Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Newt leads nationally but what does it matter? (Newt-35, Mitt-22, Paul-11, Bachmann-7, Perry-4)
PPP ^ | 12/20/2011 | PPP

Posted on 12/20/2011 9:41:14 AM PST by TBBT

It's been a bad week for Newt Gingrich in our early state Republican polling, but we still find him with a good sized lead nationally. He's at 35% to 22% for Mitt Romney, 11% for Ron Paul, 7% for Michele Bachmann, 6% for Rick Perry, 4% for Rick Santorum, 3% for Jon Huntsman, and 1% for Gary Johnson.

On the surface that's good news for Gingrich but looking under the hood it's more bad news to some extent. We haven't done a national poll in 5 weeks, too long ago to make a good comparison, but on 6 state polls we've conducted since Thanksgiving in Florida, Montana, North Carolina, Colorado, Virginia, and New Mexico Newt has always had a lead of at least 19 points over Romney with the average of those polls coming out to a 27 point advantage at 42-15. His present national lead represents some serious shrinkage from that. He's also seen a 13 point decline in his net favorability from our last national poll, going from +45 (68/23) to +32 (60/28).

The most interesting finding in this national poll might be that Romney's net favorability has improved 15 points in the last month from just +9 (48/39) to now +24 (55/31). Republican voters are starting to warm up to him in a way that could pave his path to the nomination. Beyond that Romney is clearly next in line to take the national lead if Gingrich continues to falter.

Not only is he 11 points clear of Paul, his closest competitor, but he's the 2nd choice of 35% of Gingrich voters compared to 16% for Bachmann, 11% for Perry and Santorum, and only 6% for Paul. If Newt's people keep jumping ship they're likely to end up with Romney.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; bachmann; election; georgia; gingrich; huntsman; iowa; paul; perry; poll; polls; ppp; romney; santorum; tennesee; tennessee; wyoming
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-42 next last
Newt leads nationally but what does it matter?

Yes. That is the headline PPP crafted for it's own poll.
1 posted on 12/20/2011 9:41:19 AM PST by TBBT
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: TBBT

Kind of curious.

Have you ever posted anything other than pro Newt or anti everyone else postings?


2 posted on 12/20/2011 9:43:19 AM PST by cripplecreek (Stand with courage or shut up and do as you're told.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT

National polls don’t matter a bit. Ask Rudy Giuliani.

The primary and caucus winners get a boost, and then the next state to vote can either confirm or repudiate the result.

Iowa and NH often disagree, and then SC decides between the two, or occasionally goes in another direction, and keeps one more candidate alive.

Super Tuesday then accelerates things.

This year, Nevada and Florida will also vote before Super Tuesday, so we could see three different winners among all of the early states.


3 posted on 12/20/2011 9:46:16 AM PST by Retired Greyhound (.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT

Many PPP election polls were commissioned by the liberal website Dailykos, although the company states that most of its revenue comes from other sources.


4 posted on 12/20/2011 9:46:20 AM PST by jessduntno (The Republican elite hates him, Rove hates him, Boehner hates him, liberals hate him. It's Newt!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT

Newt is doing well, all considered. He is taking the punches from the radical lefitst media, and dealing it back at the right time too. IMHO, he is the ONLY front-runner that can dish it out, and is not afraid to.

The complicit media, along with the DemoRat socialist party, is used to handing it out in their favor, but is not used to getting back in their faces. Frankly, I hope Newt takes the nomination and gives it to them full force. Along with taking on Obama, toe-to-toe and showing him for who and what he is.

Certainly Romney will not do it. He will pander and cower under the Obama-media machine. And he is not a conservative, even though he says he is -— RomneyCare anyone?

Go Newt!


5 posted on 12/20/2011 9:47:11 AM PST by EagleUSA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT

Before even a single vote is cast, what do any polls mean? Fodder for the pundits and talking heads, mostly.


6 posted on 12/20/2011 9:47:15 AM PST by bigbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT

Will the term “outlier” now find it’s way into the daily reporting?

Will this confuse the narrative that Newt is in a free fall?


7 posted on 12/20/2011 9:50:21 AM PST by TBBT
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jessduntno

I believe that PPP is a Democratic polling Company for the DNC!


8 posted on 12/20/2011 9:50:33 AM PST by tallyhoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: TBBT

Romney has been stuck at 25% or less in every poll taken since the day he was born, no matter how hard they try to ram him down our throats.

It continues to baffle the inside-the-Beltway intelligentsia.

We’re just not that into their boy Mitty.


9 posted on 12/20/2011 9:50:41 AM PST by Yankee (ANNOY THE RNC: NOMINATE NEWT GINGRICH!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bigbob

***Before even a single vote is cast, what do any polls mean? Fodder for the pundits and talking heads, mostly.***

Horse races require a daily racing form.

The media has something on which to base their random acts of asinine.

Supporters need a daily fix of comfort. (guilty)

Detractors don’t believe polls until their candidate is surging. (guilty)

Others are the like tricoteuse during the French Revolution.


10 posted on 12/20/2011 9:57:15 AM PST by sodpoodle ( Newt - God has tested him for a reason..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Yankee

I think Mittens’ nickname ought to be “23 Skidoo”.

He has spent five years running for President and polling at 23%.

He’s outa here!


11 posted on 12/20/2011 9:59:06 AM PST by rogue yam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: All; Retired Greyhound
That's the best take I've seen on things and it's a bit scary.

Romney has Nevada and likely NH locked up. Crazy Iowa could go Paul which they could never live down and, imo, enhance the case for doing away with "tradition."

If Newt is to stay viable, it looks like SC is a "must win" early and FL could go his way but if it goes to Romney, I fear a snowball effect to his benefit.

We know from the Rudy attempt, you can't "start" a campaign in FL.

Even with proportional primaries, I don't see this contest lasting beyond March.

12 posted on 12/20/2011 10:01:34 AM PST by newzjunkey (Republicans will find a way to reelect Obama and Speaker Pelosi.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: TBBT
IA = Newt top two

NH = Newt top two

SC = Newt 1st

FL = Newt 1st

13 posted on 12/20/2011 10:04:22 AM PST by CainConservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT
IA = Newt top two

NH = Newt top two

SC = Newt 1st

FL = Newt 1st

14 posted on 12/20/2011 10:04:38 AM PST by CainConservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT

Only PPP can make a 35 point lead seem like a bad thing.

(Their Iowa Propaganda campaign thingie ain’t workin’ out for them.)


15 posted on 12/20/2011 10:05:05 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT
Nancy flashed

Her Depends

At Newtie

He's been at ends

Since he saw

Her booty


16 posted on 12/20/2011 10:05:31 AM PST by Iron Munro ("Don't pick a fight with an old man. If he is too old to fight he'll just kill you." John Steinbeck)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT

Oops..sorry for the double.


17 posted on 12/20/2011 10:06:03 AM PST by CainConservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TBBT
Lookin' at millions under a circus tent

Watchin' a jackass chase a dumb pachyderm

Oh what a show!

- "Rise Up", Jeremy Hoop

18 posted on 12/20/2011 10:13:33 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Stop BIG Government Greed Now!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: newzjunkey

I don’t think Nevada is locked up for Romney. We have the worst numbers in the nation regarding the depression.

Nevadans are looking for answers.


19 posted on 12/20/2011 10:15:06 AM PST by Dogbert41 (Romney/Brown 2012. Yeah, I know. Can we get real now?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: newzjunkey

Newt is much stronger in Iowa that you think. The latest polling is a scam and is false. It has been skewed by the Paultards, spamming the straw polls. Just wait till the actual voting starts. All the Paulista spam monkies in the world can’t manipulate the true outcome.


20 posted on 12/20/2011 10:15:25 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-42 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson