Posted on 12/14/2015 9:11:10 AM PST by RoosterRedux
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is climbing to his highest support yet in a new national poll.
The real estate mogul earned a broad 41 percent support from Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters in a new national Monmouth University poll released today.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
What a great quote.
Talk about nailing the Obama fight in the middle east.
You're funny...and not the jocular meaning of that word! LOL
I don't think that word means what you think it means...prurient.;-)
Not you, silly. Mr Nutz.
Wait, what?
Isn’t Monmouth a “junk poll?” That’s what we all heard last week.
Oooh...sorry for misunderstanding your post.
Many thanks for the clarification !
LOL....I bet that you’re correct ! :-)
LOL...yes, please; do keep reposting this!
I know what it means. I watch it like a voyeur.
Do think the MSM would ever report Trump beating Hillary in the polls? Only if they had collectively concluded that she was too damaged.
I read somewhere that filing dates are over in many states and that a Dem candidate would have a hard time jumping in at this point...if they followed the rules. This means that the Dems/MSM HAVE to push Hillary...they have no choice.
Amazing how much a polling firm can improve in a week. Talk about a turn around!
LOL. I was afraid you might be a peeping Tom.
Cruz will win Iowa handily.
Then nothing else.
We get a lefty tease from the Dem PPP pollster.
A PPP tweet.
@ppppolls “Our Iowa poll coming tomorrow finds by a 27 point margin that Trump voters think Japanese internment was good”
It can be a pain every time pollsters cook polls. It’s easier to poll straight up. They pick and choose when they want to cook, usually to make some impact in the lib news.
Isn’t that special? Lol
To them it's not about national polls, or even about state polls that are 2 months out. It's all about IA. Their argument is that Cruz plans to 1) "Break The Donald's air of invincibility" in IA, then 2) siphon off enough support to win SC, then 3) once people see that Cruz can in fact win the nomination, all the conservatives will switch to him.
They may be right. We'll see.
Trumpsters point to the overwhelming lead Trump has everywhere EXCEPT Iowa, and argue that IA is the exception, not the barometer. They (correctly) have cited past elections where the IA winner was a total washout everywhere else.
Cruzers respond that Ted has a powerful grass roots network, endorsements out the wazoo, and a very traditional approach to winning.
Trumpsters counter that The Donald has money out the wazoo, a new media presence unlike any ever seen, overwhelming leads in almost all of the state polls.
Cruzers say (with some evidence) that Carson's voters will drift toward Ted).
Trumpsters say that he can attract a zillion new "non-traditional" voters, especially in crossover states.
Until we have four caucuses/primaries under our belt, no one can say definitively who is right. Once we have IA, NH, NV, and SC, we should know the winner. If it goes past SC with Trump winning 3 out of 4, I'd say it's over. Obviously, if Trump squeezes out the tiniest win in IA, it's over. If Cruz wins IA and SC, it's a race.
At that point the two biggest question marks will be, 1) "How long will the GOPe/drive-by media lay off Ted---when will they start dropping serious dirt bombs (many of which could damage him with the evangelicals)?" I don't know what those are. But we never do, do we? Who out there knew of W's DWI going into the final week of the campaign? Who knew of Herman Cain's indiscretions with women?
And 2) "Once Carson, Bush, Christie, Kasich, Paul and the rest are actually gone, do their voters move---and if so, to whom?---or just stay home?" I think of the Carson people who have gone to Cruz, more than half are permanently gone to Cruz. But I think a large portion just don't like Trump, but would vote for him if it's him or Rubio/Hillary.
You'll note I haven't talked much about Rubio. His only strategy is to stay alive, siphoning votes from the GOPe candidates---Fiorina, Kasich, Christie, and Bush---long enough for Ted to seriously damage Trump. If he can split the conservative/non-establishment voters, Rubio still has a shot, and that would absolutely elect Hillary.
Polls should not matter.
If you have looked at the candidates and made your decision, you should not be swayed by any polling, good or bad, except the poll taken in the voting booth.
Even Jeb Bush supporters (caveat: I’ve never encountered one so this may be a waste of bandwidth to write) should remember Santorum’s come from behind upsets.
But what does worry me is the voter who changes candidates based on poll numbers. Those are the voters who are letting the TV tell them who to vote for. Those are the voters who inflict the Romneys, McCains, Grahams, Boehaners and McConnells on the rest of us.
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