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Obama a one-term president? Highly unlikely at this point
Atlanta Journal-Constitution ^ | 7/13/10 | Jay Bookman

Posted on 07/13/2010 6:29:45 AM PDT by madprof98

I get a kick out of all these pronouncements that Barack Obama is doomed to be a one-term president. In fact, I’d put his odds of re-election at this point at roughly 2-1 in favor, for several reasons.

One is history.

In the second year of his presidency, Obama’s job approval rating is hovering in the high 40s. The most recent Rasmussen numbers have him at 49 percent approval, 50 percent disapproval. Gallup’s numbers are 47/46. Given the troubled economy, those are actually very strong numbers. For example, compare them to Ronald Reagan’s numbers in 1982, which was the Gipper’s second year in the White House at a time of significant if less traumatic economic turmoil.

As Gallup notes:

“The public’s view of the economy remained sour, and the president’s ratings during 1982 stayed concomitantly low, in the 40% range, ending the year at 41%. The 1982 midterm elections were not good ones for Reagan and for the GOP. The Republicans lost about 25 seats in the House.”

Obama’s numbers are considerably stronger than those of Reagan at a comparable time in his presidency. In fact, by the beginning of 1983, Reagan’s job-approval numbers fell to 35 percent, yet as we all know he went on to defeat Walter Mondale in a landslide in 1984, pulling 59 percent of the vote compared to Mondale’s 41 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.ajc.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1000days; obama
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To: The Sons of Liberty
Despite being totally incompetent, and arrogant in his ignorance, it is not inconceivable that 0bama, with ACORN's help [and dedication to voter fraud and vote stealing], could come out on top for re-election.

Vigilance had better be the keyword in 2010 and 2012. Remember Al Franken, the battle cry!

41 posted on 07/13/2010 6:49:08 AM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop Barry now. He can't help himself.)
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To: All

I kind of agree with this guy - do you ever hear the crowds cheering at one of his speeches? SICKENING!!! What’s WRONG with those people???!


42 posted on 07/13/2010 6:49:42 AM PDT by jackibutterfly (Palin is so under obama's skin, he hears 'Hail to the Chief' when he sees her.)
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To: madprof98

Jay Bookman: Turd Polisher


43 posted on 07/13/2010 6:50:40 AM PDT by Niteranger68 (Don't just accept freedom, DEMAND IT!!!)
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To: Mr. Jeeves

McCain, Romney, Gingrich...I’d say they all line up with Mondale as far as appealing challengers.

Palin - probably damaged goods, thanks to McCain’s election minions, though she can repair her image. But likely not before 2012.

Huckabee - I really like the guy personally, but he’s put holes in his own boat.

Sooooo...time for a dark horse. Who’s out there?

Colonel, USAFR


44 posted on 07/13/2010 6:51:07 AM PDT by jagusafr ("We hold these truths to be self-evident...")
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To: Tarpon

This is why the Socialist have undermined the morality and are anti-religion.You have to have a large % of voters with no pride or work ethic willing to vote fore the meager crumbs doled out by the Socialists. They are taught to hate the evil capitalist but fail to realize they are voting for a monopoly of Communist party elites who will treat them worse than the capitalists they revile. Idiots. The Republic will not survive this one.


45 posted on 07/13/2010 6:52:40 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (m)
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To: Seruzawa
"Can’t ever forget that apparently more than 50% of the population is made up of moochers/looters. They’ll always vote commie."

The other half is made up of folks that will vote for six different "Conservative" candidates depending on which agenda they support. Unless a real consensus is reached among Conservative voters early in the election cycle, Obama will be a two term president, and America will continue its descent into hell.

46 posted on 07/13/2010 6:52:48 AM PDT by Big_Harry ( Starve the Beast!)
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To: madprof98

Mr. Bookman engages in a feeble attempt at humor.


47 posted on 07/13/2010 6:54:24 AM PDT by sayuncledave
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To: Clara Lou

There was someone on the radio the other day that predicted he would be driven out of office and forced to resign over some corruption scandal, that would make Nixon look like a altar boy..............


48 posted on 07/13/2010 6:55:30 AM PDT by Red Badger (No, Obama's not the Antichrist. He's just some guy in the neighborhood.............)
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To: ilgipper

It all depends on who challenges him. A sitting President HAS to be beaten in the election, because they have any number of inherent advantages. Unless things absolutely collapse and he is truly run out of town, it all depends on who is running and how well they can out campaign the campaigner in chief.

****************************

True, true, true!

The GOP position of passively being less awful is not going to get them anywhere except extinct.


49 posted on 07/13/2010 6:56:18 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (How many Michael Steele gaffes does it take to make a pattern?)
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To: madprof98

Whistling through the graveyard.


50 posted on 07/13/2010 6:56:43 AM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannolis. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: Big_Harry
The other half is made up of folks that will vote for six different "Conservative" candidates depending on which agenda they support. Unless a real consensus is reached among Conservative voters early in the election cycle, Obama will be a two term president, and America will continue its descent into hell.

Don't forget the mushy-middle independents. They need to be educated by conservatives but if conservatives are busy eating their own... well, that's an ugly picture that never wins elections.

51 posted on 07/13/2010 6:58:52 AM PDT by rhombus
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To: dps.inspect

I remember back when I was smoking pot, I thought how screwed up the world would be if everybody was on drugs. Well here we are, all screwed up...

**************

We are on our third administration in a row with a history of recreational drug or alcohol abuse at some point in their lives.

We see the results, I think.


52 posted on 07/13/2010 6:59:22 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (How many Michael Steele gaffes does it take to make a pattern?)
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To: MaggieCarta
EXCEPT...the thought of a "President Biden" is just too frightening to contemplate...for very long...

Not any more. I'd take it. I'd take NIXON at this point.

53 posted on 07/13/2010 6:59:36 AM PDT by Gorzaloon (CNN:AP:etc:Today, President Obama's stool was firm and well-formed. One end was slightly pointed. ")
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To: madprof98
The nicest thing about today's political society is you can ignore history.

Let's see - since the end of World War 2, well within the life span of almost all of the existing people who are likely voters, how many Democratic Presidents were reelected based on their own 4-year performance?

Trueman - had a partial term after FDR died, won in 1948 but lost in 1952.

Johnson - had a partial term after JFK was assassinated, won in 1964 but didn't/wouldn't run in 1968.

Carter - 1976 to 1980.

Clinton - 1982 - 2000. The exception because he ran, very hard, to the center after 1994.

The Presidents who won a second term based on their performance were all Republicans.

So, will BHO run towards the center to be reelected in 2012 like Clinton did? That's the real issue not all of the false flags raised in this editorial.

54 posted on 07/13/2010 7:01:22 AM PDT by Nip (Islam - a religion of piece (your head and life). Truth depends on the spelling)
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To: Red Badger

That would be great. I’d like to see that. I’m afraid, though, that we’d face rioting as we’ve never seen it before, because,you know, “The Man” would be out to get the black guy.

The other problem is that Joe Biden would be our POTUS. What a dumba$$. Then, of course, there’s the guy who would be his VP. AWK!


55 posted on 07/13/2010 7:04:34 AM PDT by Clara Lou (Barack Obama: saboteur)
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To: madprof98
these people might actually pull it off again.

I never thought embattled Clinton would win a second term, but he did.

If there is perceivable improvement in the economy and jobs -- and the MSM will provide unfettered coverage of improvements -- Obama could win.

People vote with their pocketbooks. If their own economic situation seems 'livable', they will vote for the status quo. If their own economic situation is poor, they will vote for change.

Obama has roughly two years to use those bail-out funds to give the impression that the economy is improving.
56 posted on 07/13/2010 7:05:05 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: madprof98
The more that people learn about the Obama Administration, Obama himself, and the direction of the country, the more people do not like Obama personally and see him as extremely arrogant and narcissistic. I don't think that the average persons opinion can be turned around for any reason. Many people, mostly democrats, are simply not honest about their feelings towards him as a man, not willing to admit they made a mistake in his presidency. With Reagan, it was just the opposite. The more they saw him the more they liked him as a person. He appealed to the good natured side of the American people and was a genuine good man as seen by most.
57 posted on 07/13/2010 7:06:15 AM PDT by maplenut
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To: Nip
So, will BHO run towards the center to be reelected in 2012 like Clinton did? That's the real issue not all of the false flags raised in this editorial.

This will be made easier for BHO with big GOP wins in the 2010 Congressional election... just as the GOP Congress facilitated Bill Clinton's run to the center and helped produce the famed budget surpluses the Democrats now claim were the result of Clinton's presidency.

58 posted on 07/13/2010 7:06:52 AM PDT by rhombus
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To: ilgipper
It all depends on who challenges him.

Absolutely.

If the Grand Old Party runs a retread candidate, they will lose, no matter how bad Obama is.


59 posted on 07/13/2010 7:07:35 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: madprof98

I KNEW Ronald Reagan.....
Barry, you ain’t no Ronald Reagan.


60 posted on 07/13/2010 7:08:09 AM PDT by Flintlock
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