Posted on 07/06/2009 5:46:42 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Only dead fish go with the flow.
That quote from Sarah Palins stunning July 3 statement said it all about the soon-to-be-former Governor of Alaska and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee. In leaving the Juneau statehouse and pursuing her next steps in politics or the private sector, Palin is doing so on her terms regardless of what the pesky national press and the political experts think.
Whether she will run for President (or another office), and when, is all unclear now. So, as reporters end their grousing about Palin interrupting their holiday weekend, they get down to exploring the options for the 45-year-old hockey mom from Wasilla.
Along with giving a boost to her close political ally and Lieutenant Governor Sean Parnell, Palins exodus from the governorship later this month gives her an opportunity to put aside her most immediate problem: debts.
One source who is close to Palin and her team (and requested anonymity) told me that Gov. Palin has about $500,000 in legal debts from fighting these ethics charges her enemies started in Alaska. Fifteen charges have been dismissed and three remain -- and all have been frivolous and time-consuming. Under a state ethics law [that Palin herself signed], it is very complex for a public official to set up a legal defense fund and raise money for it. But as a private citizen, [Palin] can get a multi-million dollar advance for a book or make a few lectures for big fees and retire the debt.
Beyond that, the major questions about what is next for Sarah are. . .
Will we hear from her on the campaign trail next year?
Absolutely. As Palin herself told reporters, I look forward to helping others -- to fight for our state and our country, and campaign for those who believe in smaller government, free enterprise, strong national security, support for our troops and energy independence.
The Alaskan is surely in demand as a speaker at Republican events nationwide, and, as she indicated, is likely to fulfill more requests as a private citizen. This will entail setting up some kind of organization and operation and could lead to Palin and her husband and five children relocating to the continental U.S. One of the most oft-heard complaints from some of Palins biggest fans is that it is difficult and downright frustrating to book a speaking date with her Juneau office.
We want Sarah Palin to speak to our Republican dinner here and no one else, Lee County's (Fla.) Gary Lee told me days before Palins announcement last week. But I havent been able to get a commitment from her people. Ive called several times, they say theyll get back but we havent come close to finalizing this. Lee makes no secret of his passion for a Palin presidential bid in 2012 and wants to introduce her to prospective backers in the Sunshine State.
Will She Run for President in 2012?
Hours after Palins announcement Friday, historian David Pietrusza, author of provocative books on the 1920 and 1960 elections, wrote me: As you're probably aware, Gov. Palin's move is not without precedent. Nelson Rockefeller resigned as NYS governor in 1973, ostensibly to head a Commission on Critical Choices, in actuality to go national.
The analogy fits -- up to a point. Rockefeller was in the third year of his fourth term as governor of New York State, was 65 years old at the time, held several impressive positions in business and the public sector before becoming governor and, while still controversial with conservative Republicans, was never questioned as to his qualifications to be President.
Palin is quitting in the third year of her first term in the only office she has held beyond being mayor of Wasilla. While her charisma and philosophy inarguably excite the Republican grassroots, her big dilemma has always been doubts that she is up to the presidency -- and this extends to her partys right. Nationally-syndicated columnists George Will and Kathleen Parker, both of whom usually come down on the conservative side, caused a stir last year with columns critical of Palin. Both questioned her credentials and not her philosophy.
She should have at least stayed until 2010 and finished the job, a former Republican state legislator told me, People dont respect someone who they voted into a job who suddenly walks away from it.
If this is about running for President, its about as odd a way as weve ever seen, echoed John Weaver, a onetime strategist for John McCain.
When Rockefeller left the statehouse in Albany, he had think tanks, his special commission, and a crack political team at his finger tips. Ronald Reagan had similar operations when stepped down as governor of California after two terms in 1974. Palin has none of the above. Is it really possible she can assemble this apparatus in time to run in 2012? Or. . .
Will She Wait and Run Later?
Pat Buchanan suggested that Palin could follow the path of his old boss Richard Nixon by collecting political chits through speaking nationally on behalf of Republican office-seekers. Working through a private group called Congress 66 and with help from the young Buchanan and fellow wordsmith Ray Price, Nixon not only stumped for state and congressional candidates in 1966 but predicted precisely the gains his party would make in the House, Senate, and governors races. All of this paid off in a big way when he won the Republican nomination for President in 68.
But Nixon, beaten for President in 1960 at age 47 and governor of California two years later at age 49, wisely skipped a race in the Democratic year of 64 and made plans for a race years in the future. So did Bill Clinton, who seriously explored a presidential run in 1988 at age 42, instead supported future running mate Al Gore, and then ran for and won the presidency in 1992 at age 46.
Like Nixon and Clinton, Sarah Palin has youth and time on her side. She could easily skip the 2012 race, focus on getting her enhancing her finances and campaigning for others, and make a national bid in 2016 or 2020. Along the way, Palin could take out Alaskas Democratic Sen. Mark Begich in 2014, thus restoring her to office and burnishing her resume.
That would appear to make the most sense. But whatever course Sarah Palin takes, what office she seeks (if any) and when, is probably known only to her and can only be guessed now. She will let everyone else know on her terms and her timetable. As she said, Only dead fish go with the flow.
ONLY DEAD FISH GO WITH THE FLOW
(I am swimming upstream with Sarahcudah!)
PING
So she’s stepped down and headed into the political wilderness. Can anyone think of a public person more likely to survive, prevail and emerge victorious from the wilderness?
She can survive, prevail, and emerge victorious from the wilderness by follow closely the One who has already done so.
Has she shown herself capable of success in high executive office? Two-and-a-half years as governor of one of the smallest states in the country, when she seemingly left because things got a little heated, is not convincing.
Obviously lots of people don’t care about that sort of thing anymore, given the guy they put in charge of the country, but it still seems like a good idea to me. Obama hasn’t exactly convinced me that experience doesn’t matter.
I don’t think she will wait, if she intends to run at all. The Obamunists will have screwed up the country so bad in 4 years it will be a now or never opportunity for change.
There are none like Palin, anywhere.
Not only does she outwit the liberals, Palin confuses mainstream Republicans because she refuses to do things their way.
Sarah the Baptist? LOL
Actually Alaska is the largest state, not one of the smallest. And what did Obama ever run but his mouth? Alaska is the only state with a full time National Guard battery.
It’s one of the smallest by population, which is the far more relevant statistic.
Yeah easy to say for people who can get to Iowa or New Hampshire in an hour or two, rather than NINE. You cannot run for President, or do much of anything else around America--from Alaska. It is just impossible.
You are hilarious. To you, nothing she does can possibly be bad, and nothing can shake your faith that she’s the last great hope for mankind.
Well it is one more state than Obamanation has governed.
Seemingly being the operative word, you apparently did not listen to what she had to say:
Political operatives descended on Alaska last August, digging for dirt. The ethics law I championed became their weapon of choice. Over the past nine months I've been accused of all sorts of frivolous ethics violations - such as holding a fish in a photograph, wearing a jacket with a logo on it, and answering reporters' questions.She could not effectively focus on the state's business with all of the controversy and so she resigned for the good of the state. In this selfish world, there still are a few rare people like Sarah who think about more than just their own political aspirations.Every one - all 15 of the ethics complaints have been dismissed. We've won! But it hasn't been cheap - the State has wasted THOUSANDS of hours of YOUR time and shelled out some two million of YOUR dollars to respond to "opposition research" - that's money NOT going to fund teachers or troopers - or safer roads. And this political absurdity, the "politics of personal destruction" ... Todd and I are looking at more than half a million dollars in legal bills in order to set the record straight. And what about the people who offer up these silly accusations? It doesn't cost them a dime so they're not going to stop draining public resources - spending other peoples' money in their game.
It's pretty insane - my staff and I spend most of our day dealing with THIS instead of progressing our state now. I know I promised no more "politics as usual," but THIS isn't what anyone had in mind for ALASKA.
How can she campaign for Marco Rubio from Juneau? It's an hour to Anchorage plus wait times, and then another 9.5 hours to Orlando, and back again. That is a full day spent just in the air. If she flies in from D.C. you are talking 3 hours round trip.

I heard some pundit opine that she dropped out to get a talk show to pay her legal bills which are estimated at $500,000. If she held a fundraiser she could raise that in 1 day. I certainly hope she hasnt sold out for a few bucks and a show like Huckabee did. Does anyone with a brain think hosting a TV or radio talk show is the best stepping stone to the Presidency? There is no better way to flush your credibility.
Naw, she ain’t going to wait, and it’s probably wishful thinking on this editorialist as well.
If she waits until 2016 to run, she might as well seek the Polar Bear Vote and try to be president of the North Pole. We cannot afford to allow more ACORN expansion and risk an exponential rise in dual citizen voters all the way into 2016. We’d be finished. It will be hard enough to defeat cheating and to prevent a flood of foreign, uninformed voters in the 2012 race.
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