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The Weather Isn't Getting Weirder
WSJ.com Account: ^ | 2/10/11 | Anne Jolis

Posted on 02/11/2011 11:43:37 AM PST by NormsRevenge

Last week a severe storm froze Dallas under a sheet of ice, just in time to disrupt the plans of the tens of thousands of (American) football fans descending on the city for the Super Bowl. On the other side of the globe, Cyclone Yasi slammed northeastern Australia, destroying homes and crops and displacing hundreds of thousands of people.

Some climate alarmists would have us believe that these storms are yet another baleful consequence of man-made CO2 emissions. In addition to the latest weather events, they also point to recent cyclones in Burma, last winter's fatal chills in Nepal and Bangladesh, December's blizzards in Britain, and every other drought, typhoon and unseasonable heat wave around the world.

But is it true? To answer that question, you need to understand whether recent weather trends are extreme by historical standards. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project is the latest attempt to find out, using super-computers to generate a dataset of global atmospheric circulation from 1871 to the present.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: weather; weirder
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1 posted on 02/11/2011 11:43:38 AM PST by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge; mmanager; Fiddlstix; Fractal Trader; FrPR; enough_idiocy; meyer; Normandy; ...
 


Beam me to Planet Gore !

2 posted on 02/11/2011 11:44:59 AM PST by steelyourfaith (ObamaCare Death Panels: a Final Solution to the looming Social Security crisis ?)
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The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/about/

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What does ESRL do for the nation?

At NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), scientists study atmospheric and other processes that affect air quality, weather, and climate. By better understanding the dynamic Earth system, we can better understand what drives this afternoon’s haze, next month’s hurricanes, and next century’s climate. ESRL researchers monitor the atmosphere, study the physical and chemical processes that comprise the Earth system, and integrate those findings into environmental information products. Our work improves critical weather and climate tools for the public and private sectors, from hourly forecasts to international science assessments with policy-relevant findings.


3 posted on 02/11/2011 11:46:04 AM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed .. Monthly Donor Onboard .. Obama: Epic Fail or Bust!!!)
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To: NormsRevenge
"There's no data-driven answer yet to the question of how human activity has affected extreme weather," adds Roger Pielke Jr., another University of Colorado climate researcher.
I think that sentence should be revised to say:

"There's no data-driven answer yet to the question of how whether or not human activity has affected extreme weather...

4 posted on 02/11/2011 11:52:08 AM PST by Bob
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To: NormsRevenge
...contrary to what the models predict.

You see this phrase over and over in the AGW debate. Any real scientist knows that any model, which tends to make inaccurate predictions, is false.

5 posted on 02/11/2011 11:59:55 AM PST by 3niner (When Obama succeeds, America fails.)
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To: NormsRevenge

The only thing different from a few decades ago is that the media has become ever more hysterical over every single weather/disaster event.
Snowstorm? IT’S THE WORST STORM IN HISTORY!!!
Hurricane? IT’S THE WORST HURRICANE IN RECORDED HUMAN HISTORY!!!
Earthquake? THIS IS THE SINGLE WORST DISASTER EVER!!!

No matter what, they have to spin it into the biggest, the worst ever.

All part of the globull warming hoax they are perpetrating, in collusion with the “scientists” and the gooberment morons.


6 posted on 02/11/2011 12:12:00 PM PST by Newtoidaho (Liberals are drooling buffoons backed by satanic goons.)
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To: Bob

So, we are expected to be satisfied with nondata-driven answers? Isn’t that pie-in-the-sky?


7 posted on 02/11/2011 12:14:19 PM PST by Misterioso (The noble soul has reverence for itself. - Nietzche)
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To: NormsRevenge

One of the most commonsense articles I have seen on the subject in the mainstream.

Kudos to the author.


8 posted on 02/11/2011 12:14:57 PM PST by Kandy Atz ("Were we directed from Washington when to sow and when to reap, we should soon want for bread.")
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To: NormsRevenge

I was in Dallas in December of 1982 for work. I got up one morning to a rental car covered in at least 1/2” to maybe 1” of ice. When I got in the car, finally, it was still a problem. The ice wasn’t melting, even with the car running. No scraper, who needs an ice scraper in Dallas, right? I ended up using a credit card.

When the media and the public have the attention span of a gnat, and the memory capacity of a fence post, you’ll have this kind of hysterics.


9 posted on 02/11/2011 12:18:08 PM PST by brownsfan (D - swift death of the republic, R - lingering death for the republic.)
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To: NormsRevenge
using super-computers to generate a dataset of global atmospheric circulation from 1871 to the present.

And if the scientists don't understand all of the variables or miss some of them, that dataset will be useful?

Computer programs cannot generate data for your theory, it has to be measured from the real world and they haven't even figured out how to get accurate historical temperature data.

10 posted on 02/11/2011 12:20:34 PM PST by Brett66 (Where government advances, and it advances relentlessly , freedom is imperiled -Janice Rogers Brown)
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To: Misterioso
So, we are expected to be satisfied with nondata-driven answers? Isn’t that pie-in-the-sky?

Nondata-driven answers are the only ones we've been getting from the alarmists. Of course, if the data doesn't fit their theories and expectations, they adjust or cherry-pick it until it does.

11 posted on 02/11/2011 12:25:58 PM PST by Bob
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To: Bob

Actually, I’d say “how” is a perfectly appropriate term to use:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/worldnews/article-1224475/China-overdoes-cloud-seeding-end-drought—blankets-Beijing-snow.html


12 posted on 02/11/2011 12:32:41 PM PST by Svartalfiar
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To: NormsRevenge
To answer that question, you need to understand whether recent weather trends are extreme by historical standards. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project is the latest attempt to find out, using super-computers to generate a dataset of global atmospheric circulation from 1871 to the present.

Multi-generational in terms of human lifespans, equivalent to a nanosecond in terms of the earth's existence.

13 posted on 02/11/2011 12:41:59 PM PST by GATOR NAVY ("The bigger the government, the smaller the citizen." -Dennis Prager)
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To: NormsRevenge

The correct statement is “the weather is reverting to the mean”


14 posted on 02/11/2011 12:45:30 PM PST by bert (K.E. N.P. N.C. D.E. +12 .....( History is a process, not an event ))
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To: NormsRevenge

We have been told the both milder AND colder winters, droughts AND too much rain, cooler AND warmer summer are all caused by globull warming. It isn’t a hypothesis when EVERY weather event “supports” your hypothesis. It is a cult.


15 posted on 02/11/2011 1:11:27 PM PST by Blood of Tyrants (Islam is the religion of Satan and Mohammed was his minion.)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

Global cooling killed the dinosaurs.....or not......LOL


16 posted on 02/11/2011 1:13:10 PM PST by nascarnation
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To: steelyourfaith; NormsRevenge; NFHale; hiredhand; Squantos
jeeez...all one needs to do is to watch the local weather forecast on a daily basis...

in this area, most of the 'record' his and lows occured around the turn of the century...the PREVIOUS one...

17 posted on 02/11/2011 1:14:44 PM PST by Gilbo_3 (Gov is not reason; not eloquent; its force.Like fire,a dangerous servant & master. George Washington)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

And yet there is never any positive benefit mentioned.


18 posted on 02/11/2011 1:34:49 PM PST by Darth Reardon (No offense to drunken sailors)
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To: NormsRevenge

We have had some significant volcanic activity in Iceland. Anybody figured that into the equation?


19 posted on 02/11/2011 2:04:13 PM PST by Tallguy (Received a fine from the NFL for a helmet-to-helmet hit.)
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To: Tallguy

There are puffers all over the globe pumping away daily,, reckun it could be tectonic induced chillling,, the Earth contracts as the sun activity lowers, lava pops up like pimples all over.. spewing all kinds of stuff in the atmosphere and waaalaaa.. or it’s just part of a natural cycle.


20 posted on 02/11/2011 2:40:43 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed .. Monthly Donor Onboard .. Obama: Epic Fail or Bust!!!)
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