Posted on 08/10/2011 11:07:32 AM PDT by smoothsailing
Seth Mandel
August 10, 2011
In April, Human Events published a column offering ten reasons Sarah Palin will run for president. Last month, Fox News host Greta Van Susteren blogged about the seven reasons Palin will run for president. Then last week, Henry D’Andrea, writing in the Washington Times, offered three reasons he believes Palin will run for president.
Though I’ve been skeptical all along that Palin would run, I would imagine the entrance of Rick Perry into the race will give Palin one very good reason not to. Perry’s candidacy has, as many others have pointed out, put several of the Republican campaigns on life support. As I wrote last week, the latest Gallup poll numbers show once Perry is included, Republican primary voters show substantially less interest in candidates outside the field. There may still be calls for Paul Ryan or Chris Christie to get in the race, but Perry has quieted the clamoring for “someone else.” But the numbers also show why he easily replaces Palin.
Perry has two impressive numbers in the Gallup polling: his overall placement (second, right behind Mitt Romney) and his “positive intensity score.” Gallup defines this as “the difference between strongly favorable and strongly unfavorable opinions among those who are familiar with him or her. This score provides an indication of the intensity of support among a candidate’s base of followers at any given point in the campaign.”
In the most recent Gallup polling, Perry’s positive intensity score is at 23, five points higher than Palin’s 18. The full poll, however, shows when Perry and Palin are in the race together, Perry polls at 15 percent to Palin’s 12. (The poll includes Rudy Giuliani as well.) Additionally, Perry has the kind of grassroots support, popularity with conservative new media and solid reputation among conservative evangelical voters from which Palin would build a campaign.
For Palin to run, she would need to focus her firepower on a moderate establishment candidate, like Romney. But Perry may well begin his official campaign as either the frontrunner or close to it. A Palin candidacy would seem unnecessary to primary voters once Perry is in the race. I’m sure speculation will continue, but Perry seems to have closed the door on a Palin candidacy this year.
They knew it the first time they saw her.
It's why they go insane every time they think of her.
Seth Mandel= Perry supporter.
I agree with that. I also think that it won't be a case of Perry or Palin vs. Romney, but it will instead quickly become Perry vs. Palin as Romney fades to his actual level of irrelevance.
Everything I know about Palin tells me she would never jump into the race with someone like Perry dragging from her ankles. She has to run against Obama, run hard, attack her opponent. Not defend her running mate and waste time addressing questions about his positions and his record.
Where she’ll find a decent running mate, I don’t know, but Perry isn’t that.
Perry ahead of Palin? and who campaigned for Perry and made the big difference so that Perry won? Palin
Palin will suck the air out of Perry’s presidential aspirations. The media will forget about Perry as soon as Palin walks into the room and declares her candidacy.
I am sorry but Perry is nothing more than a RINO, a Republican establishments wet dream.
The Perry buzz is all astroturf from his Texas pals.
I don’t think Palin will ever again in her life agree to be anybody’s VP choice
I am equally sure, Perry will not select her and does not need her in a successful a Presidential run. Besides, I don’t think Palin Perry works.
Because there is SO much talent in the Conservative camp right now, this is all going to get even more interesting. But never discount ‘personality’ as a factor.
“Is Door Closed on Palin?”
Nope. Romney needs her to split votes with Bachmann, Cain and to a lesser degree, Perry. Without Palin splitting that vote, no way Romney wins the nomination.
Cain's not getting any votes, and neither will Bachmann. Don't fall for the polling, she's a placeholder candidate who runs behind two candidates (Palin and Perry) who aren't even in the race yet.
and to a lesser degree, Perry
Perry in the race hurts Romney more than it helps him. It's either Romney or Perry vs. Palin, and I can't see how Romney edges out Perry on that score.
Perry and Bachmann have the potential without Sarah in the race to split votes so Romney can win the nomination.
Romney remains the annointed one of the beltway set and they will do whatever they have to so he can win, hence candidates to split conservative votes.
Has she done the groundwork and built the party support that it takes to run?
Perry and Bachmann have the potential without Sarah in the race to split votes so Romney can win the nomination.
Romney remains the annointed one of the beltway set and they will do whatever they have to so he can win, hence candidates to split conservative votes.
Perry and Bachmann have the potential without Sarah in the race to split votes so Romney can win the nomination.
Romney remains the annointed one of the beltway set and they will do whatever they have to so he can win, hence candidates to split conservative votes.
[ Where she’ll find a decent running mate, I don’t know, but Perry isn’t that. ]
Bachmann / Caine.. the dream team...
Palin would make a good person in Bachmanns cabinet.. or even as White House chief of Staff..
1. Energy crisis.
The only quick fix available to this country is to develop our energy resources immediately and even begin to export them. This could solve our national debt problem. Putting people to work on energy could solve our employment problem. We could also begin to dismantle the beast in Washington. Sarah is ideally suited for all of these tasks. Of course she would need the help of the House and Senate.
Palin absolutely ass-smacked him, 67% ~to~ 33%.
I guess this rump-weasel didn't get the memo. Sarah Palin is within 2 weeks of officially announcing her candidacy, and the political earthquake that she will set off in so doing will make these imbeciles' heads spin and eyeballs rattle.
Yawn...
” I’m sure speculation will continue, but Perry seems to have closed the door on a Palin candidacy this year.”
The loon that wrote this needs an enema, a turbo enema.
I also think that it won't be a case of Perry or Palin vs. Romney, but it will instead quickly become Perry vs. Palin as Romney fades to his actual level of irrelevance.I think you're right. If Palin gets in (I assume Perry is in), then Romney and Bachmann will recede down towards zero and the race will become Perry vs. Palin.
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