Posted on 11/18/2014 11:59:12 AM PST by ScottinVA
Human Events-Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 643 likely voters regarding opinions of races in Louisiana. The poll carries a margin of error of 4%. The poll was conducted 11-12-2014-11-14-2014
The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by anticipated voting demographics.
(Excerpt) Read more at gravismarketing.com ...
I wonder if the voters can be persuaded to give him a margin of victory >20% ...
Give Miss Piggy a real thumping ...
Good Bye Mary!!
You got to go, Marrrryyyy OOOooo..!!
Oh me oh my crawfish pie .. oooooo..
Mary Landreau has got to goooo
Meeeeeee oh myyyy ooooo..
Exactly. This race has not been won yet. Cassidy should keep doing what he's doing until the polls close on the day of the runoff. With that said, it looks very likely that it will be Republicans +9 in the Senate.
Time to stop dumping money on this race and start campaigning for 2016.
“I wish I had a house in DC....”
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I wonder if Miss Louisiana gets a Homestead Deduction on her DC mansion?
That benefit reduces the owners’ real property’s assessed value by $67,500 prior to computing the yearly tax liability. But the DC Homestead benefit is limited to residential property for which the property is the principal residence (domicile) of the owner/applicant. Enquiring minds want to know.
We know that the Senator doesn’t get a Homestead deduction in Louisiana since she has no home there.
In whose name is the DC property recorded?
Could it be just Frank Snellings.
Those percentages are in line with the drubbing just north of Louisiana in Arkansas.
Cotton (R) won by 57% over Pryor (D-Incumbent) 39%.
Most of the polls leading up to the election showed them almost even. A few times, they showed Cotton up by about 7%, then near even.
The week before the election, the University of Arkansas released results of a poll that showed Cotton ahead by 14%. Few commentators took that poll seriously. Ironically, it was closer to the final result than the other polls.
A friend of mine in Louisiana tells me that Mary Landrieu has all but given up on the runoff and has set her sights on 2016, assuming that David Vitter will run for governor.
If that happens, who is the GOP nominee for Senate? I’m guessing Jindal will be mounting a presidential bid, so which GOP Congressman gets the honor of beating Mary two years from now?
In statistics any sample size of 32 or above is sufficient. At n=32, the differences between sqrt(1/(n-1)) and sqrt(1/(N)) (n=sample N=population)is insignificant.
LA please make it a 30 point margin!
You are well on your way.
Vitter IS running for governor next year. Repeat. IS running. The election is in the fall of 2015.
David Vitter to run for governor of Louisiana
http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/01/david_vitter_to_run_for_govern.html
He will win.
He will then appoint his replacement to finish out his senate term that ends in 2016. The big question is who he will appoint. There is much speculation, but the insiders I talk to don’t know who he’s vetting.
Do not worry about Mary Landrieu. She will never run for office again, because she’s about to get the stuffing beat out of her.
Much like Kathleen “MeMaw” Blanco who was governor during Katrina, she’ll never be heard from again politically. The question is how much Mary’s butt-whipping will rub off on her brother Mitch who is Mayor of New Orleans.
Mitch is the last Democrat in Louisiana who has statewide name recognition and electability. For now, anyway.
I like the way you talk.
Exactly what I see happening...someone recently said the American people were stupid, yes he was a dirty dem but very correct on at least that one statement
She just got b*tch slapped in the Senate,, 59-41..
This should seal her fate.
Would have made no difference regardless of the vote outcome.
There is a $1000 a plate concert to benefit Mary Landrieu on December 1, 2014
Link:
Stevie Wonder to headline fundraiser for Mary Landrieu in New Orleans
It will also benefit the Louisiana Democratic Party (which will benefit Mitch Landrieu, Mayor of New Orleans).
Stevie Wonder is throwing a benefit for Mary on December 1...
That is 5 days before the run-off. I think the PR of the concert is probably more helpful than the money at that point.
And Dardenne is a republican. Potentially, Louisiana could have a runoff between 2 republicans for Governor.
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