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7/17: New Hampshire 2016 Could Be Swing State
Marist College ^ | 7/17/14 | Marist Poll

Posted on 08/03/2014 3:30:16 PM PDT by Plummz

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is in a close contest against potential GOP rival, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul in a 2016 general election matchup in New Hampshire. Clinton has single-digit leads against New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, and Florida Senator Marco Rubio. She has a wider lead over Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker and Texas Senator Ted Cruz. But, only against Cruz is Clinton supported by more than 50% of New Hampshire voters. Clinton does better than each of her potential opponents among independent voters. The gender gap in all of these matchups is wide.

Clinton is well liked by a majority of New Hampshire residents owing to her strong standing among women. Vice President Biden has a higher negative rating than positive score among residents in the state.

New Hampshire residents give mixed reviews to Republicans Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Scott Walker. The ratings for Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, and Ted Cruz are all upside down with more residents viewing them negatively than positively.

The morning line for the first-in-the-nation presidential primary has Hillary Clinton the overwhelming choice of Democrats over Joe Biden. Both Clinton and Biden are popular among most Democrats in the state.

On the Republican side, there is no clear choice among the potential 2016 New Hampshire Primary electorate for their party’s nominee. More than one in five GOP’ers are undecided, and only Rand Paul, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush have low double-digit support. Each potential GOP contender is viewed more favorably than unfavorably by Republicans in the state. Rand Paul is the most popular among GOP voters.

“New Hampshire always gets a lot of attention because of its status as the first-in-the-nation primary and 2016 will be no exception,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “It may be a frequent stopping off point for the general election, as well.”

Poll Points

-- Democrat Hillary Clinton is in a competitive contest against potential GOP rival Rand Paul, 46% to 43%. She has a narrow lead over Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, and Marco Rubio, 47% to 42%, in each instance. Clinton does better against Scott Walker, 48% to 39%, and Ted Cruz, 51% to 38%. -- Clinton is boosted by her support among independent voters and is backed by the majority of women in each matchup. --Statewide, 53%, of residents have a favorable view of Hillary Clinton including 60% of women. 42% of state residents have an unfavorable opinion of her. Biden is viewed positively by 39% of New Hampshire residents, but 48% have a negative opinion of him. -- Residents in the state divide about how they view several of the potential GOP candidates: Marco Rubio who has a 31% positive rating and a 28% negative score; Rand Paul who receives a favorable rating of 39% and an unfavorable score of 38%; and Scott Walker, with whom voters are least familiar, is liked by 24% of residents and disliked by 23%. -- Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, and Ted Cruz all have ratings that are upside down.

Dems: Clinton Strong Frontrunner

-- Hillary Clinton outpaces Joe Biden 74% to 18% among the potential New Hampshire Democratic Primary electorate for 2016. -- Most Democrats in the state, 94%, have a positive opinion of Clinton. Just 4% view her negatively. Joe Biden is also liked by most New Hampshire Democrats. 79% have a favorable view of him, and 14% have an unfavorable opinion of him.

GOP: No Pace Horse

-- 22% of the potential New Hampshire Republican Primary electorate are undecided in their preference for a 2016 GOP presidential nominee. Paul at 14%, Christie at 13%, and Bush at 10% are the only potential candidates who have double-digit support. -- The contest is no clearer when the potential Republican electorate is asked for a second choice. Rubio is the backup pick of 16%, Bush garners 13%, Christie and Paul each attract 12%, and Ryan is the second choice of 10%. -- 71% of state Republicans have a positive opinion of Rand Paul and only 15% have a negative impression of him. Although each of the potential GOP candidates are more popular than unpopular among New Hampshire Republicans, Paul has the highest favorability rating. A majority of state Republicans like Bush, 65%, Rubio, 58%, and Christie, 52%. 50% have a positive view of Cruz and Walker.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: gop2016; hillary; newhampshire; paultardation; paultards; randpaul; randsconcerntrolls; retreadzot; romneyagenda; romneycare; romneycare4ever; romneymarriage
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To: stephenjohnbanker

I am really glad you are back, brother.

Catch me up the Freep mail channel.


81 posted on 08/04/2014 2:58:46 PM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: NFHale

Will do.


82 posted on 08/04/2014 3:13:13 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (The only people in the world who fear Obama are American citizens. KILL THE BILL!)
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To: BlackElk

We Conservatives are sure looking for a secular savior; just like the Libs got the last two presidential elections.

I hope the pendulum doesn’t swing TOO far to the right next election!


83 posted on 08/04/2014 3:29:38 PM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: First Authority; fieldmarshaldj; BlackElk
FMDJ I would be honored if you would do me the kindness of adding me to your "posse."

I believe that Blackelk will be good enough to vouch for my bonifides.

FA I went along to gbet along and voted for Dole, McLame, and Mittens (The last two I actually voted for the under ticket).

I will not vote for a RINO again. The GOP can kiss my lily white still overly butt, if they think I will support those pathetic excuses for candidates again.

I never used to advocate "going Galt" before, but there are more and more people like me that have the same idea: "Screw it let the system collapse and we will pick up the pieces and start over from scratch, if necessary."

84 posted on 08/04/2014 3:38:05 PM PDT by verga (Conservative, leaning libertarian)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
One person whom I wish had his own show is Pat Cadell, who is one of the most intelligent folks out there.

Agreed. He understood, better than all of the other candidates, how to deal with the then new expanded primary system under McGovern rules. That was also the last election cycle where Uncommitted was a popular choice (winning Iowa), and I instructed my registered Democrat mother to vote for Uncommitted in Connecticut as Ellen McCormick wasn't on the ballot.

Ted Kennedy's strategy of waiting for a deadlocked convention and being coronated would not materialize, nor would Brown's or Church's late entries derail the JC momentum (hmm, both those guys have chicken chain's named after them.) Either Henry Jackson or Jerry Brown could have won that nomination with Pat Caddell running the show.
85 posted on 08/04/2014 3:40:11 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("If you're litigating against nuns, you've probably done something wrong."-Ted Cruz)
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To: verga

Heh, well, I don’t have a “posse”, per se (or official ping list). Just some like-minded folks. I probably should assemble something since I’m accidentally forgetting someone... :-\


86 posted on 08/04/2014 4:03:31 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Dr. Sivana

It would’ve been a curiosity if Scoop Jackson had won in 1976. Ultimately, though, he would’ve been dragged further to the left with a rapidly radicalizing party in the wake of Watergate (hence, probably only marginally better than Carter, perhaps stronger on foreign policy). He also wouldn’t have survived two terms, as he died in 1983 (perhaps earlier under a high-stress job).

Jerry Brown would’ve been a predictable fiasco as a hard-leftist true believer. Just as an observation, had he won in 1976, it would’ve elevated Black leftist Mervyn Dymally to the CA Governorship. He almost certainly would’ve lost in 1978 (as it was, Dymally lost to Mike Curb, the last Republican to win the Lt Governor’s office. Curb had some fun during Brown’s 2nd term).


87 posted on 08/04/2014 4:12:07 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: BlackElk
...neither I nor any conservative OWE our vote to the corrupt ruling class GOPE or Demonrats in Republican drag. If the GOP wants my vote and that of an increasing number of FED UP conservatives, it will have to earn those votes the old-fashioned way by nominating candidates worth voting for.

THAT is the bottom line for me, and for an increasing number of Americans. I've held my nose and voted for the establishment's quisling candidate for the very last time. No more.

If that means the traitor side wins, so be it. They'll only bring on the inevitable showdown that much sooner. It's a fight we badly need to have in this country. I'm sick of the political dancing. We conservatives and patriots are only losing ground every day that we continue to play along with their pointless exercise.

What we're doing here, is similar to the never-ending Middle East "peace process". In the decades that America and the U.N. have bullied Israel into making "peace" with the bearded savages on their borders, the strength and threat of the muslim jihad has only grown worse and more deadly. Israel hasn't benefited from the "peace process", but the muslim jihad sure has.

Just as the Israelis have erred in allowing the cancer on their doorstep to grow, so have we Americans erred in not ruthlessly stomping out the invasive leftist cancer that now threatens to undo everything our ancestors worked and died to bequeath to us.

The political process in this country is dead. What remains of it is just a sham intended to give the appearance that we still have a functioning civil system in place. The present game is rigged to produce the elites' desired outcome, no matter which party wins -- which is why so many of us are revolting against the GOPe's nominees and incumbents. They're playing us for fools, and are asking us to support them in their naked quest to out-liberal the liberals -- shredding the very fabric of this nation in the process.

Sorry, but I won't support that. Not now, not ever. I'd rather the whole thing fell apart and AmRev II started.

88 posted on 08/04/2014 7:17:01 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: BlackElk; fieldmarshaldj; Finny

Phooey. I missed the “Authority”. You know— the one who said to fmdj, “as usual, I was right”. LOL! (What an adolescent.)

The quietest zot ever! Thank you very much for the ping.

Fieldmarshall, you were a class act and the kid self destructs over it. A fine job, dj.

;) Rita


89 posted on 08/04/2014 7:22:34 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming.)
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To: RitaOK

Thanks...

I gotta say I loved when he definitively stated how Willard won Southern NH, I point out he carried precisely ONE of the 6 Southernmost counties and he makes that exclamation about being right “as usual.” I remember reading that reply after I dug up the data on the counties, which he obviously didn’t even look at, and thinking, “WTH ?”

Sometimes you gotta listen to your gut when you’re wondering if a person just misunderstood or if they’re off their meds. That post was the giveaway he was a floor away from Karl Childers.

I glanced at some of his older posts, and he looked to me like a senile dingbat with serious hatred for Southerners (and Ted Cruz). The old school racist slur against Sen. Cruz (since removed) showed he definitely was not playing with a full deck — and this after he lectured me about being “close minded.” Wow !

It’s amazing that crank lasted 4 years here without getting the boot earlier... (hopefully it was a permanent ZOT and not a suspension, since he is bats).


90 posted on 08/04/2014 7:54:13 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; Elsie
Wow, you read a nine-paragraph explanation from a theologian about how choosing to reduce evil is choosing to increase good, and you reply with some unthinking bromide. Sorry for having attempted to start an intelligent conversation.

Elsie is a noted anti-Catholic. And this was actually one of his more intelligent and well though our responses.

91 posted on 08/04/2014 7:55:52 PM PDT by verga (Conservative, leaning libertarian)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Permanent zot should work for him, but there was certainly no zotting fire and smoke with this incineration was there? LOL! It was a great read while it lasted. What a thread, dj!
Rita


92 posted on 08/04/2014 8:16:11 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming.)
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To: RitaOK

Heck, I went to bed, he went bye-bye. If only there was a little camera mounted in the computer rooms of the ZOTTies, just to see their reaction at getting banned... priceless.

“Four years of trolling down the drain !”


93 posted on 08/04/2014 8:22:31 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Wasn’t Mike Curb the Lt. Gov. whose mere presence forced Brown to think twice before leaving CA, lest Curb take advantage of Brown’s absence from the state and veto pending laws, make appointments, issue executive orders, etc.?

Michael Curb was a Mexican-American conservative Republican elected to statewide office in California. Looking at it from the viewpoint of 2014, there would be like 5 things wrong with that sentence.


94 posted on 08/04/2014 9:18:33 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: stephenjohnbanker; sickoflibs; NFHale

Welcome back, playa! SOL missed you. ;D

Best wishes for your health.


95 posted on 08/04/2014 9:47:00 PM PDT by Impy (Think for yourself)
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To: NFHale; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; AuH2ORepublican
RE:” I get the impression he was a DU troll or one of the other sites that trolls us daily. They’ve got nothing better to do.”

Its possible
but he sounds like one of the many in GOP who think that Dole, McCain, Romney, Bush, Christie, ... are the best candidates and would make the best POTUSes if elected.

I know them here in real life. I recall this one coworker lecturing me in 1996 on how Dole was such a great candidate.

96 posted on 08/04/2014 9:50:40 PM PDT by sickoflibs (King Obama : 'The debate is over. The time for talk is over. Just follow my commands you serfs""')
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To: verga; AuH2ORepublican; Elsie; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; NFHale
RE:”Elsie is a noted anti-Catholic. And this was actually one of his more intelligent and well though our responses.”

And she disses the LDS Mormon church too, the only true religion.

IF Joseph Smith, Jr. hadn't found those Golden plates we would still be living in caves sacrificing our children.

He paved the way for Judism and Christianity.

Better yet I love those white blond haired LDS Stepford-like wives. They keep their wimmin under control.

97 posted on 08/04/2014 10:14:15 PM PDT by sickoflibs (King Obama : 'The debate is over. The time for talk is over. Just follow my commands you serfs""')
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To: verga
And this was actually one of his more intelligent and well though our responses.


Aw...  shucks...
 



Some others have noticed his cleanliness and articulation at times; too.

98 posted on 08/05/2014 2:22:54 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: verga
Elsie is a noted anti-Catholic.

HMMMmmm...

I fail to see how this relates to this thread; but I am pleased to see that I am noted; even though my beef is with CatholicISM instead of Catholics; whom I love like brothers.

Yes; brothers, though they claim separation, wondering why I do not wish to carry the albatross of extra-biblical teachings around my neck.

99 posted on 08/05/2014 2:27:03 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: verga
Elsie is a noted anti-Catholic.

There is a whiney group of folks on FR that claim I am a noted HATED! anti-Mormon.

An appellation which I'll have to accept; for Mormons are ALWAYS right...

100 posted on 08/05/2014 2:29:06 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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