Hmmm. I wonder if the model accounts for voter fraud and Chicago thug activities?
Guess the Labor Dept. flunkies will have to convince us that unemployment fell to 5.5% by the end of this month. Of course, they’ll have to drop another 10 million people out of the workforce to get that number, but it’s been done before.
Exactly. We can believe the polls if we want to, but they must not govern our actions.
IMHO it is crawl-over-broken-glass time in order to overcome the theft margin.
EVERY VOTE COUNTS!
I have a fairly safe prediction. No matter what happens at the debate tonight, the MSM will immediately hail Obama’s tremendous comeback performance and attempt to demonize Romney for being untruthful, vague and/or rude.
After the last debate, the MSM and the rest of the left wing could not stifle their shock, horror and deep disappointment at Obama. It was like a gag reflex. They simply could not hold back their overpowering urge to vomit.
Now they have had time to reflect and have become even more shocked and horrified to see Romney shoot ahead of Obama in all of the polls. The MSM has way too much emotionally and financially invested in Obama to simply cut him loose now. They will do whatever it takes from now until the election to prop Obama back up.
If they do manage to prop Obama up long enough to get him re-elected, then they will start tearing into him like a pack of wild dogs. The honeymoon is definitely over.
My best guess: Romney wins 280-258. He gets OH, FL, VA, NC, CO and NH plus 1 vote in ME. Obama gets NV, MI, PA, NM, WI and IA.
I’d love it to be a larger victory but anything over 270 will be a blessing.
.............We use two basic measures of economic conditions: unemployment levels and change in real income per capita. Unemployment is measured in two capacities. First is the national unemployment rate. The second is the corresponding unemployment rate in each state…
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It sounds like they are using the bogus government unemployment rate of 7.8% - rather than the
U6 rate that counts the long term unemployed.
That higher real unemployment rate could cause many more accurate predictions!
From your keyboard to God’s ears.
Wow, this is the second time they have included Minnesota in Romney’s column. I do hope they are right. It is discouraging to MN conservatives to always have our EV’s go to the Democrat candidate.
I wish rhe R/R campaign would run some TV ads in the Twin Cities market. It is only about 15 miles to the Wisconsin border, and they could help raise the WI vote plus incentivize the MN vote at the same time.