Christine O’Donnell Win More Likely ( As of 10/30-31, she is within 5)

Conservatives4Congress ^ | 11/01/2010

[Brices Crossroads]

Yup, the guys at Freedomist and The Conservative Journal continue to imply that an O'Donnell win is not all that unlikely. They say that all these polls that show her trailing by double digits, are using outdated poll assumptions and inaccurate numbers.. Read for yourself. As the saying goes, 'We report...you decide'!

The invincible juggernaut, Chris Coons, in the Delaware Senate Race may be more vulnerable to a Christine O’Donnell win in tomorrow’s special Delaware Election than previously thought. A number of factors reveal the polls being publicized may be based on outdated assumptions about the voter make-up that will show up in tomorrow’s election for the Delaware Senate Seat once held by Vice President Joe Biden.

Our polling for this race has largely shown a result that’s more favorable to O’Donnell, though recent polling by Tea Party Express has corroborated our 6-point O’Donnell deficit. Polls that give Coons a lead of 18, 19, and 20 points are, much like in the case of the California races, using inaccurate numbers to represent the composition of voters.

[Antoninus]

There is a reason Slow Joe Biden was in DE today.

Forget the polls. Vote you Delaware dwellers, vote!!!

[truthfreedom]

I looked at facebook 6 am monday

27804 - Christine
9997 - Coons

I’m seeing right now

28039 - Christine
10027 - Coons

So, in the last 18 hours

235 - Christine
30 - Coons

That’s 7.83 to 1 Christine over the last 18 hours. It supports your contention.

[Mygirlsmom]

She could turn to the camera and say Hey Rove, “you betcha!”

I say send him some flowers.

[Mygirlsmom]

She could turn to the camera and say Hey Rove, “you betcha!”

I say send him some flowers.

[Heart of Georgia]

Go Christine! You can do it!!

[Luke21]

I would love to see Rove do something else with that pipe.

[manic4organic]

I’m about to go get on my knees and pray for a COD victory. And for Angle, and Johnson, and West, and Raese, and many other Conservatives who might just save this republic yet.

[truthfreedom]

Here are some facebook numbers that you’ll enjoy.

Midnight
Coons - 10027
Christine - 28067

445am
Coons - 10028
Christine - 28118

That’s 51 for Christine, and 1 for Coons
51:1

[Brices Crossroads]

“That’s 7.83 to 1 Christine over the last 18 hours. It supports your contention.”

I think her support is reaching a fever pitch. She has been on a steep upward trajectory on Facebook for the last two weeks, reaching the crescendo you just identified.

The Gallup +15 screen is a good benchmark for this cycle, but let’s not forget. Gallup is after all a very cautious outfit and this is, as they have been repeating ad nauseam, “uncharted territory”. The turnout differential could be somewhat higher than +15, especially when you have a wide gap in the forensic quality of the two candidates (as in DE). She could have a little room to spare.

[Brices Crossroads]

“Here are some facebook numbers that you’ll enjoy”

Just for kicks, I checked her Facebook site. After about 5 seconds I hit refresh and she had added 4.

The polls are completely missing the intensity and the turnout that are about to be generated by a truly gifted candidate in a humongous wave election year.

[Brices Crossroads]

“I’m about to go get on my knees and pray for a COD victory”

I am on my way to do the same.

[truthfreedom]

one thing to note though, about the gallup, is that the gallup is taking indies into consideration. the gallup isn’t purely a “turnout” measurement. it’s a “how will they be voting” measurement. gallup has determined that indies will be voting mostly for Rs.

it’s not quite like the +15 swing we saw in the early voting - that’s purely a turnout measurement.

[truthfreedom]

i’ve been spending a lot of time looking at christine stuff.
there are some people in twitterland who don’t like christine. very few of them from delaware.

been keeping track of christines facebooks

28,143 - 823a
28,137 - 745a
28,131 - 645a
28,123 - 6a
28,118 - 445a
28,112 - 345a
28,097 - 230a
28,067 - 1a
28,039 - mid

104 to Coons 3

[Fresh Wind]

'We report...you decide'

To the Corrupt Bastard Society:

"You distort...we deride"

[Eye of Unk]

I sincerely hope she wins by a landslide, America desperately needs underdog heroes right now and I really am impressed with her style.

[napscoordinator]

Correction.....she didn’t. Sad day. Her and Angle would have been good. O’Donnell has a future (only 41), but Angle I don’t know if she will run again (Ensign is up for election in 2012....hint. hint.