Posted on 02/11/2011 11:43:37 AM PST by NormsRevenge
Last week a severe storm froze Dallas under a sheet of ice, just in time to disrupt the plans of the tens of thousands of (American) football fans descending on the city for the Super Bowl. On the other side of the globe, Cyclone Yasi slammed northeastern Australia, destroying homes and crops and displacing hundreds of thousands of people.
Some climate alarmists would have us believe that these storms are yet another baleful consequence of man-made CO2 emissions. In addition to the latest weather events, they also point to recent cyclones in Burma, last winter's fatal chills in Nepal and Bangladesh, December's blizzards in Britain, and every other drought, typhoon and unseasonable heat wave around the world.
But is it true? To answer that question, you need to understand whether recent weather trends are extreme by historical standards. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project is the latest attempt to find out, using super-computers to generate a dataset of global atmospheric circulation from 1871 to the present.
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/about/
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What does ESRL do for the nation?
At NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), scientists study atmospheric and other processes that affect air quality, weather, and climate. By better understanding the dynamic Earth system, we can better understand what drives this afternoon’s haze, next month’s hurricanes, and next century’s climate. ESRL researchers monitor the atmosphere, study the physical and chemical processes that comprise the Earth system, and integrate those findings into environmental information products. Our work improves critical weather and climate tools for the public and private sectors, from hourly forecasts to international science assessments with policy-relevant findings.
"There's no data-driven answer yet to the question of how human activity has affected extreme weather," adds Roger Pielke Jr., another University of Colorado climate researcher.I think that sentence should be revised to say:
"There's no data-driven answer yet to the question of how
whether or not human activity has affected extreme weather...
You see this phrase over and over in the AGW debate. Any real scientist knows that any model, which tends to make inaccurate predictions, is false.
The only thing different from a few decades ago is that the media has become ever more hysterical over every single weather/disaster event.
Snowstorm? IT’S THE WORST STORM IN HISTORY!!!
Hurricane? IT’S THE WORST HURRICANE IN RECORDED HUMAN HISTORY!!!
Earthquake? THIS IS THE SINGLE WORST DISASTER EVER!!!
No matter what, they have to spin it into the biggest, the worst ever.
All part of the globull warming hoax they are perpetrating, in collusion with the “scientists” and the gooberment morons.
So, we are expected to be satisfied with nondata-driven answers? Isn’t that pie-in-the-sky?
One of the most commonsense articles I have seen on the subject in the mainstream.
Kudos to the author.
I was in Dallas in December of 1982 for work. I got up one morning to a rental car covered in at least 1/2” to maybe 1” of ice. When I got in the car, finally, it was still a problem. The ice wasn’t melting, even with the car running. No scraper, who needs an ice scraper in Dallas, right? I ended up using a credit card.
When the media and the public have the attention span of a gnat, and the memory capacity of a fence post, you’ll have this kind of hysterics.
And if the scientists don't understand all of the variables or miss some of them, that dataset will be useful?
Computer programs cannot generate data for your theory, it has to be measured from the real world and they haven't even figured out how to get accurate historical temperature data.
Nondata-driven answers are the only ones we've been getting from the alarmists. Of course, if the data doesn't fit their theories and expectations, they adjust or cherry-pick it until it does.
Actually, I’d say “how” is a perfectly appropriate term to use:
Multi-generational in terms of human lifespans, equivalent to a nanosecond in terms of the earth's existence.
The correct statement is “the weather is reverting to the mean”
We have been told the both milder AND colder winters, droughts AND too much rain, cooler AND warmer summer are all caused by globull warming. It isn’t a hypothesis when EVERY weather event “supports” your hypothesis. It is a cult.
Global cooling killed the dinosaurs.....or not......LOL
in this area, most of the 'record' his and lows occured around the turn of the century...the PREVIOUS one...
And yet there is never any positive benefit mentioned.
We have had some significant volcanic activity in Iceland. Anybody figured that into the equation?
There are puffers all over the globe pumping away daily,, reckun it could be tectonic induced chillling,, the Earth contracts as the sun activity lowers, lava pops up like pimples all over.. spewing all kinds of stuff in the atmosphere and waaalaaa.. or it’s just part of a natural cycle.
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