Posted on 01/19/2014 9:22:33 AM PST by afraidfortherepublic
A recent conversation with a veteran of GOP presidential campaigns raised this question: Which, if any, of the recent battleground states are likely to become more Republican by 2016? The consensus: very few.
That reality highlights one problem Republicans face as they seek to regain the White House after six years under President Obama. Lots of factors affect elections: the quality of the candidates, the state of the economy, the effectiveness of the campaigns. But in a country whose demographics continue to change, Republicans will begin this campaign with one significant disadvantage.
Over the past three decades, the political leanings of many states have shifted dramatically. What once was a sizable Republican advantage in the electoral college has become a decided Democratic advantage.
One way to look at this is by comparing two overlapping 20-year periods. In the first, 1980 through 2000, Republicans won four of six presidential elections. In the second, 1992 through 2012, Democrats won four of six.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Central America has lower wage costs than China, so that's an additional benefit. Shipping costs obviously go down some, as well as turnaround time.
Let's face it -- Most people who spend a career in politics are seriously damaged in some way, and when you get to the upper reaches of government you end up with a veritable freak show of disordered personalities.
The problem is that a fouled-up freak appeals to mainstream Democratic voters, but turns off a lot of conservatives who rightly question whether it's in the country's best interest to have people like this in powerful positions.
“Let’s keep in mind that for most of the eight years that the younger Bush was in office, he also had a Republican House and Senate.”
You are just barely right. From jan 2001 to july 2001, he had a 50-50 senate with Jim Jeffords on our side and also had Olympia Snowe, Arlen Specter, and Lincoln Chaffee. From July 2001 to Jan. 2003, the senate was 51-49 dem. when Jeffords swithed.
Only from Jan 2003 to Jan 2007 did bush have the house and senate.
Although you are just barely right, the reality is Bush had the house and senate for half the time.
Reagan spoke with a forked tongue when it came to trade. I believe that the protectionist actions he took were more than overshadowed by the FTA between Canada and the US.
A good first step would be ditching Boehner.
He has neutralized the House and consequently the Republican party.
>> Its because we ceded the infrastructure of the war of ideas.
They’re about to cede the country to foreigners. Republicans must know they will not be the electoral beneficiary of Amnesty. The US will be harmed immeasurably yet the Republicans forge ahead with the Amnesty agenda.
Republicans have ceded their brains to Democrats.
If we lose Texas, that will just about be it.
The best way would be to distribute Electoral Votes proportionally by county.
Rust Belt ? Nah. The whole country would vote for the Republicans. The GOP threw the working family middle class under the bus by exporting their jobs with government to government 'fleece trade' agreements. The opening is there. Obama wants more free trade but the GOP Wall Streeters make the calls. Money = speech and they have a lot of money. So expect nothing from the GOP except Obamacare and Benghazi, rinse and repeat.
Enough time to give a tax cut so we could create jobs [in China] and lose the Democrats for Reagan vote.
I think your Electoral Map might be outdated. The combination of NY, PA, IL, MI, and NJ have lost a total of 6 votes with 4 of those moving to Texas. In 2016, the country will be coming off eight years of a failed presidency. A democrat victory is not inevitable, unless the republican party again enters the general election hopelessly divided.
How the GOPe has managed to take this political environment and turn it into an uphill battle for 2016, is way beyond me.
Falling over and hitting the floor with the help of gravity should be harder.
I don’t think we have a GOPe leader who could actually explain the differences between black and white, with clarity.
And so goes the republic...
What once was a sizable Republican advantage in the electoral college has become a decided Democratic advantage. One way to look at this is by comparing two overlapping 20-year periods. In the first, 1980 through 2000, Republicans won four of six presidential elections. In the second, 1992 through 2012, Democrats won four of six.Shillery for Hillary. Thanks afraidfortherepublic. US Grant was elected to two consecutive terms as POTUS; after Grant, no Republican managed to do that until Eisenhower.
/bingo
> It is not Willards fault.
Yes, yes it is.
> It is really hard to defeat an incumbent president.
And Obama’s approval hasn’t been getting better — almost anyone would have been able to beat Obama if they were solidly for fixing our debt problem. I bet Ron Paul, even with the number of Republicans that think he’s an unelectable kook, would have been able to win.
” unless the republican party again enters the general election hopelessly divided.”
They can’t shoot each other in the primaries, either.
No matter how one slices it, we can’t even get past 200.
In 2012 Mitt Romenycare lost by 5 million votes.
But in 2012 90 million people did not vote! The Republicans only needed about 7% of the vote from people that did not turn out.
Look how close they got even with a semi-conscious, corrupt corpse and a candy ass Taxachusetts liberal.
The GOP can easily beat Hillary if they run Ted Cruz or Rand Paul or some other real conservative. So look for the GOPe to do everything in their power to keep those guys from winning the primary.
Not quite. McKinley won two consecutive terms, but was assassinated in the first year of his second term.
Also, Calvin Coolidge probably could have breezed to a second election victory, but politely decided to "choose not to run.
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