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Zogby: GOP Faces Extinction Risk
NewsMax ^

Posted on 07/25/2009 9:47:09 AM PDT by Fizziks

Pollster John Zogby says the Republican Party could be "teetering on the brink" of extinction as it fails to appeal to the fastest-growing demographic groups in America.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2009polls; 2010midterms; cwii; gop; hispanicvote; newsmax; poll; republican; sniff; zogby
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He also said the GOP is not taking advantage of Democratic setbacks because it has not put forth alternative policies of its own.

Zogby is CEO of Zogby International, a market research and opinion polling firm he founded in 1984.

He wrote an op-ed piece for the July edition of Campaign and Elections' Politics magazine, headlined "An Endangered Party?" The article asked if the GOP will go the way of the Federalist Party and eventually disappear as a viable national party.

Newsmax.TV's Ashley Martella asked Zogby if the Republican Party could really become extinct.

"Let's face it, it could be teetering on the brink," he declared.

"There's been maybe a bit of a resurgence since I wrote what I wrote a few weeks back. However, there still is a lack of a program in a time of change. I'm not sure the Republicans are addressing change."

Zogby also observed in his article that Republicans are "swimming against the tide of demography."

He told Newsmax: "That's very true, and that's got to be a cause for concern. Look at the fastest-growing groups in the electorate. Those groups are Latinos, African-Americans — even though the numbers of African-Americans are not growing, the number who are voting is certainly growing — young people 18 to 29, and what we call the creative class, people who work in the world of ideas."

These are college-educated professionals such as software engineers, graphic designers, attorneys, and workers in the healthcare technology field. They make up 20 percent of the workforce, Zogby said, and "make up critical parts of the population in states like North Carolina, Florida, New Mexico, and so on.

"Republicans are not appealing to those groups, and yet those groups are on the upswing."

Martella noted that the United States is still said to be a center-right nation, and polls have been showing that Americans increasingly believe President Barack Obama is a liberal. "Could that pave the way for a possible Republican resurgence?" he asked.

"The premise of your question is true," Zogby responded.

"About 40 percent of the electorate does in fact consider themselves to be conservatives; 20 percent or 22 percent [consider themselves] liberals. It's that big middle that's a concern.

"And for conservatives, there have been some that have been turned off over the [George W.] Bush years, for a variety of reasons.

"But the issue is, winning the middle. It's still a long way to go from 40 percent to 51 percent, and that's a difficulty.

"Republicans certainly score points by being critical of Obama, by raising questions about spending. But for now, there is no pro-active program. There's just putting up a hand as a stop sign and saying halt."

Martella asked if Obama's declining approval ratings could be good new news for Republicans.

"It certainly could be for the GOP," he said.

"I have the president at about 50 percent . . . Good news, but always think of the horizon — what's the next act for the Republicans? And is this a factor of just saying no to a change program, putting up the yellow light for caution, or is this a response to a Republican conservative agenda? Right now I don't think it's a response to a Republican conservative agenda."

Martella pointed out that the cap-and-trade program to curb carbon emissions and the major healthcare overhaul both appear to be stalled, and asked if that too could be good for Republicans.

"Potentially it could be, so long as there is an alternative," Zogby said.

"But where is the alternative energy policy, the alternative environmental policy? Remember that centrist voters, including young Christian conservatives, are very concerned about the environment and global warming. Where's the pro-active agenda? Same thing with healthcare."

Zogby said if these two programs had been presented in isolation, without other spending programs, they would have a much better chance of surviving. But after the stimulus package, TARP, corporate bailouts and the like, and with Americans not seeing progress just yet, "American voters are sacrificed out.

"That kind of gives pause to the additional reforms. But I think the sentiment for reforms is still there."

1 posted on 07/25/2009 9:47:11 AM PDT by Fizziks
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To: Fizziks

Conservatism works every time it’s tried.


2 posted on 07/25/2009 9:48:31 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Seniors, the new shovel ready project under socialized medicine.)
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To: cripplecreek

No! We must pander harder!


3 posted on 07/25/2009 9:49:00 AM PDT by sinanju
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To: sinanju

But I’m pandering as fast as I can.


4 posted on 07/25/2009 9:49:31 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Seniors, the new shovel ready project under socialized medicine.)
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To: Fizziks

It is so damn hard to be polite when I tell the GOP phone solicitor that I’ve not been employed for three years and I don’t have any money to donate to help retire John McCain’s campaign debt.


5 posted on 07/25/2009 9:49:52 AM PDT by Sundog (Lord Obama wants an African kleptocracy. Forget about a republic. Forget about a democracy.)
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To: Fizziks
GOP Faces Risk of Extinction

Time for a new party anyway.
6 posted on 07/25/2009 9:50:23 AM PDT by mysterio
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To: Fizziks

In other words, they have to pander to rapidly-growing groups that the Democrats will always out-pander to. They have to become more and more like Democrats.

We really are sc***ed.


7 posted on 07/25/2009 9:51:20 AM PDT by Nea Wood (Silly liberal . . . paychecks are for workers!)
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To: cripplecreek

Gimme that sombrero! Show me how to get my freak on! Get Steele a guest spot on “Real World”!


8 posted on 07/25/2009 9:51:46 AM PDT by sinanju
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To: cripplecreek

Yep. Except he’s saying the demographics are changing. They are and big time!

The newcomers, the minorities want HAND OUTS. Conservatism doesn’t stand for that.

How do we counter these people?


9 posted on 07/25/2009 9:52:13 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (I LOVE BULL MARKETS . . .)
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To: cripplecreek

Bingo!

Zogby also observed in his article that Republicans are “swimming against the tide of demography.”

He told Newsmax: “That’s very true, and that’s got to be a cause for concern. Look at the fastest-growing groups in the electorate. Those groups are Latinos, African-Americans — even though the numbers of African-Americans are not growing, the number who are voting is certainly growing — young people 18 to 29, and what we call the creative class, people who work in the world of ideas.”

Okay, so Rs need to pander to Latinos, African-Americans, and the “creative class”? If conservatism cannot win on ideas alone, our country is toast.

http://pushbackuntil.com


10 posted on 07/25/2009 9:52:37 AM PDT by DennisR (Look around - God gives countless, indisputable, and unambiguous clues that He does, indeed, exist.)
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To: Fizziks

If we continue to elect the likes of McCain, Snowe, Collins, Luger, Crist, Lindsay Lohan Graham, and Lugar the GOP will be extinct.

Republicans like Jim DeMint and Marco Rubio can solve this problem.


11 posted on 07/25/2009 9:53:23 AM PDT by ConservativeTerrapin (Go Maryland!)
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To: cripplecreek

Limited government conservatism sure does. Maybe having a few more faces on the national stage that are not white bread would help too.


12 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:02 AM PDT by misterrob (A society that burdens future generations with debt can not be considered moral or just)
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To: Fizziks
GOP Faces Risk of Extinction

Extinction?

No way!

It's just a business merger with the dimocrats as a silent partner.

13 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:10 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: Fizziks
I'm still on some sort of Zogby polling list. Most likely because I'm still registered Democrat and I tell them such.

But it was interesting about 2 weeks ago when they asked me, "How do you feel about the phrase 'There's no such thing as a free lunch.'"

The very next day I heard Obama use that exact phrase to explain why government run healthcare is a great idea.

Nevermind the fact that "no such thing as a free lunch" is the antithesis of government healthcare.

14 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:12 AM PDT by PressurePoint (See you in the unemployment line, Barack)
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To: Nea Wood

He says we’re being out numbered. And we are.

The illegals, immigrants and minorities want handouts. They vote.


15 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:20 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (I LOVE BULL MARKETS . . .)
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To: Fizziks

The minority pander has been in effect since at least the 1970s, and it fails for good reason. If you pander on race then you racialize the electorate and they gravitate to that which pays off better for their “race.” Look at Gates earns like rich person votes for Mugabeism all on account of racial politics. Zogby is a man of little imagination, he is just spewing the PC dogmas of the day as a liturgy of stooopidity.


16 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:23 AM PDT by junta (Conservatives, the word "racism" is now ours.)
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To: Fizziks
I don't care about the GOP. I care about conservatism. If the GOP dies, a new banner will arise.
17 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:33 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: ConservativeTerrapin

Whoops, listed luger twice. Different spelling too, ugh...

You folks see what I mean though.


18 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:43 AM PDT by ConservativeTerrapin (Go Maryland!)
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To: Fizziks

Exaggerate much?

Extinction?

It’s true, the GOP lacks a leader and needs a more appealing counter message.

I suspect a cold front is coming down from Alaska soon that may cure all of that, provided the beltway crowd doesn’t try to kill the messenger.


19 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:49 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (YES WE CAN have a Depression.)
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To: EGPWS

Geez and I thought the DEMS tent was getting smaller, angrier, and bitter.


20 posted on 07/25/2009 9:54:49 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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