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Robertson: 20 Percent Inflation Possible
moneynews.com ^ | October 2, 2009 | Julie Crawshaw

Posted on 10/03/2009 8:03:06 AM PDT by kellynla

Tiger Management Chairman Julian Robertson says that if China and Japan stop buying our debt, inflation could hit 20 percent.

"It's almost Armageddon if the Japanese and Chinese don't buy,” Robertson told CNBC.

"I don't know where we could get the money. I think we've let ourselves get in a terrible situation."

Robertson’s 2008 picks, which included Visa, Baidu, Apple, and Google, handily beat the market. His worst performing choices went up 40 percent, the best more than doubled.

Robertson says his firm still owns many of last year’s picks, but says he’s “not as berserk over owning stocks as he is shorting bonds.”

“I think we’re going t have to pay the piper,” Robertson says, speaking of the current bull market.

“Interest rates are going to go up, and I would think … that would put the brakes on the economy (and) earnings would go down like crazy.”

“If we have 20 percent interest rates and 20 percent inflation and the market goes up five percent, that’s not a really good scenario.”

The Fed may keep its benchmark interest rate too low too long, causing the dollar to weaken, says Johns Hopkins professor Steve Hanke.

“They won’t do much as long as the headline inflation rate stays in that zone of zero to 2 percent,” Hanke told Bloomberg.

“It’s conceivable they’ll wait too long and they’ll probably keep as loose as they can before the elections.”

“2011 will be way too late.”

(Excerpt) Read more at moneynews.newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: bonds; china; debt; economy; inflation; interestrates; japan; julianrobertson; obama; robertson
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1 posted on 10/03/2009 8:03:07 AM PDT by kellynla
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To: kellynla

No, no, no. This is all wrong. What a horrible story

20% would not be inflation.

That would be, technically, HYPER INFLATION, what many of us have been warning against for over a year now since the Federal Reserve and Federal government colluded to print and borrow our way out of recession.

Stock up on the essentials folks:
Food, drinking water, ammo, barter goods and money, gasoline, essential clothing, your medical supplies.

All these items are going to be priced for the elite in about a year.


2 posted on 10/03/2009 8:06:15 AM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (I'd rather be a teabagger than an ankle-grabber.)
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To: kellynla

Let’s face it, if China and Japan stop buying our debt, this nation will crumble worse than the great depression and probably split apart.


3 posted on 10/03/2009 8:06:49 AM PDT by Erik Latranyi (Too many conservatives urge retreat when the war of politics doesn't go their way.)
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To: kellynla
20 Percent Inflation Possible

Coming to an economy near you. [Circa 3rd qtr 2010]

5.56mm

4 posted on 10/03/2009 8:08:24 AM PDT by M Kehoe
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To: kellynla
If we have 20 percent interest rates and 20 percent inflation and the market goes up five percent, that’s not a really good scenario.

He left out the most important part...

If we also combine that with an over 60% tax rate, you will then see blood in the streets.

5 posted on 10/03/2009 8:08:38 AM PDT by unixfox (The 13th Amendment Abolished Slavery, The 16th Amendment Reinstated It !)
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To: kellynla

The only way to fix the mess Obama and this Democratic Congress have caused is to sell off the state of Alaska, as well as all of the offshore oil rights, the federal lands in Western States, and a lot of government office buildings and antiquities like the nationa museum of art, the Smithsonian treasures, etc. That would drain money out of the economy while giving the economy a boost, and at the same time raise money to pay down the federal debt.


6 posted on 10/03/2009 8:10:02 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: kellynla
I still have my doubts. Deflation or Inflation, either one is still possible.

Or you could bet on the Federal Reserve magic vacuum that sucks up all the 'excess' banknotes.

7 posted on 10/03/2009 8:13:32 AM PDT by BGHater ("real price of every thing ... is the toil and trouble of acquiring it")
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To: Erik Latranyi
Let’s face it, if China and Japan stop buying our debt, this nation will crumble worse than the great depression and probably split apart hang incumbent democrats from every lamp-post available and usher in a Republican landslide featuring Sarah Palin.

Then it will be time for "The Scouring of the Shire".

There, all fixed.

Cheers!

8 posted on 10/03/2009 8:15:08 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Brilliant
Or we can just appropriate all the ill-gotten property of those who put us in the place and send the money made back to the treasury...cut to scope of government down to what is outlined in the Constituton.

Since the Communists who put us here have no regard for property rights I see no problem seizing there property and throwing them into the streets....but then again we could just stretch their necks and be done with it.

9 posted on 10/03/2009 8:17:07 AM PDT by rightwingextremist1776
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To: Ghost of Philip Marlowe

How do you hoard gasoline or perishable goods?


10 posted on 10/03/2009 8:17:19 AM PDT by businessprofessor
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To: Brilliant
The only way to fix the mess Obama and this Democratic Congress have caused is to sell off the state of Alaska . . . .

Couldn't we try to sell off another state? Perhaps Massachusetts, New Jersey or Maryland? We could throw in the District of Columbia too. That's assuming we could find a buyer.

11 posted on 10/03/2009 8:17:58 AM PDT by Logophile
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To: rightwingextremist1776

I agree that we should do that, but that won’t be enough. Might also require a Constitutional amendment.

Interesting idea though to impose a 100% tax on income of Congress critters for the last 20 years. They were going to do that to the bank fatcats, so they can hardly complain about this. The problem is that the only people who can impose that tax are the people who have to pay it, and they aren’t going to impose it on themselves.


12 posted on 10/03/2009 8:19:59 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: grey_whiskers
The Scouring of the Shire
Me Likes


13 posted on 10/03/2009 8:20:38 AM PDT by HangnJudge
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To: kellynla
Déjà vu all over again - only worse


14 posted on 10/03/2009 8:21:34 AM PDT by Iron Munro (You can't kill the beast while sucking at its teat - Claire Wolfe)
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To: Erik Latranyi

“if China and Japan stop buying our debt, this nation will crumble worse than the great depression and probably split apart.”

don’t be silly!
China holds about a trillion dollars of American debt and Japan holds about another 600 billion.

“If” we had another Ronald Reagan, this whole mess including the huge debt and budget defiict could be resolved within four years...and even begin to pay down if not pay off the national debt within another four years.

Congress just needs to go on a diet and stop spending funds we don’t have!

The answer...JOBS, JOBS, JOBS!

Semper Fi,
Kelly


15 posted on 10/03/2009 8:23:59 AM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: Iron Munro

“Déjà vu all over again”

Yep...what we need is another Ronald Reagan!


16 posted on 10/03/2009 8:27:50 AM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: Erik Latranyi
Let’s face it, if China and Japan stop buying our debt, this nation will crumble worse than the great depression and probably split apart.

We really need to consider the likelihood of that happening. China and Japan's economies are so intertwined with the US that they can't allow the US to crumble because it will blow back straight into them.

Add to that the nuclear option of US default. Never happened before, and for VERY good reason obviously. But given the trillions of $$$ China, Japan and other nations now have invested in the US the threat to do so (given the alternative of US hyperinflation and societal collapse) represents a heck of a lot of leverage against them keeping their money home.

It's sort of like the old saying goes: if I owe you a thousand bucks I've got a problem. If I owe you a billion bucks, YOU'VE got a problem.
17 posted on 10/03/2009 8:28:28 AM PDT by tanknetter
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To: kellynla

Yeah, and add the impact of cap and trade on top of that.


18 posted on 10/03/2009 8:30:32 AM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: kellynla
20 Percent Inflation Possible

I'm okay with that if it'll stop Obama/Pelosi's drive toward socialism. No short-term price is too high if it stops the long-term destruction of our country that Obama has dreamed of all his life. [I wonder if that goal is the real "Dream of his Father" that inspired him to have Ayers write a book for him.]

19 posted on 10/03/2009 8:47:23 AM PDT by TurtleUp ([...Insert today's quote from Community-Organizer-in-Chief...] - Obama, YOU LIE!)
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To: grey_whiskers

Yeah that’s it......a Republican landslide. That’ll fix everything.


20 posted on 10/03/2009 8:47:32 AM PDT by 03A3
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