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The Coming Crash of 2013
American Spectator ^ | 6/8/11 | Peter Ferrara

Posted on 06/09/2011 9:03:03 AM PDT by rhema

On Inauguration Day, 2009, President Obama seemed so politically blessed by the timing of developing economic trends. I expected that based on American economic history, recovery from the recession should have occurred some time during 2009. Even the longest previous recession since the Great Depression would have resulted in a recovery in summer 2009, as the recession began in December 2007. Moreover, prior American history had shown that the deeper the recession the stronger the recovery. So I was expecting President Obama to pass his economic recovery plan, as foolhardy and ineffective as I believed it would be, and then to ride a wave of adulation as the economy roared back later in the year, which it should have done just on its own according to long established rhythms of the business cycle.

So even I have been surprised by the reality that President Obama's economic policies have been so disastrous that they have prevented any real recovery from getting off the ground, at what is now three and a half years since the recession began.

In America, the economy does not fall into stagnation and just lie there for years, which is the narrative of the Obama Administration, thinking the American people are too stupid to know their own country. Our economy has periodically fallen into recessions, but recovers to show robust economic growth within a year or two. That is why chief White House economist Austan Goolsbee, who does know better, is playing with us when he says as he did last Friday in response to the May jobs report, "there are always bumps on the road to recovery, but the overall trajectory of the economy has improved dramatically over the past two years."

The Worst Recovery Since the Great Depression

How much time do Obama and Goolsbee

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: debt; default; depression; economy; monetization; obama; qe
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1 posted on 06/09/2011 9:03:07 AM PDT by rhema
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To: rhema

Goolsbee is getting out while the getting’s good.
He is as clueless as the rest of the ‘economic team’.
All they know is books and theories.
None of them have ever worked in the real world, ever had to make payroll, ever had to actually produce a product.
They are intellectual know-nothings..................


2 posted on 06/09/2011 9:09:18 AM PDT by Red Badger (Nothing is a 'right' if someone has to give it to you................)
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To: rhema
If we recover, it will be in spite of, not because of, the 0bama regime's marxist dictatorial policies.
3 posted on 06/09/2011 9:11:36 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: rhema

I am beginning to think that the crash will come by autumn.


4 posted on 06/09/2011 9:14:57 AM PDT by Lysandru
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To: Lysandru

I NOW know it’s coming....my husband suddenly yesterday, after reading some financial people, has decided what I’ve been saying for the last 2+ years is probabaly correct....(”we’re going to lose our investments, so be prepared”)


5 posted on 06/09/2011 9:17:21 AM PDT by goodnesswins (...both islam and the democrat plantation thrive on poverty)
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To: rhema

The author is correct. If Obamacare is allowed to kick-in and the Bush tax cuts are allowed to expire after two more years of doing nothing to rein in spending, we will be facing Great Depression 2.0


6 posted on 06/09/2011 9:21:25 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: rhema

Historically and trend ignorant.

Sky is falling! Run for your life!


7 posted on 06/09/2011 9:21:25 AM PDT by Peter from Rutland (!@)
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To: rhema
The centerpiece of Obamanomics was the old-fashioned Keynesianism that was a proven failure and left for dead 30 years ago.

Keynesianism has failed every time it has been tried.

It always makes the situation worse than if nothing were done.


8 posted on 06/09/2011 9:21:29 AM PDT by Uri’el-2012 (Psalm 119:174 I long for Your salvation, YHvH, Your law is my delight.)
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To: rhema

Economists will do what economists have always done... look backwards and compare today to past recessions. I submit that this is a waste of time as we are in uncharted waters here. By rights we should be climbing out of this recession with some strong growth numbers and a firming of employment. But all we hear month after month is the word “unexpected” as in “unexpectedly high numbers for first-time unemployment filing” or “unexpected weak GDP numbers” or “unexpected leap in the CPI”.

When does the regular News media figure out that the Business News people have pretty much given up? Flip on CNBC or Bloomberg. Listen to the commentary. They know that there’s no “recovery”. Oh they still get excited about the occaisional IPO or a particular stock’s performance, but that’s it.

We are in deep, deep trouble.


9 posted on 06/09/2011 9:22:40 AM PDT by Tallguy (You can safely ignore anything that precedes the word "But"...)
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To: rhema

My personal opinion, FWIW, is predictions of “economic collapse” are as valid as the predictions of the 5-12-11 rapture. Or in predicting earthquakes. At least that is what Prof. Chick N Little says on his web page.


10 posted on 06/09/2011 9:24:33 AM PDT by Cyman
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To: rhema

When Jon Stewart on CC rags Obama’s ass about job numbers, his ‘folksy’ talks at businesses and stupid comments, etc., we are in deep, deep doo-doo.... I saw this on his show last night after returning from a long trip and it was then I finally thought, “Zer0 has finally jumped the shark”.


11 posted on 06/09/2011 9:24:33 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Peter from Rutland

See post 9


12 posted on 06/09/2011 9:24:39 AM PDT by goodnesswins (...both islam and the democrat plantation thrive on poverty)
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To: rhema
Obamanomics doggedly followed the opposite of Reaganomics in every detail.

Because Hussein hates America and wants to destroy it.

13 posted on 06/09/2011 9:24:55 AM PDT by mjp ((pro-{God, reality, reason, egoism, individualism, natural rights, limited government, capitalism}))
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To: Buckeye McFrog

The author is correct. If Obamacare is allowed to kick-in and the Bush tax cuts are allowed to expire after two more years of doing nothing to rein in spending, we will be facing Great Depression 2.0——

We are already facing it.

If nothing is done to change course (oust Obama), we will no longer be facing it, we will be IN IT.


14 posted on 06/09/2011 9:30:51 AM PDT by Freddd (NoPA ngineers.)
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To: Tallguy

The market is up today simply because the trade deficit narrowed a bit last month, due to the Japan earthquake.

This ‘recovery’ is non-existent. When a real recovery means 500,000 new jobs each month and we actually get 54,000, half of which were McDonald’s hires, THAT’s trouble.


15 posted on 06/09/2011 9:35:10 AM PDT by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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To: Cyman

The thing to watch for is when the fed begins to contract the money supply ( they have to eventually ) watch the speed at which it is being contracted. If the fed puts a chokehold on the money supply, then it is time to cash out.....if it takes a slow steady squeeze, then the recession will finally be allowed to run it’s course...temporary difficulty, but we will recover...if a stranglehold is put on the cash supply, then depression #2 will be fully underway...


16 posted on 06/09/2011 9:42:31 AM PDT by joe fonebone (Project Gunwalker, this will make watergate look like the warm up band......)
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To: Deo volente
When a real recovery means 500,000 new jobs each month and we actually get 54,000

It's worse than that. The "54,000" number includes an adjustment of "206,000" jobs due to the birth-death model, claiming that Americans created "206,000" net new businesses in May. By these rules, someone whose unemployment ran out, but is getting credited with $3/month on web hits on their personal web page is a new job created.

17 posted on 06/09/2011 10:00:22 AM PDT by bIlluminati (Don't just hope for change, work for change in 2011-2012.)
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To: rhema

When “people” finally realize that whatever government, and administrations touch goes to crap in a handbasket, as far as economic policies go, and that the “people” are the ones who will adjust and take charge and not rely upon governemnt to “fix” this situation for us...

That’s when things will start to get better...Till then, we have to put up with the nonsense...


18 posted on 06/09/2011 10:07:12 AM PDT by stevie_d_64 (I'm jus' sayin')
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To: rhema

2013 ? I dont know that it will last that long. I wake up every day and ask “Is today the day?”. I must admit that I have been thinking this way for a year and a half now. If we have 2 more years I will be in pretty good shape. Been prepping for two years, small retreat to go to. Planning, thinking, buying supplies all the time.

Its going to get pretty tough here in the next couple years.


19 posted on 06/09/2011 10:56:17 AM PDT by Harry Pothead (Go Sarah!)
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To: Peter from Rutland
Sky is falling! Run for your life!

No, the sky is fine, it's the country, the American standard of living and economy that's falling and in steady free fall.

All while your leaders spend their days posing for pictures in their underwear.

20 posted on 06/09/2011 11:01:47 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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