"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
How can anyone be undecided at this point?!
Same story in Florida, let us see if the trend continues.
This is a very hopeful poll. This suggests that McCain could win Virginia by about 4 points.
Story is biased as expected..actually it was 47 to 45..not 47 to 44
Barack hasn’t closed the deal. Lying about his Aunt won’t help him in Virginia, Pa. Ohio or North Carolina. Games not over yet.
Very good news. Look at Obama’s top line number. Based on his performance in the primaries, it is extremely unlikely that he outperforms this number.
Laughable. 625 voters out of 4.3 million that is 0.006%. Data has a 10-15% error in it. Fauxbama is going to get crucified here in VA. McCain has nearly 75% of the Catholic/Evangelical vote here.
http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1027_635.aspx
The Bradley/Wilder Effect
By Hastings Wyman
Southern Political Report
October 27, 2008 — It is probably the secret “Great White Hope” of some Republicans. And if by some miracle John McCain wins, it will undoubtedly become the Democrats’ accepted explanation for Barack Obama’s loss. It is the much-discussed “Bradley effect,” or in the South, the “Wilder effect.” It is the — unproved — assertion that some white voters tell pollsters they are either undecided or plan to vote for the black candidate, then vote for the white candidate. The supposition is that these voters fear they would exhibit, or reveal, racial prejudice if they told the pollster they were voting for the white candidate.
The theory is named for two elections. In 1989, Doug Wilder (D), an African American, won the governorship of Virginia by a narrow 50.2% to 49.8% over Marshall Coleman (R), his white opponent. Pre-election polls showed Wilder would win by a larger margin. A late October survey for the Washington Post gave Wilder 52%, Coleman 37%. In the Mason-Dixon poll taken about the same time as the Post’s survey, Wilder had 48%, Coleman 44%. Mason-Dixon’s Brad Coker points out, “If you give Wilder all the ‘undecided’ blacks and Coleman all the ‘undecided’ whites, it comes out at 50%-50%.” (In any case, Wilder got about 40% of the white vote; were Obama to replicate this, he would carry most of the South.)
-snip-
Are these remaining undecideds really likely to vote, in your opinion? If the poll is accurate and most of the undecideds stay home, Obama carries VA.
Good news in Virginia.
McCain is taking Virginia.
Probably the smartest thing a pollster could say to insure he/she has a job on Nov. 5th. MD was very accurate IIRC.
Any poll showing Obama under 48% with a large undeicded is a legitimate poll. Anything showing Obama over 50% is nonsense.
PhDs will be written on the anomalies of the polling in this election. The manipulation by pollsters and ultimate gap between predicted and actual results (a McCain victory) will rewrite the history books and the “Bradley Effect” will be replaced by the “Obama Effect”.
Just watch.
The million dollar answer is as plain as the egg on this pollster’s face. Those white folk are undecided because they’d rather tell the pollster they haven’t decided instead of saying they’re not voting Obasm. Racists! Bwahahaha VA is a pick-up (was it really in doubt?)
Barney Frank’s proposed 25% defense cut has a lot of VA voters worried.
As I posted earlier, I believe there is a lot of voter fraud going on in VA. When I went to the Fairfax gov’t center on Wednesday, there was a long line of mentally handicapped waiting to vote (with their handlers, of course) — one older woman in a wheelchair appeared comatose — but they were voting!