Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

How Romney could have won the popular vote (It all came down to turnout)
Daily Caller ^ | 06/01/2013

Posted on 06/01/2013 5:31:18 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

White and Hispanic turnout fell from 2004 to 2012, according to a new study by the Center for Immigration Studies based on newly-released U.S. Census data.

Had turnout equaled what it was in 2004, 4.7 million more whites would have voted in 2012, of which 4.2 million were not college graduates, according to the study.

Obama received five million more votes than Romney.

“As Republicans think about how they can expand their voter base, the new data suggest that one of their biggest problems in the last presidential election was that so many less-educated whites sat home,” said Steven Camarota, CIS’ director of research and author of the report. CIS favors low levels of legal immigration

“These voters, who have been hit hard by the recession, have traditionally supported Republicans,” Camarota said. “It seems likely that by supporting the Schumer-Rubio amnesty, GOP legislators would further alienate these voters.”

To win the popular vote with female support, Romney would have needed four extra percentage points of the women’s vote (48 percent rather than the 44 he actually received), with each percentage point equating to 714,000 votes.

To earn the popular vote with blacks and Hispanics, Romney would have needed an extra 15 or 23 percentage points, respectively. But the statistics regarding whites demonstrated how closely the Republican candidate came to a plurality win.

With one percentage point of the white vote equating to 980,000 votes, Romney would have won the popular vote with a mere three percent greater turnout.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: damnlies; elections; flawed; flawedanalysis; obama; popularvote; potus; romney; romney2012; statistics
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 61-8081-100101-120 ... 201-207 next last
To: SeekAndFind

He could of if he had actually been a conservative instead of a progressive.

His support of Abortion and the Gay Agenda exposed, his refusal to point out the problems with Obama’s socialism, his refusal to come out completely against ObamaCare, and his complete inability to coherently discuss and push limited government were all proof of his inherent Progressive Liberal tendencies so well displayed in the only political executive position he held, Governor of Massachusetts.

We as Republicans, and especially conservatives, were supposed to believe that a man who supported:

1. Global Warming.
2. Abortion.
3. Gays in the Boy-Scouts
4. Gay Adoption
5. Implemented Gay Marriage All by himself without the Legislature (Unconstitutionally, mind you).
6. Increased Taxes dramatically
7. Supported Comprehensive Immigration Reform.

a few years earlier, somehow, magically, a Republican when he ran for President.


81 posted on 06/01/2013 8:34:04 AM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Carter, Mondale, Dukakis, Clinton, Gore, Kerry, Obama.......there isn’t one damn leader in the bunch. There isn’t even one good manager in the bunch. We keep having elections where the Democrats run good politicians for President. Look at Carter, Clinton and Obama. Not a one of them could run a snocone stand without letting all the ice melt. Those three didn’t get elected for their ability to govern. They were elected because they scared a significant portion of the population into voting for them. Most Democrat voters aren’t voting because of GREED, they are voting because of FEAR. Understand that, and we start winning.


82 posted on 06/01/2013 8:40:09 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Christie at the beach

The election wasn’t lost just on ideology. There just wasn’t any fight in Romney.

They chose the tip toe strategy and it failed miserably. They could have hit Dems hard in places like OH as buffoonish Limosine liberals and they chose not to.

Of course Obama was popular, he was never engaged by the opposition.

When Romney went on offense in the first debate and smacked the kenyan around it was successful. But other than that one time across the board they chose not to fight. GOTV, debates, ads, etc. So they lost. Pretty simple really.


83 posted on 06/01/2013 8:45:39 AM PDT by lodi90
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies]

To: Lady Heron
from the South.

Rick Santorum outperformed Romney by a mile in the south. The southern candidates were pathetic last time around.
84 posted on 06/01/2013 8:49:36 AM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 78 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy
For the record: I voted for Romney. He was the last RINO I will ever vote for. From now on, give me a Conservative or I stay home.

With respect ... yeah. Right. Sure you will. Just like Jim Robinson did, God bless and protect him and his nonetheless.

For the record, for the first time in 36 years of voting, in 2012 I declined a Republican on the ballot (that would be Romney) and voted third party. So did my mom, a lifelong active Republican who had been voting straight R ticket for sixty years. She did so, and I did so, because voting for Romney was voting to empower amorality and evil. Some of us -- thank God, enough of us, saw through the sophistry of voting "against" Obama, a purely pretend fantasy.

I think America had a very close call, I think it's a good sign for America that Romney lost, and I'm grateful for it. Americans CAN and WILL vanquish Obama and be better for it. Romney would have done far more damage in the long run. I'm grateful that he lost.

85 posted on 06/01/2013 9:05:02 AM PDT by Finny (Thy word is a lamp unto my feet, and a light unto my path. -- Psalm 119:105)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: bmwcyle

yes. this will not happen in 2016 either. repub elites don’t want this to happen.


86 posted on 06/01/2013 9:12:49 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: ROCKLOBSTER

yes, i’d rather go off the cliff at 55 mph than 120 mph.


87 posted on 06/01/2013 9:15:09 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Innovative
many conservatives never learn. They don’t grasp that politics is the art of the possible

Oh, conservatives have learned alright...

Poppy Bush
Dole
W Bush
McCain
Romney

RINOs, every one. If that's all that's 'possible' for our side, then it's time we stopped kidding ourselves, and pushed the big reset button on this republic.

88 posted on 06/01/2013 9:17:06 AM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: cripplecreek

they know this, that’s why they did it. they didn’t want to win. they attacked all the conservatives first. gop-e know what they are doing.


89 posted on 06/01/2013 9:18:52 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: dmz

GWB? he NEVER was conservative....

though compared to zer0bama GWB makes Reagan look like Marx.

everything is relative.


90 posted on 06/01/2013 9:20:48 AM PDT by Vaquero (Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies]

To: Secret Agent Man

Oh for God’s sake...

A RINO President, Republican Senate and TEApublican House would be light-years away from where we are now.

Thanks for all your help in ousting the jihadi.


91 posted on 06/01/2013 9:28:03 AM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Hey RATs! Control your murdering freaks.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 87 | View Replies]

To: Innovative
People should remember the Reagan quote on the art of compromise

Reagan never compromised to the point where he became indistinguishable from a Democrat, like the parade of RINOs who've followed him.

When Reagan said 'compromise', he meant it in the true definition of the word - not the bastardized concept it's become. The modern Republican party has rolled further left than the Democrats of Reagan's era - all in an effort to appease the hard core left, and to try to win favor with the gimmedat class. They've abandoned all principle, and are now little more than the reverse side of a perverse coin.

92 posted on 06/01/2013 9:28:03 AM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: Secret Agent Man
they didn’t want to win

Yup, that's what I suspected all along. The country is a mess and cleaning it up won't be popular. Its the same reason they don't want tea partiers in congress, its easier to control people who are dirty and the tea partiers have done a good job of keeping clean.
93 posted on 06/01/2013 9:29:41 AM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 89 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks SeekAndFind.

Missing Republicans — Found!
townhall.com | March 27, 2013 | Michael Medved
Posted on 06/01/2013 8:26:58 AM PDT by jjotto
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3026139/posts


94 posted on 06/01/2013 9:45:25 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Romney would have been worse, if you're a dumb ass.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ROCKLOBSTER

A RINO President, Republican Senate and TEApublican House would be light-years away from where we are now.


So you are saying McConnell wouldn’t be pushing amnesty if he was majority leader? Doubtful. He’d still have his fingers in the pie trying to get as much K Street cash as possible.

The beltway GOP has sold out main street. Until they fear the folks back in the district they won’t adjust their behavior. We can either enable them or hold them to account. So go ahead and vote for Rubio just because he isn’t Obama if you want. I won’t.


95 posted on 06/01/2013 9:48:31 AM PDT by lodi90
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 91 | View Replies]

To: ROCKLOBSTER

you’re nothing but an apologist for the republican gop-e as it stands today.

right now you’re doing exactly what they want, they want you attacking conservatives rather than focusing on them as the problem. congrats, patsy.

yup a mccainiac world where the rinos rip on conservatives and fear them more than his friends across the isle, and obama whom he trusts absolutely, would be a far far better place for us conservatives. /s


96 posted on 06/01/2013 10:09:15 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 91 | View Replies]

To: lodi90

obama attacked romney, biden did too. romney didn’t attack obama back. worst decision ever. it was in many ways dole 96 again.


97 posted on 06/01/2013 10:15:20 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 83 | View Replies]

To: Windflier

Amen, Brother FReeper.


98 posted on 06/01/2013 10:18:25 AM PDT by Finny (Thy word is a lamp unto my feet, and a light unto my path. -- Psalm 119:105)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 92 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

More debunking the PhonyCon Liberal RINO myth that GOP needs Hispanic voters....and must support Illegal Alien Amnesty to get them.


99 posted on 06/01/2013 10:23:27 AM PDT by SeminoleCounty (GOP - Greenlighting Obama's Programs)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cripplecreek
We see this all the time from FReepers who have this ignorant beltway attitude. The only way to win is to become more moderate which means moving the whole country to the left. They whine about the "Extreme right" but never seem to mention the fact that the democrat party has been completely taken over by radical fascists. The moderates will lead us down the same path as the Vichy French because following the democrats leftward like cowering dogs is leading us to slaughter.

I remember that interview with Rush. Man, he NAILED the problem. Yet, Medved and his ilk, in typical fashion, continue to provide cover for LOSERS and cheer on a run to ingratiate the very groups of people who have ZERO interest in re-establishing the Constitutional basis of governing the nation. It's just another Groundhog Day with these clowns.

100 posted on 06/01/2013 10:23:50 AM PDT by TADSLOS (The Event Horizon has come and gone. Buckle up and hang on.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 65 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 61-8081-100101-120 ... 201-207 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson