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The Death of the Sarah Palin Campaign Has Been Greatly Exaggerated
September 17, 2011 | SamAdams76

Posted on 09/17/2011 1:03:44 PM PDT by SamAdams76

Much speculation going on the past few weeks with regard to Sarah Palin and whether or not she will be a presidential candidate for 2012. As we move through mid-September, the majority of those speculating have decided that she is not going to run. Even among those who remain hopeful that she will run, they seem to have given up on the prospects of a Palin candidacy, many of them holding the opinion that even should she enter the race at this point, it will be "too late".

Three questions for those who are convinced that Palin is not going to run:

If you can answer YES to any of the above questions, then you can make the case that Palin is not running for president. However, as the facts stand today, the answers to all of the above are an unequivocal NO.

I also have a multiple choice question for those who feel that it is now too late for Palin to get into this race:

Which of the following presidents announced their candidates prior to October of the year before their election?


a) Bill Clinton
b) Richard Nixon
c) Ronald Reagan
d) None of the above

If you answered: d) None of the above; you would be CORRECT! All three of those presidents announced their candidacies relatively late in the process. To be precise, Bill Clinton announced his candidacy on October 3, 1991. Ronald Reagan announced his on November 13, 1979. And then we have Richard Nixon…he of the high negatives, who waited until January 31, 1968 to announce his candidacy. All three of these candidates not only won their elections handily, but were re-elected four years later. Another interesting factoid: All three of these presidents were considered divisive and had relatively high negative approval ratings throughout their presidencies. They were mostly beloved by those who supported them but were loathed by the opposite party. Yet in the case of Nixon and Reagan (easily the two Republican presidents who are most despised by the political Left), they were both re-elected in two of the largest landslides in presidential history.

Enter Sarah Palin. Like Clinton, Reagan and Nixon before her, there is not much middle ground with respect to where people stand on her. They either love her or hate her. Yes, she is divisive and her entry into the race is going to generate some very strong emotions on both sides of the political fence. But she is a game-changer and perhaps just the person we need at this point in our history to lead our nation out of the abyss that it is currently in. Can she win if she get in? Yes, you bet she can! It probably won't even be close.

The stakes are very high this coming election year. Our nation simply cannot endure another four years under a corrupt and incompetent president who has reduced our standing in the world, degraded the health of our nation and is now in the process of destroying our future prospects. As Ronald Reagan said of the Carter Administration during the 1980 campaign, an "unprecedented calamity has befallen us." Only this time, under the Obama Administration, the calamity is far, far worse. We are now suffering under a chief executive who is not only the most unprepared and unable man to ever hold the office, but one who holds un-American socialist views and surrounds himself with others who feel the same way and who are looting our tax dollars right under our noses to reward themselves and their cronies. Our current president got himself elected with the empty slogan of "hope and change" and once he got into office, he proceeded to destroy all hope and while he brought plenty of change, none of it is good. His supposed solution to our failing economy is to tax working Americans out of more of their money so that it can be flushed away on socialist government programs that are doomed to failure and transferred to people who are either unable or unwilling to work.

It is for these reasons that many Republicans want to play it safe again this election year. Rather than getting behind somebody who can advance the conservative cause, many feel it is more prudent to elect somebody that they believe can more easily beat Obama. Which basically means a watered down Republican who supposedly has appeal to "moderates" and "right-leaning Democrats" (such as those who crossed over and voted for Reagan in 1980 and 1984). This has proven to be a FAILED strategy time and time again.

It is that very line of thinking that has saddled us with weak "RINO" nominees in the past like John McCain, Bob Dole and George Bush (both of them). I simply do not understand why so many conservatives feel that we need a watered-down RINO in order to win a general election. RINOs tend to LOSE general elections, and even when they win, it is usually in a squeaker that produces no mandate for change and with little coattails so that we end up with a mixed Congress. The result is that very little changes - even in the best case scenario, the conservative cause does NOT get advanced using this strategy. The end result is we have a weak president that usually gets replaced by a Democrat.

Ronald Reagan was the last "true" conservative that represented the Republicans in the White House. Yes, he was divisive and polarizing. His negatives were always high because liberals and Democrats did not like him one bit! His approval rating in his first term rarely went over 50% and his negative approval ratings were consistently in the 40s - peaking at 53% negative in January 1983 (just before the recovery started building steam). For those old enough to remember Reagan's first term, it was a very exciting time to be an American. We were transformed from the malaise of the Carter years to a respected world superpower once more with a roaring economy to go with it. This was all brought about not because Reagan tinkered with the economy like Obama and his henchman are trying to do. It was brought about because Reagan did the best he could to lessen the tax burden on both citizens and corporations and to move federal government OUT OF THE WAY as much as possible. Reagan succeeded because he allowed capitalism to actually work. Reagan truly believed that a rising tide could lift all boats while on the other hand, Obama's administration seems intent on draining our economic system so that our corporations and businesses are all run aground or stuck on sandbars.

Now back in the early days of the 1980 campaign, there were whispers in Republican circles that Reagan "can't win the general" and that his nomination would result in another four years of Carter. The knock on Reagan was that he was too extreme, too divisive, too polarizing. Many Republicans of the day felt that we would be better off with George H.W. Bush (with whom much of the establishment got behind early on) and even when Reagan sewed up the nomination, the anti-Reagan feelings were still so strong that moderate John Anderson was encouraged to break from the Republicans and run an Independent campaign.

So lets circle back to Sarah Palin. Now it is not my intention to state that Sarah Palin is another Ronald Reagan. But I think I can state with confidence that Sarah Palin is the best conservative candidate the Republicans have had on a national level SINCE Ronald Reagan. It is apparent that the liberal mainstream media and the Democrats feel the same way because how else could you explain their non-stop three-year crusade to absolutely destroy and marginalize her? I am sad to say that many conservatives have sat on their hands while allowing the other side to "Dan Quayle" Sarah Palin and even sadder to say, some of those conservatives are going right along with the program, by themselves hurling the same arrows at her.

If we sit idly by and allow a fine American like Sarah Palin to be destroyed, simply because she poses a threat to the establishment status quo, then we might as well just turn in our conservative card now and move on over to the other side. Because if we allow Sarah to be destroyed, we have just given the Democrats the necessary blueprint to ensure that another Ronald Reagan is never allowed to emerge again. They will simply destroy any good candidate that we have early on, thereby ensuring that only the John McCains and the Mitt Romneys will ever represent us at the national level again.

Also, I am sick and tired of hearing about how Sarah has waited too long to get into this race and that she is playing her followers for fools. Listen up people, we are still MONTHS away from the Iowa caucus and as mentioned at the top of this article, Sarah has not missed any of the filing deadlines. So why all the hand-wringing that it's "too late…too late"? So why the rush to embrace Rick Perry because he is our "only hope." Now as a Palin backer, I'm not saying that I'm not going to support Rick Perry should he get the nomination. But it's too darn early to be rallying around Perry and settling for second best now when we have other announced candidates still in the race that better represent the conservative cause such as Herman Cain, Rick Santorum and Michelle Bachmann? Yet before the first meaningful vote is cast and before the first delegate is assigned, many of us are already saying those three (in addition to Palin) have no chance to win!

Why are we allowing the mainstream media and a few polling outfits decide for us who should be in the running for the Republican nomination? It's too early to be looking at polls. Let's focus on the candidates who will best advance the conservative cause and support them while they are still in the race. It appears that mainstream media want to shove Romney and Perry down our throats - why do you think that is? It is because those two represent less of a threat to liberalism and the entrenched establishment in Washington. Even if one of those two beat Obama, not too much will change. Neither of those two candidates have the coattails that will result in taking back the Senate and perhaps creating a super-majority in the House. Yet a Tea Party conservative like Sarah Palin can definitely achieve that and that is what has the liberals scared to death - especially after the shocker of the 9th Congressional district election last Tuesday. We've got the liberals on the run - why stop the momentum now? I have no doubt that Palin will get into this thing and when she does, we just might be able to secure a massive mandates a year from November and get ourselves out of the mess that we are in.

I will end this column with the following lines from Ronald Reagan's acceptance speech at the 1980 Republican convention:

"The major issues of this campaign are the direct political, personal and moral responsibilities of Democratic Party leadership - in the White House and in Congress -- [who are responsible] for this unprecedented calamity which has befallen us. They tell us they have done the most that humanly could be done. They say that the United States has had its day in the sun; that our nation has passed its zenith. They expect you to tell your children that the American people no longer have the will to cope with their problems; that the future will be one of sacrifice and few opportunities.

My fellow citizens, I utterly reject that view. The American people, the most generous on earth, who created the highest standard of living, are not going to accept the notion that we can only make a better world for others by moving backwards ourselves. Those who believe we can have no business leading the nation.

I will not stand by and watch this great country destroy itself under mediocre leadership that drifts from one crisis to the next, eroding our national will and purpose. We have come together here because the American people deserve better from those to whom they entrust our nation's highest offices, and we stand united in our resolve to do something about it…(snip)

Can anyone look at the record of this administration and say, "Well done?" Can anyone compare the state of our economy when the Carter Administration took office with where we are today and say, "Keep up the good work?" Can anyone look at our reduced standing in the world today and say, "Let's have four more years of this?"

I believe the American people are going to answer these questions the first week of November and their answer will be, "No--we've had enough." And, then it will be up to us -- beginning next January 20th -- to offer an administration and congressional leadership of competence and more than a little courage.

Ronald Reagan - July 17, 1980 at the Republican National Convention



TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: palin; sarahpalin
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To: Semper911

Go right ahead! I snagged it myself! :)


181 posted on 09/17/2011 6:06:10 PM PDT by CajunConservative ( Leadership. It is defined by action, not position.)
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To: American Dream 246
Well, at that point of the race, I don't see why ANYONE should make a choice. Why do we have to make a choice 14 months before the elections? Sarah said she will declare in September. I believe her. If she does not, then we will see. But for now, I will not push anyone else. I don't like anyone else. So I wait. We have plenty time.

Well said. I don't understand the hostility of the anti-Palin Freepers. If she's not running, we'll be made aware of it within a few more weeks and we'll have to find another candidate to support. If she does run and is so unelectable as they claim, then she'll be knocked out of the race early and we'll have to find another candidate to support. So what are they so angry about? Aren't the primaries all about giving all the candidates a decent shot to make their case?

182 posted on 09/17/2011 6:06:56 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (All my replies get posted to AttackWatch)
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To: humblegunner

Poster 1:
my wife and i are palin supporters.

Humblegunner
Have either of you heard of capitaliztion?

George (me):
Humblegunner, have you heard of Spelling 101 ?
capitaliztion ?

I mean, if you’re going to call them out ... get it right.

-George


183 posted on 09/17/2011 6:11:23 PM PDT by Calif Conservative (rwr and gwb backer)
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To: FreeReign

Using your logic, looks like the only one we can vote for is Romney — since he’s the only one who beat Obama in the same poll

-George


184 posted on 09/17/2011 6:13:57 PM PDT by Calif Conservative (rwr and gwb backer)
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To: SamAdams76

“Aren’t the primaries all about giving all the candidates a decent shot to make their case?”

Emphasis on CANDIDATES — those who declared and ARE “making their case”. Palin is not doing that.

And she could string you along for months. If she doesn’t say yes or no by end of September, will you wake up and realize she is not running, or just extend her “deadline” to October, November, December....November 2012?

Your detachment from reality is NOT harmless. The few percent of the people who are “waiting for Palin” may be what will help Romney beat Perry and then be beaten by Obama.

That’s how McCain got the nomination in 2008. And some never learn. Palin may be much better looking than Fred, but she is playing the same game.


185 posted on 09/17/2011 6:18:42 PM PDT by Clairity ("The United States needs to be not so much loved as it needs to be respected." -- VP Dick Cheney)
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To: ari-freedom

Pssst...Perry has a job....


186 posted on 09/17/2011 6:30:14 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: ari-freedom

Pssst...Perry has a job....


187 posted on 09/17/2011 6:30:32 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: SamAdams76

When asked if she is running, she had given a mid-september deadline for deciding. which means, it left an open question. if she wasnt running, why not say so? if she is running, there can be reason to not disclose.


188 posted on 09/17/2011 6:33:04 PM PDT by gingerales
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To: Clairity
Your detachment from reality is NOT harmless. The few percent of the people who are “waiting for Palin” may be what will help Romney beat Perry and then be beaten by Obama.

But how can that be? The first votes in the primary season aren't until February? So how exactly does the "waiting for Palin" crowd help Romney beat Perry when nobody can vote for either candidate for nearly four more months? By which time, we'll know for sure whether Palin is in or out.

189 posted on 09/17/2011 6:34:46 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (All my replies get posted to AttackWatch)
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To: Calif Conservative; Clairity
Looks like you'll have to cross Perry off your list. Latest Rasmussen poll shows Obamy beating Perry by 7.

Using your logic, looks like the only one we can vote for is Romney — since he’s the only one who beat Obama in the same poll

Unbelievable.

Where did I ever say that I would pick a candidate based on MSM polling?

The logic you are referring to is the other poster's logic and not mine. Go tell him/her that his/her logic in post #34 suggests that we should vote for Romney.

Pointing that logic out was my point.

190 posted on 09/17/2011 6:41:47 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Sacajaweau
Pssst...Perry has a job....

Psst. Perry needs to either run for president full time of perform his functions as governor full time.

191 posted on 09/17/2011 6:43:33 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: FreeReign
Psst. Perry needs to either run for president full time of perform his functions as governor full time.

Pssst....our legislature isn't in session now and won't be again until 2013. Perry can manage both.

192 posted on 09/17/2011 6:46:14 PM PDT by Allegra (Hey! Stop looking at my tagline like that.)
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To: Allegra
...our legislature isn't in session now and won't be again until 2013.

So then the governor of Texas performs no full time function while the legislature is in session. ...Pssst back to you.

193 posted on 09/17/2011 6:48:43 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Allegra

Correction: So then the governor of Texas performs no full time function while the legislature is NOT in session. ...Pssst back to you.


194 posted on 09/17/2011 6:50:28 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Semper911; prisoner6
I can't speak for Prisoner6, but here is my take:

You each have a highly principled opinion, but please consider that there is no need to wait for a top surgeon before you stop the bleeding. Our country deserves some first aid from the current trauma.

Nonsense. This country is hemorrhaging rights, and she is quickly becoming unable to keep her sovereignty. First aid my a$$. These sonsab*tches on BOTH sides of the aisle are selling us down the river. Until you realize that the two parties are just two legs of the same order, you will continue to be part of the problem.

If you aren't voting for a dyed-in-the-wool, rock-ribbed Conservative, you are simply whistling past the graveyard. Some plastic-banana, feel-good win ain't gonna change a damn thing.

We cannot allow Obama another term. No matter what. [...]

If our candidate is not a Reagan Conservative, there is no substantial difference between him and what you would replace him with; so your position does not hold water. Right now, the closest thing up there to a Reagan Conservative is Perry - and he is a long way off of the mark (Far enough that I will not vote for him).

[...] Are you willing to put the country at risk to stand by your principles?

It is my principled opinion that it cannot be fixed without a total reboot - So I would rather do that now than later anyway, while we still have the commitment to liberty that we have left. Another generation given to the nanny state, and there won't be enough gumption left to save it, nor will there be anything left to save...

And I will always risk ANYTHING to stand upon principle - Principles are 'first things'. They are always paramount, else they are not principles. You do right because it is the right thing to do. Remember the will of our fathers. Each time you compromise those founding principles, you are not standing in the breach, but making one instead.

We all would love to have a true conservative as president. But we have to fight the enemy first!

That is HOW you fight the enemy! The liberals NEVER compromise. Where the hell did you get the idea that there is victory in compromise on our side? It is ABSURD. If you think there is ANY substantial gain in a mere Republican, we are already lost!

195 posted on 09/17/2011 7:03:20 PM PDT by roamer_1 (Globalism is just socialism in a business suit.)
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To: FreeReign

I believe all of the candidates are currently employed.

It is not unusual for presidential candidates to have a job while they are campaigning.


196 posted on 09/17/2011 7:06:36 PM PDT by Allegra (Hey! Stop looking at my tagline like that.)
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To: Allegra
So then the governor of Texas performs no full time function while the legislature is NOT in session.

I believe all of the candidates are currently employed.

I've raised the same concerns about Bachmann. For example, she has missed a large number of votes.

It is not unusual for presidential candidates to have a job while they are campaigning.

I fully understand it's not unusual. Doesn't make it right.

197 posted on 09/17/2011 7:15:12 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Sacajaweau

Poor, poor baby, Gov. Palin not doing what you think she should be doing? Or maybe you are really just a Ron Paul supporter.


198 posted on 09/17/2011 7:29:28 PM PDT by texhenry
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To: SamAdams76

“Thoughtful comments on your part but I disagree that there is total silence from Palin. She gave two speeches over Labor Day weekend in both Iowa and New Hampshire and those were political speeches that you would only expect a candidate to give.”

Which made it all the more odd that she didn’t declare, didn’t give any indication of her preparation for same, and just left it hanging. It was the perfect time, place and venue to declare -and she didn’t. Sometimes, silence tells you all you need to know, and you got pick up on the obvious. She spoke as a Tea Party event keynoter, not a candidate.

“She posts articles on a regular basis on subjects that you would expect a candidate to expound on. “
Rush Limbaugh expounds on these every day too, but he’ll never be a candidate. As does Huckabee, Glenn Beck, etc. Palin’s actions are the actions of a celebrity-pundit-activist-public-speaker. She’s not done the candidate stuff, like line up fundraising support and consultants, etc. Only her fans are blind to these tipoffs to her non-candidacy. (they are also tipoffs that if she did run, it wouldnt go smoothly.)

Your speculative thousands of words are not necessary. She is not a candidate for President in 2012, and if she were, she’d have let us in on her thinking by now.


199 posted on 09/17/2011 7:32:53 PM PDT by WOSG
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To: upsdriver

Did I ping you? Must have hit a nerve. Guilty dog barks first. Brown nose, brown truck, brown out.


200 posted on 09/17/2011 7:36:14 PM PDT by dusttoyou (paulnutz/bachnutz/palinwishers are wee-weeing all over themselves, Foc nobama)
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