Posted on 10/24/2015 4:59:32 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
The headlines recently have been full of suggestions that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is solidifying his lead while the other real outsider in the race, Ben Carson, is firmly in second place — and that the political class’s favorites, including Jeb Bush, John Kasich and Marco Rubio, can’t gain traction.
I don’t buy it. Republicans should not overcommit to the notion that Trump, much less Carson, are serious candidates for the Republican nomination for 2016. I’ll admit to being a little perplexed by the polls right now. When Trump entered the race, I said he would max out somewhere in the low double digits, and I am sticking with the prediction that he will end up there. I think Trump is still riding high in the polls simply because Republican voters aren’t even close to making a decision about who to vote for.
Trump has the highest name ID, has by far the most media coverage of any candidate and has tapped into a lot of anger on the right. That being said, I think Republican voters are going to revert to form by February.
So to exactly what form are Republican voters going to revert? Well, just for fun, let’s look at some of the Republicans who have actually won primaries and been elected to office in some of the key early states, and think about what similarities they might share with Trump. Last November, who did Iowans nominate to the U.S. Senate in a multi-candidate field? Joni Ernst, a farmer/veteran/state officeholder who was probably the star female candidate of 2014, who ran a great campaign appealing to core Republican values. In New Hampshire in 2010, Kelly Ayotte — who is a classic Republican stalwart — won the Republican primary and beat three other candidates
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Wishful thinking.
Sure thing Ed. Just keep telling yourself that.
Ed shouldn’t drink so much before a deadline.
Ed has Rove’s cell phone number.
Mr Rodgers should leave politics to the sane.
Please tell me who your drug dealer is, so I don’t buy the same crap he sells you...
...Ed has Rove’s cell phone number...
Geez. Chris Stevens didn’t even have the one for the State Department.
Sure they are, if you have your Cheap Labor Express blinders on...................
Just Big Ed trolling for a paying gig dishing out bad advice to stupid candidates.
How about an article about how totally disconnected political writers have been from reality?
How the opposite of what they predicted has been consistently happening?
About how these writers, the republican party, and media are all at odds with the electorate?
Body odor?
He’s only correct on Rubio. Unless Iowa gets completely behind Bush, he’s going to slowly sink to oblivion and Kasich is never going to go anywhere. Rubio will be invested in, because he is considered the future.
This guy is also cuckoo for cocoa puffs as well
Those same insiders were selling the same tripe in 2008 with McCain and 2012 with Romney.
They are still trying to convince themselves that their ‘moderate’ Republican can win.
PING
What part of “We hate you” do these people not understand?
The author is smoking DMT a bit too much.
Rogers, you are not taking into account that not only is Trump a different candidate, you consider the electorate the same which it is not. The typical republican voter now is totally and completely pizzed off at the party and is damn well ready for a change.
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