Posted on 02/27/2014 9:29:16 AM PST by Hojczyk
The GOP’s probability of taking over the United States Senate increased dramatically Wednesday with the entry of Rep. Cory Gardner into the race against incumbent Obamacare enthusiast Senator Mark Udall in Colorado.
1. West Virginia: Rep. Shelley Moore Capito v. no one. Jay Rockefeller quit after Capito got into the race. She will win, going away.
2. South Dakota: Former Governor Mike Rounds in South Dakota v. no one in South Dakota This is a mortal lock for the popular Rounds.
3. Arkansas: Rep. Tom Cotton v. the hapless legacy senator Mark Pryor in Ark Pryor won his seat because his dad held it for years. Now the combat veteran of Afghanistan and Iraq Tom Cotton has a lead and is building it day by day, as shrinking Pryor struggles to erase all his positive endorsements of Obamacare. Most recently he was for repealing the cuts to career military COLAs after he was for them.
4. North Carolina: A businessman and former Speaker of the North Carolina House Thom Tillis is already ahead of another Obamacare booster, Denocratic incumbent Kay Hagan.
5. Michigan: Former Lt. Governor Terri Lynne Land is contesting an open seat left so by ancient Carl Levin, who has designated a no name with a propensity to disappear even more from voters’ minds. Land is running on the same ticket with popular GOP governor Rick Snyder, and has established an early lead.
6. Virginia: Ed Gillespie is running against a popular former governor-turned-senator Mark Warner, in a purple state, but Warner is tightly tied to both Obamacare and the new governor Terry McAullife, and Gillespie is a pro’s pro with terrific fundraising ability and genuine and deep roots in the Commonwealth.
(Excerpt) Read more at hughhewitt.com ...
Yikes. I had no idea McFadden was a Susan Collins type RINO. Hewitt’s probably touting him because he thinks that squish is “electable” in MN. The good news is there seem to be several good candidates running this time around, I hope Minn. conservatives can settle on one. Chris Dahlberg looks pretty good, except he talks up his ability to find “bipartisan” solutions on his website.
A lot of freepers says Kurt Bills was a disaster, and he did get crushed in the November election. But honestly, looking back on it, I don’t see how anyone else could have been an improvement. Bills was one of the FEW Paulbot candidates (along with Peter Schiff and an handful of others) that I actually liked. Unlike MOST of his fellow Paulbots, he was not afraid to stand up for pro-life and pro-traditional marriage (compared to “I’m personally against it but states can do whatever they want, even if an activist judge in the state is the one who passed it” crowd), and he had a pretty solid record in the MN legislature, voluntarily declining his pay during the 2011 Minnesota government shutdown and introducing viable legislation for scholarships for early high school graduation, and reduction of pay for legislators if the budget is not balanced by the end of the legislative session. (Most of his fellow Paulbots waste their time on fantasy land stuff that will never pass, like demanding a repeal of the 17th amendment) Given that his opponents in the primary were an unknown former Marine Corps sergeant and a private sector businessman who came in 2nd in thep primary for Governor, I’m not surprised Bills won the nomination.
In any case, 2014 gives us a chance to take out Franken, no matter how slim, and we’d be foolish not to pursuit it. Of all the “upset” victories we could get, defeating Franken in Minnesota would be the best.
Any word on New Mexico.
The other Udall is a freshman Senator up in 2014 too.
The map is expanding.
If the primaries go well, many won’t be GOP establishment.
Good capsule review by Hugh Hewitt of the vulnerable ‘rat Senate seats, but I certainly wouldn’t rate New Hampshire last of the 14 in terms of likelihood of GOP takeover.
Bill, I agree that Congressman Roskam would have been the best candidate against Durbin.
Truax’s site says that he’s pro-life, but, under that headline, he said that he supports banning abortions after the 20th week of pregnancy. He’s not pro-life enough, and he hasn’t held an elective office, unlike Sen. Oberweis.
While Hewitt’s optimism makes forms nice read, it’s reaching pretty far beyond the bounds of reality. If all goes well, the GOP will pick up about four seats, and make for some other unexpectedly close races.
My take on Hewitt is very close to yours. I was feeling better about our chances before I read his opinion.
The eternal optimist, thy name is Hugh Hewitt. He must be related to Karl Rove.
Thanks for the ping Justice.
His position is that he believes that “life begins at conception and that the sanctity of all innocent lives should be protected”, NOT that abortion is okay prior to 20 weeks.
What he said is that he will focus on legislation like parental notification and a ban on late-term abortions, because he thinks those things have a better chance of being passed. He didn’t say he wouldn’t vote in favor of banning other types of abortion.
Never to be seen again...
Tennant is running around the state talking about fixing flood insurance. I’d love to have a picture of her next to Obama. I wonder if there were any photos taken at Byrd’s funeral. AFAIK, that’s the only time Obama made it to WV.
Welcome to Colorado! It’s nice to have at least one Conservative move here to offset all the libs that have moved here lately.
I live in Minnesota and have a big problem with Mike McFadden’s campaign.
Other than the obviously desirous ability to self-fund, he is more or less an empty suit. He has dodged a number of GOP debates and has not responded to GOP activists’ inquiries about his campaign and what he stands for.
The Minnesota GOP can do better than Mike “Empty Suit” McFadden. Her name is Julianne Ortman, state senator from the southwest suburbs of the Twin Cities.
Check out her campaign: http://julianne.mn/
Did Mark Kirk beat you up in junior high or steal your girlfriend in high school?
Man, you have a way-out obsession with him. Seriously, you do. It goes way beyond ideology.
I’ve never met Senator Kirk.
You seem to have some kind of creepy obsession with me, the way you stalk every thread where I comment on Kirk, but you don’t go around lecturing all the freepers who are far more obsessed with Lindsey Graham and other RINOs. I wonder why the double standard?
Sorry, try again. I rarely post on here any more and you know full well that it has been a long while since I’ve commented on your obsession with Mark Kirk.
Don’t try to turn this around on me.
However, the MOMENT I do say something about Kirk, you IMMEDIATELY show up here, AGAIN, "questioning" whether I have a personal vendetta against him.
Yet I've NEVER seen you "question" the people who CONSTANTLY foam at the mouth about Lindsey Graham being a homosexual and vow to vote for a Democrat over him, asking them: "Did Lindsey Graham beat you up as a kid or something? Did he steal your lunch money? Kill your dog? You're seriously OBSESSED with him and you ALWAYS post personal attacks about him that go WAY BEYOND mere ideological differences".
And most of the freepers who can't stand Graham and make "he's a homosexual who is John McCain's boytoy" posts constantly don't even LIVE in his state. There's also about 50 times as many "I hate Graham" posts than "I hate Kirk" posts on FR, even though Kirk is far worse.
The only anti-RINO posts you criticize are mine, drawn to them like a mouth to a flame. Your double standard when it comes to attacking my posts on a RINO's record who represents ME would be funny if it wasn't so creepy.
Seriously, what IS your problem?
OK, Billy, I’ll let you have the last word on this.
You’re wrong. Completely wrong. But there’s no use in talking to a brick wall - so I’ll let you have this one.
I don’t think so, unless sustained polling data shows the dems in real trouble beyond the four likely winners. The article is based on a lot of hope about several of the other races.
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