Posted on 11/18/2014 11:59:12 AM PST by ScottinVA
Human Events-Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 643 likely voters regarding opinions of races in Louisiana. The poll carries a margin of error of 4%. The poll was conducted 11-12-2014-11-14-2014
The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by anticipated voting demographics.
(Excerpt) Read more at gravismarketing.com ...
“Fat lady is clearing her throat.
She should be clearing out her Senate office too.”
*******************************************************************************************************
Well, the good news for her is that she only has to move her stuff a few blocks to her REAL home (her mansion in the District of Columbia).
Indeed! Give her a monumental ass-kicking, ABB!
Gravis Marketing-Human Events Poll Has Cassidy Burying Landrieu By 21
by MacAoidh
November 17
http://thehayride.com/2014/11/gravis-marketing-human-events-poll-has-cassidy-burying-landrieu-by-21/
Gravis Marketing is a Republican polling firm, so when it releases a poll with a big number in favor of Bill Cassidy over Mary Landrieu you can imagine Landrieus camp will discount that number.
Still, when its Cassidy 59, Landrieu 38 and three percent undecided by all appearances were looking at a blowout two weeks from Saturday.
The poll was of 643 likely voters from Wednesday to Friday of last week, and the sample looks relatively typical of most polling samples weve seen if a little on the Cassidy-friendly side.
Respondents were asked with what party they identify, and 44 percent said Democrat and 36 percent Republican. That might be more of a Democrat party ID than some of the others weve seen, but the white-to-black ratio of the sample was 69-25; thats a bit whiter electorate than we saw in the November primary. Its not out of the question we could see the December electorate show a 25 percent black share, but thats probably low.
Other interesting questions in the poll: Barack Obamas approval rating is underwater at 33-61, which fits with other polling weve seen, and it looks like David Vitter is the 800-pound gorilla in Louisiana politics. Vitter bombs Mitch Landrieu 54-36 in a head-to-head in the 2015 governors race and beats Jay Dardenne handily, 43-29, in a Republican-vs-Republican head to head contest.
But the big number is that 21-point lead for Cassidy. Coming on last weeks Magellan poll showing a 16-point lead, its beginning to look like this race is all over but the shouting. Of course, we know there will be plenty of that.
Since we're talking about Miss Piggy... add "squealing."
There it is again. That “magical” 37, 38, 39% clueless rat voter support.
I have learned from experience never to get over confident.
Look what happened to Eric Cantor.
Look what almost happened to Warner in VA.
Anything can happen in politics.
Over confidence is one of the biggest mistakes one can make in politics.
Unfortunately, she still has time to circulate racist flyers or whatever else dirty trick the Dems resort to these days.
Or her dead relatives. But, we have been trying for so long to get that progressive obamaclone out for years now is OUR time to tell landriu - adieu! that means forever!!!!!!!!
That trick has been borrowed by the GOPe....don't forget what Cochran's people (Haley Barbour) did in MS, against McDaniel....
LOL. You’re a bad person.
No complacency here.
It wouldn’t matter if she was all the way down to 2% in the polls.
A bunch of us over here in south Texas are heading home to vote and it ain’t gonna be for Ms Piggy.....
IF Mary dressed in drag, she’d look just like president pee wee.
OUCHIE!!!
She’s gator bait.
I wish I had a house in DC. Not sure I could handle the place after I had visited all the sites of interest museum- and gubamental-related.. Tidal basin shrinkage happens as gridlock continues and the war on the Republic by its own mumbles on..
We can probably look forward to something like a photoshop of a laughing Cassidy in a Ferguson PD uniform machine-gunning black toddlers. (or would that be too subtle?)
Won’t work. What turns out the black vote in Louisiana is the one thing Landrieu has little of: money.
Mitch Landrieu is trailing Vitter by 14% in a heads up for the 2016 Governor race
in this same poll. That will change as that race gets closer but the Landrieu
name may become more tainted by then.
http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-louisiana-polling/
Correction... That should be 18% over Mitch Landrieu.
The 14% is over Vitter over Dardenne.
From what I've been reading, overconfidence doesn't seem to be an issue here. The RNC and other organizations are pouring a lot of resources into this runoff, with millions in ad buys and a major statewide GOTV effort. They're going to grind into this one all the way through 6 Dec.
Yep. I'm thinking the good people of Louisiana have decided it's time for Mary to geaux!
I got an email from Ted Cruz today asking me to support Bill Cassidy.
LOL.
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