Jeb Bush is actually doing a bit better since November. Back then he was at 11 percent.
Cruz is also now leading Hispanic Republicans in the state at 22.1 percent. Though Rubio isn't far away at 21.0 percent. Donald Trump, despite his anti-Mexican rhetoric, polls at 20.8 percent among Hispanics. Bush, who used to have a lock on the state's Hispanic Republican population, is now at 15. 9 percent.
Interestingly, Rubio has the biggest gender gap when it comes to his supporters. 19.6 percent of female Republicans in Florida support Rubio. Just 10.2 percent of men do.
In an odd question, the poll also asked Florida's Democrats who they'd like to see as the GOP nominee.
37.3 percent say they want Trump — perhaps because he seems to be the easiest to beat. 18.5 percent say they want Bush, perhaps because he seems the most palpable to Democrats out of the lot.
So why is Cruz surging? Well, 25.8 percent of those who watched the debate claimed he won. That's compared to Trump at 23.8 percent.
Meanwhile, 30.8 said Bush lost the debate. He was followed by Kasich; 13.5 percent said he lost the debate.
Don’t suppose you noticed the little nugget in the FL poll that Trump was getting a whopping 39% of black vote?
I’m more concerned with the conservative base and the evangelicals, which we need if we’re going to win, than chasing unicorns.
No, next door in Houston, where the Johnson Space Center in the closest you be to orbit without being there.
Rubio doesn’t show up for that budget vote...
Cruz and Paul voted.
Just my thoughts...even if Rubio happened to be the nominee, i don’t think I would bother showing up to vote for him.
The story here is that Rubio has utterly disgraced himself and shown his true character.
I was going to post the very same
“Trump hater Jonah Goldberg ......”
The globalist neocons and corporatists and pretend conservatives prefer a status quo where they get to pull the money strings and the politicians dance.
Trump scares them on both the left and right because he isn’t a dancer to the media whims and self serving policies that screws most Americans.
Well, given the conservative base's proven track record of lagging support for anyone who isn't an ideal/near ideal conservative, I'm quite fine with Trump and his ability to appeal to blacks, Hispanics, and independents.
I also believe Trump's wide appeal makes it likely Hillary will have to defend/attack many more states than she would against any other GOP candidate, including Cruz.
Bush and Rubio can’t even carry their own state.
Even combined, Trump has them beat.
He clearly is, and he's ready to be President.
“ONLY”?? Ted for President!
Cruz can’t beat Hillary!
Hillary has already beaten Hillary...
I hope so.
It is not likely that Trump will pick up Bush or Paul voters after he made so many juvenile attacks on them. Trump may attract some by his actions but he alienates many as well. This is why he is losing in a match up with Hillary. His support is strong yet narrow.
For weeks the Trump supporters on FR insisted that Trump was going to get the Carson votes if/when he fell.
The other point is Carson is still polling around 11% nationally and in Iowa , so there is still a lot of votes for Cruz to pick up if Carson should withdraw after Iowa. Cruz has plenty of upside.
Cruz is running Hilary very close right now. Trump isn’t.
That is saying something! I did’nt expect Goldberg to concede. Krauthammer has already conceded. Stephen Hayes is still anti-Trump.
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