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Posted on 02/27/2014 9:29:16 AM PST by Hojczyk
The GOP’s probability of taking over the United States Senate increased dramatically Wednesday with the entry of Rep. Cory Gardner into the race against incumbent Obamacare enthusiast Senator Mark Udall in Colorado.
1. West Virginia: Rep. Shelley Moore Capito v. no one. Jay Rockefeller quit after Capito got into the race. She will win, going away.
2. South Dakota: Former Governor Mike Rounds in South Dakota v. no one in South Dakota This is a mortal lock for the popular Rounds.
3. Arkansas: Rep. Tom Cotton v. the hapless legacy senator Mark Pryor in Ark Pryor won his seat because his dad held it for years. Now the combat veteran of Afghanistan and Iraq Tom Cotton has a lead and is building it day by day, as shrinking Pryor struggles to erase all his positive endorsements of Obamacare. Most recently he was for repealing the cuts to career military COLAs after he was for them.
4. North Carolina: A businessman and former Speaker of the North Carolina House Thom Tillis is already ahead of another Obamacare booster, Denocratic incumbent Kay Hagan.
5. Michigan: Former Lt. Governor Terri Lynne Land is contesting an open seat left so by ancient Carl Levin, who has designated a no name with a propensity to disappear even more from voters’ minds. Land is running on the same ticket with popular GOP governor Rick Snyder, and has established an early lead.
6. Virginia: Ed Gillespie is running against a popular former governor-turned-senator Mark Warner, in a purple state, but Warner is tightly tied to both Obamacare and the new governor Terry McAullife, and Gillespie is a pro’s pro with terrific fundraising ability and genuine and deep roots in the Commonwealth.
(Excerpt) Read more at hughhewitt.com ...
There are good chances to take out RINOs in the primaries. O’Connell and Cornyn come to mind.
"When asked by RedState about the race switch, Ken Buck said, “I think Cory has the best chance to beat Senator Udall. But I still want to go to Washington D.C. and address the issues I have talked about in my campaign. That’s why I decided to run for the House.”
As for RedState, at this point we are not ready to endorse in the Senate race given Buck’s departure. A Gardner candidacy has its positives and would be a marked upgrade on Mark Udall, but as Senator he most likely would not be the sort of firebrand conservative fighter that Cruz or Lee are. Gears are already turning in Buck’s favor within the conservative organizations that play in House races. Sources have confirmed that groups such as Madison Project and Club for Growth are already preparing the back Buck in a run Additionally, all the funds that Ken Buck raised in his Senate campaign is now transferable to his eventual congressional campaign.
Colorado’s 4th Congressional District is R+11 according to the latest Cook PVI, one of the safest seats in the country for Republicans. Ken Buck’s brand of politics fits the district well. And should he win the seat, which he no doubt would, he would be well positioned to take on Bennett in a 2016 Senatorial rematch. "
http://www.redstate.com/2014/02/26/cory-gardner-senate-ken-buck-switches-house-run/
Whatever R+11 means. Looks to be ok.
R+11 means that there’s an 11% advantage for Republicans.
They’re in deep trouble
Oh, and Hewitt needs a raincheck if he think we’ll allow Kingston to win the Georgia primary
I wish. Senator Steyn.
Which is why the red state primaries are VITAL. Cochran in Mississippi the one to watch
Never going to happen unless you take out every establishmentarian this cycle, a full sweep Cornyn/Cochran/McConnell/Graham/Alexander which is unlikely. Much more likely we could get someone conservative like Inhofe in there.
Not much of an opposition. Tennant is further behind in WV than Windy Davis is in Texas.
Good, because most of the Senate candidates that have been endorsed by Erick Erickson and/or "RedState" in the primary have lived up to the website's name, and caused their state to go communist. We're stuck with uber-RINO Comrade Kirk until 2016, after RedState endorsed him and drank the kool-aid that Kirk was a "fiscal conservative" who will be "with us when it counts"
Seriously though, I'm very relived we won't be stuck with Ken Buck as the GOP nominee in CO (and I'm sure RedState is crying about it because of their delusion that he could win statewide). Unfortunately its too late to follow suit in Illinois and replace Oberweis with a viable conservative like Congressman Roskam for the U.S. Senate race.
There is one in North Carolina who I think will beat RINO Tillis in the primary. Greg Brannon. Rand has endorsed him. He’d be solid, and he has a huge network int he state.
No, Gardner is a 71% rating conservative, but most of his bad ratings are for farming subsidy votes. He’d be acceptable for Colorado.
Glad we’ll see Buck in congress. He’s okay in my book.
Oberweiss still has to beat Truax, who I don’t know enough about.
That's true, but since Truax is unknown, I can't put him in the category of a Cory Gardner. That's why I said a candidate like Peter Roskam would be ideal, except no prominent conservative has run.
The good news is that Truax has updated his website, and he appears to be pretty clearly conservative (pro-life, pro-gun, anti-illegal, etc.) so he's not another Sauerberg (Durbin's laughable 2008 opponent whose "positions" on the issues were things like "government shouldn't waste money" and "corruption is bad") He also has a "twelve reasons" section why we should nominate him over Oberweis, and most of it is very valid, IMO (military vet, married to the same woman for 22 years, lacks all the baggage Oberweis has from the gaffe's in his previous campaigns, etc.)
http://www.dougtruax.com/issues/
http://www.dougtruax.com/twelvereasons/
I agree with Impy on this one. Even if Truax has a 1% chance of beating Durbin, it's better than Oberweis' 0%. Though I imagine Erick Erickson and his friends at MarxistState prefer Oberweis because he's more of a "fighter" (e.g. gets in front of TV cameras and tells them what they want to hear)
Truax is far better than the other ‘business’ candidate we have running this cycle, up in Minnesota. McFadden who is mentioned by Hewitt is essentially Susan Collins lite! I hope he goes down in flames in the MN primary, but the choice of Kurt freakin’ Bills in 2012 to face Klobuchar makes me pessimistic.
I agree.
Because of 6 and 14, we’ll have to win more seats for it to matter.
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