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Christine O’Donnell Win More Likely ( As of 10/30-31, she is within 5)
Conservatives4Congress ^ | 11/01/2010

Posted on 11/01/2010 5:59:08 PM PDT by Brices Crossroads

Yup, the guys at Freedomist and The Conservative Journal continue to imply that an O'Donnell win is not all that unlikely. They say that all these polls that show her trailing by double digits, are using outdated poll assumptions and inaccurate numbers.. Read for yourself. As the saying goes, 'We report...you decide'!

The invincible juggernaut, Chris Coons, in the Delaware Senate Race may be more vulnerable to a Christine O’Donnell win in tomorrow’s special Delaware Election than previously thought. A number of factors reveal the polls being publicized may be based on outdated assumptions about the voter make-up that will show up in tomorrow’s election for the Delaware Senate Seat once held by Vice President Joe Biden.

Our polling for this race has largely shown a result that’s more favorable to O’Donnell, though recent polling by Tea Party Express has corroborated our 6-point O’Donnell deficit. Polls that give Coons a lead of 18, 19, and 20 points are, much like in the case of the California races, using inaccurate numbers to represent the composition of voters.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Delaware
KEYWORDS: christineodonnell; delaware; odonnell; palin; sarahpalin
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To: Brices Crossroads
There is a reason Slow Joe Biden was in DE today.

Forget the polls. Vote you Delaware dwellers, vote!!!
61 posted on 11/01/2010 9:03:31 PM PDT by Antoninus (It's long past time for conservatives to stop voting for Republican liberals. Enough!)
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To: Brices Crossroads

I looked at facebook 6 am monday

27804 - Christine
9997 - Coons

I’m seeing right now

28039 - Christine
10027 - Coons

So, in the last 18 hours

235 - Christine
30 - Coons

That’s 7.83 to 1 Christine over the last 18 hours. It supports your contention.


62 posted on 11/01/2010 9:10:26 PM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: badpacifist
She could turn to the camera and say Hey Rove, “you betcha!”

I say send him some flowers.

63 posted on 11/01/2010 9:32:11 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (TEANAMI INCOMING! Jump in or get out of the way)
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To: badpacifist
She could turn to the camera and say Hey Rove, “you betcha!”

I say send him some flowers.

64 posted on 11/01/2010 9:32:24 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (TEANAMI INCOMING! Jump in or get out of the way)
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To: Brices Crossroads

Go Christine! You can do it!!


65 posted on 11/01/2010 9:35:26 PM PDT by Heart of Georgia (Come on November 2nd!!! COUNTDOWN: Three!....Two!...)
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To: Naplm

I would love to see Rove do something else with that pipe.


66 posted on 11/01/2010 9:37:27 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: Brices Crossroads

I’m about to go get on my knees and pray for a COD victory. And for Angle, and Johnson, and West, and Raese, and many other Conservatives who might just save this republic yet.


67 posted on 11/01/2010 9:40:50 PM PDT by manic4organic (Obama shot hoops, America lost troops.)
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To: Brices Crossroads

Here are some facebook numbers that you’ll enjoy.

Midnight
Coons - 10027
Christine - 28067

445am
Coons - 10028
Christine - 28118

That’s 51 for Christine, and 1 for Coons
51:1


68 posted on 11/02/2010 2:08:52 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: truthfreedom

“That’s 7.83 to 1 Christine over the last 18 hours. It supports your contention.”

I think her support is reaching a fever pitch. She has been on a steep upward trajectory on Facebook for the last two weeks, reaching the crescendo you just identified.

The Gallup +15 screen is a good benchmark for this cycle, but let’s not forget. Gallup is after all a very cautious outfit and this is, as they have been repeating ad nauseam, “uncharted territory”. The turnout differential could be somewhat higher than +15, especially when you have a wide gap in the forensic quality of the two candidates (as in DE). She could have a little room to spare.


69 posted on 11/02/2010 5:26:28 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: truthfreedom

“Here are some facebook numbers that you’ll enjoy”

Just for kicks, I checked her Facebook site. After about 5 seconds I hit refresh and she had added 4.

The polls are completely missing the intensity and the turnout that are about to be generated by a truly gifted candidate in a humongous wave election year.


70 posted on 11/02/2010 5:31:12 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: manic4organic

“I’m about to go get on my knees and pray for a COD victory”

I am on my way to do the same.


71 posted on 11/02/2010 5:32:29 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: Brices Crossroads

one thing to note though, about the gallup, is that the gallup is taking indies into consideration. the gallup isn’t purely a “turnout” measurement. it’s a “how will they be voting” measurement. gallup has determined that indies will be voting mostly for Rs.

it’s not quite like the +15 swing we saw in the early voting - that’s purely a turnout measurement.


72 posted on 11/02/2010 5:33:03 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: Brices Crossroads

i’ve been spending a lot of time looking at christine stuff.
there are some people in twitterland who don’t like christine. very few of them from delaware.

been keeping track of christines facebooks

28,143 - 823a
28,137 - 745a
28,131 - 645a
28,123 - 6a
28,118 - 445a
28,112 - 345a
28,097 - 230a
28,067 - 1a
28,039 - mid

104 to Coons 3


73 posted on 11/02/2010 5:37:44 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: Brices Crossroads
'We report...you decide'

To the Corrupt Bastard Society:

"You distort...we deride"

74 posted on 11/02/2010 5:39:50 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (King: "I have a dream"...Sharpton: "I want a check")
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To: Brices Crossroads

I sincerely hope she wins by a landslide, America desperately needs underdog heroes right now and I really am impressed with her style.
75 posted on 11/02/2010 5:43:33 AM PDT by Eye of Unk (If your enemy is quick to anger, seek to irritate him. Sun Tzu, The Art of War.)
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To: Hammerhead

Correction.....she didn’t. Sad day. Her and Angle would have been good. O’Donnell has a future (only 41), but Angle I don’t know if she will run again (Ensign is up for election in 2012....hint. hint.


76 posted on 11/04/2010 4:20:32 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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