Romney has Nevada and likely NH locked up. Crazy Iowa could go Paul which they could never live down and, imo, enhance the case for doing away with "tradition."
If Newt is to stay viable, it looks like SC is a "must win" early and FL could go his way but if it goes to Romney, I fear a snowball effect to his benefit.
We know from the Rudy attempt, you can't "start" a campaign in FL.
Even with proportional primaries, I don't see this contest lasting beyond March.
I don’t think Nevada is locked up for Romney. We have the worst numbers in the nation regarding the depression.
Nevadans are looking for answers.
Newt is much stronger in Iowa that you think. The latest polling is a scam and is false. It has been skewed by the Paultards, spamming the straw polls. Just wait till the actual voting starts. All the Paulista spam monkies in the world can’t manipulate the true outcome.
I think we may have a good sense of who will win by March, but there will still probably be three candidates until the convention; Romney, Non-Romney (Bachmann, Perry, or Newt), and Paul.
There is no good reason for Paul to get out, even if he is way behind. He’ll have his support in every state. Romney and a Non-Romney will duke it out. The remaining Non-Romney’s will have dropped out by then.