Yeah, because NH voters speak for me... um no. This whole early primary process is beginning to reek of special interests groups. Where in the constitution does any one state get to pick Presidents? Just another money grabbing, socialist scheme invented by folks who act like first graders. Some of the Iowa snobbery, demanding attention, getting upset when they didn’t get their way. Either it should rotate on a set schedule or be scrapped as an interference in the process. What a buncha demanding first graders. /rant.
This is nothing to this point. It’s based on 19 votes total.
Maybe later on tonight it will have more meaning...and I am sure Santorum and Newt will gain...and at least Paul will fall off some if not Huntsman and Romney too.
ML/NJ
Does anyone have a total delegate count, or a link to one, since some states are proportional and I’m curious to keep tally on the total delegates?
I had some extra time and projected the vote totals for Hillsborough (The largest county in NH containing Nashua and Manchester) and Belknap (Laconia). Breakout by Townships is in the document which is similar format to how I did IA (without the colors).
As of these 2 counties, I’m projecting Romney will get somewhere around 46-47% of the vote. This consists of Romney’s 2008 totals and about half of McCain’s 2008 totals.
Huntsman gets about a 1/3 of McCain voters and most of the Rudy people.
Santorum gets about 80% of Huckabee supporters and what little vote of Duncan Hunter from 2008.
Gingrich gets about 20% of Huckabee voters, 17% of McCain, and what little vote of Fred Thompson from 2008.
The remainder resulting in an increase in voter turnout goes majority to Ron Paul.
As a result with these two counties, I have the following totals:
Romney: 44,840 46.58%
Huntsman: 17,427 18.10%
Paul: 17,334 18.01%
Gingrich: 7962 8.27%
Santorum: 7649 7.95%
Perry: 1059 1.10%
Photo finish between Paul and Huntsman for 2nd. Really depends on how many new voters (i.e. Democrats) turn out for Paul.
Gingrich has an edge of a few hundred votes on Santorum which should stay consistent as the projection formula favors Gingrich since the 17% of McCain he is drawing from is slighty larger or the same that the 80% of Huckabee voters Santorum gets.
Perry gets table scraps. Can’t see him getting over 2% statewide. Looks like he will have to wait to SC.
Tried to ping what people were interested in the data. If Gingrich does get to 11%, then Huntsman will finish behind Paul by virtue of them drawing from the same voting pool.
Perferably, it would be good for Huntsman to finish 2nd and continue to SC, because he would be competing for the same voters on the coast, mid/low country of SC that Romney would, splitting the moderate vote.
Well find out if I’m right or need to go back to the drawing board in a few hours.
As we get ready for another NH election night, we can be certain of one thing: the Republican primary voters there will again leave conservatives out in the cold!
Even Romney’s usual cheering section is having a hard time sustaining enthusiasm: Rich Lowry wrote today, “Romney’s campaign is all technique and no music. His speech in Exeter was schmaltz piled on top of saccharin in a perfect storm of substanceless sentimentality ... He continues to excel in debates by routinely coming up with answers that feel as though they were produced by a crack marketing team for maximum unassailability.”
Of course, we only have a few votes in so far, so it could be a Romney blowout - but I doubt it.
Romney/Paul 3013! Together they are to good for this millenium.
Chris Christie 19.05%
Newt Gingrich 11.9%
Jon Huntsman 9.52%
Sarah Palin 11.9%
Ron Paul 2.38% nor the idiot Paul
Mitt Romney 2.38%
Marco Rubio 21.43%
Rick Santorum 9.52%
Occupy Portland (Maine) protesters headed to NH the day after Iowa. I suspect they registered and participated in the GOP NH primary and probably many from Massachusetts.
ABC News: Romney won
Mitt Romney (R LOL) ......36% ...7,292 Votes
Ron Paul (R LOL) ............24% ...4,912 Votes
Jon Huntsman (R LOL) ....16% ...3,117 Votes
76% of the vote goes to these men in a Republican primary? Wow.
Folks, we really do need to clean up our nomination process.
For reference:
RCP Average 1/5 - 1/9
Romney 37.5
Paul 17.5
Huntsman 14.5
Santorum 11.5
Gingrich 10.3
Perry 1.0
There is no reason why NH should always go so early. It makes as much sense as having Texas, Utah, and Wyoming go early in a Democrat primary.
Already saying Myth won. Sooo surprised by this. NOT!
I’m in NH on the Massachusetts border. The last time I voted in a presidential primary the parking lot was filled with cars from MA. They were voting in the primary to make sure a bad candidate was chosen for the Republicans. I didn’t see any MA plates this time. I hope that’s a sign that the Democrats don’t care if Obama isn’t reelected.
Go, Santorum!
Go, Gingrich!
Romney, Mitt GOP 12,803 35%
Paul, Ron GOP 8,879 25%
Huntsman, Jon GOP 6,263 17%
Gingrich, Newt GOP 3,803 11%
Santorum, Rick GOP 3,499 10%
Perry, Rick GOP 242 1%
Romney hack John Sununu just told CNN that his candidate is afraid of the debates and that he wants the media to keep some of the other candidates out (ie Newt)
It;s slash and burn time. I hope Newt rips this guy to shreds. I could care less if Newt gets more than 5% in any primary as long as he continues to rip the veneer off this phony Lib Mittens Romney.
God help the USA