Posted on 08/03/2014 3:30:16 PM PDT by Plummz
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is in a close contest against potential GOP rival, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul in a 2016 general election matchup in New Hampshire. Clinton has single-digit leads against New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, and Florida Senator Marco Rubio. She has a wider lead over Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker and Texas Senator Ted Cruz. But, only against Cruz is Clinton supported by more than 50% of New Hampshire voters. Clinton does better than each of her potential opponents among independent voters. The gender gap in all of these matchups is wide.
Clinton is well liked by a majority of New Hampshire residents owing to her strong standing among women. Vice President Biden has a higher negative rating than positive score among residents in the state.
New Hampshire residents give mixed reviews to Republicans Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Scott Walker. The ratings for Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, and Ted Cruz are all upside down with more residents viewing them negatively than positively.
The morning line for the first-in-the-nation presidential primary has Hillary Clinton the overwhelming choice of Democrats over Joe Biden. Both Clinton and Biden are popular among most Democrats in the state.
On the Republican side, there is no clear choice among the potential 2016 New Hampshire Primary electorate for their party’s nominee. More than one in five GOP’ers are undecided, and only Rand Paul, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush have low double-digit support. Each potential GOP contender is viewed more favorably than unfavorably by Republicans in the state. Rand Paul is the most popular among GOP voters.
“New Hampshire always gets a lot of attention because of its status as the first-in-the-nation primary and 2016 will be no exception,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “It may be a frequent stopping off point for the general election, as well.”
Poll Points
-- Democrat Hillary Clinton is in a competitive contest against potential GOP rival Rand Paul, 46% to 43%. She has a narrow lead over Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, and Marco Rubio, 47% to 42%, in each instance. Clinton does better against Scott Walker, 48% to 39%, and Ted Cruz, 51% to 38%. -- Clinton is boosted by her support among independent voters and is backed by the majority of women in each matchup. --Statewide, 53%, of residents have a favorable view of Hillary Clinton including 60% of women. 42% of state residents have an unfavorable opinion of her. Biden is viewed positively by 39% of New Hampshire residents, but 48% have a negative opinion of him. -- Residents in the state divide about how they view several of the potential GOP candidates: Marco Rubio who has a 31% positive rating and a 28% negative score; Rand Paul who receives a favorable rating of 39% and an unfavorable score of 38%; and Scott Walker, with whom voters are least familiar, is liked by 24% of residents and disliked by 23%. -- Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, and Ted Cruz all have ratings that are upside down.
Dems: Clinton Strong Frontrunner
-- Hillary Clinton outpaces Joe Biden 74% to 18% among the potential New Hampshire Democratic Primary electorate for 2016. -- Most Democrats in the state, 94%, have a positive opinion of Clinton. Just 4% view her negatively. Joe Biden is also liked by most New Hampshire Democrats. 79% have a favorable view of him, and 14% have an unfavorable opinion of him.
GOP: No Pace Horse
-- 22% of the potential New Hampshire Republican Primary electorate are undecided in their preference for a 2016 GOP presidential nominee. Paul at 14%, Christie at 13%, and Bush at 10% are the only potential candidates who have double-digit support. -- The contest is no clearer when the potential Republican electorate is asked for a second choice. Rubio is the backup pick of 16%, Bush garners 13%, Christie and Paul each attract 12%, and Ryan is the second choice of 10%. -- 71% of state Republicans have a positive opinion of Rand Paul and only 15% have a negative impression of him. Although each of the potential GOP candidates are more popular than unpopular among New Hampshire Republicans, Paul has the highest favorability rating. A majority of state Republicans like Bush, 65%, Rubio, 58%, and Christie, 52%. 50% have a positive view of Cruz and Walker.
Wrong. Romney is a Trojan Horse who attacked Gov. Palin
in 2008, and gave up in 2012.
The Rat Romney is the reason Obamacare, gay marriage,
and one of the reasons bad government, and support of liars,
exist, in the first place.
Dude, putting an apostrophe in front of that word does not make it cool.
Santorum has a major flaw....... he is a loser
I agree, that’s why I said it was sad. Horrible choices. Cain was interesting, but not ready for prime time.
First Authority, you’re a 2010 sign-up. Fieldmarshalldj has been around here since 2001. His political assessments are pretty damned accurate, and his opinion is well-respected.
You started in with the vitriol at post 24, continued with Post 27.
This is a discussion forum, where you should expect people to have a different opionion than yours.
Courtesy goes a long way towards longevity around here.
Mr. Cain was attacked by the Marriott company.
Hmmmm. Who would THAT be for?
Romney is responsible for ObamaCARE and Obama.
This is some wild thread, imagine what it will be like HERE NEXT year.
Not looking it forward to it!!!!! This is bringing up some bad memories.
I’m gonna be more laid back this time around!!!
Conservatives should NOT place their faith in Red Hampshire.
I see you got scolded here for voting for Republicans, while FM was scolded for NOT voting for Republicans, LOL
“...This is some wild thread, imagine what it will be like HERE NEXT year...”
There’s been worse. People are on edge because so much is at stake.
Folks need to remember who the enemy is, that’s all. Sometimes, we can be our own worst enemies, and instead of learning from it...well, we get McCain.
Patrick Henry said it best in his St. John’s speech:
“....But different men often see the same subject in different lights; and, therefore, I hope it will not be thought disrespectful to those gentlemen if, entertaining as I do, opinions of a character very opposite to theirs, I shall speak forth my sentiments freely, and without reserve. ..”
Why things dissolve into vitriol and name-calling... well, I think there’s a few different explanations for it.
There’s emotions, obviously; there are folks who have a parallax viewpoint - the difference in perspective of the same object when viewed from different angles.
There’s also trolls and disinformatziya folks who look to start trouble.
It is what it is. That’s why there are Admin Mods. Let them deal with it when it gets out of hand.
2008 I recall Huckabee, Romney and McCain as candidates.
And talk radio begging that actor Fred Thomson to jump in and save us.
In 2012, I don't even want to list our choices there, and talk radio was begging Palin to jump in and save us.
McCain and Romney got the campaign $$$ from Chamber types, it was over before the primary reached my state. I dont know I bother voting anyway.
“...I dont know I bother voting anyway...”
Because maybe you still believe in the System, that’s why. Same as most folks do.
To change the candidates, we have to change the Party, and thereby change the leadership.
Right now, both parties are the “Good Ol’ Boy club”. That’s why BOTH of them hate the Tea Party mentality - it’s messing with the status quo.
And that’s a good thing.
__________________
A few years ago, Father Frank Pavone (longtime head of Priests for Life) wrote about what a voter should do when faced with two imperfect candidates. While he was writing specifically about the abortion issue, his teaching on what we should do when faced with the reality of an imperfect world is a sound lesson for all contexts:
“I’m often asked what a voter can morally do if two opposing candidates both support abortion. I recommend asking a simple question: Which of the two candidates will do less harm to unborn children if elected?
For example, is either of the candidates willing at least to ban partial-birth abortion? Is either of them willing to put up some roadblocks to free and easy abortion? Will either support parental notification, or parental consent, or waiting periods? Has either of them expressed a desire to ban late-term abortion, or to support pregnancy assistance centers? How about stricter regulation of abortion facilities? Has either candidate expressed support for that idea? Nobody is saying that’s the final goal. But ask these questions just to see whether you can see any benefit of one of the candidates above the other.
One of the two of them will be elected; there is no question about that. So you are not free right now, in this race, to really choose the candidate you want. Forces beyond your control have already limited your choices. Whichever way the election goes, the one elected will not have the position we want elected officials to have on abortion.
In this case, it is morally acceptable to vote for the candidate who will do less harm. This is not “choosing the lesser of two evils.” We may never choose evil. But in the case described above, you would not be choosing evil. Why? Because in choosing to limit an evil, you are choosing a good.
You can have a clear conscience in this instance, because you know that no law can legitimize even a single abortion, ever. If the candidate thinks some abortion is justified, you don’t agree. Moreover, you are doing the most you can to advance the protection of life.
By your vote, you can keep the worse person out. And trying to do that is not only legitimate, but good. Some may think it’s not the best strategy. But it is morally permissible.
Cardinal John O’Connor, in a special booklet on abortion, once wrote about this problem, “Suppose all candidates support ‘abortion rights’? … One could try to determine whether the position of one candidate is less supportive of abortion than that of another. Other things being equal, one might then morally vote for a less supportive position.” (1990, “Abortion: Questions and Answers”).
What if there’s a third candidate who does not have a strong base of support but does have the right position? Of course, we should work like crazy to build up that person’s base of support to make him or her electable. But that is not done on Election Day. That takes years of work, which should start now.
Meanwhile, remember that your vote is not a vote for canonization. It is a transfer of power. We can vote for a less than perfect candidate because we aren’t using our vote to make a statement, but to help bring about the most acceptable results under the circumstances.”
http://priestsforlife.org/columns/columns2006/06-10-23choosingevil.htm
I shoulda realized something was amiss with First Authority when after I corrected him on Willard’s performance in NH he insisted he was “right.” The guy also made some really nasty posts about Southerners elsewhere. FR profile says he supports the Tea Party but suffers from Cruz Derangement Syndrome and tosses in a racial slur and the debunked birtherism talking point ? Given that Cruz IS the Tea Party in the U.S. Senate, it makes no sense.
Good to see he got the ZOT (and I didn’t even ask for it !).
I didn't read his comments till this morning and then I checked to see if his profile gave that (banned) message, and it didn't yet when I checked.
I couldn't think of anything I wanted to say to him, I figured anyone promoting Romney and calling Cruz names will make lots of *friends* fast here, they don't need my two cents.
Because in choosing a LESSER evil, you are choosing an evil, to be sure.
DAMN the people who only give us EVIL from which to choose!
Bull!
We ARE making a statement!!!
...but to bring about the least evil results under the circumstances.”
Wow, you read a nine-paragraph explanation from a theologian about how choosing to reduce evil is choosing to increase good, and you reply with some unthinking bromide. Sorry for having attempted to start an intelligent conversation.
“We ARE making a statement!!!”
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