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Threat Matrix: November 2008
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Posted on 11/01/2008 7:30:38 PM PDT by nwctwx

:::FreeRepublic's Threat Matrix:::
Critical Threats: Blank When None
Expanding Afghan War Awaits New President

An expanded U.S. military involvement awaits a new U.S. president in Afghanistan where the unfinished business of September 11 has flared over the past three years into a major insurgency.

A raft of assessments and reviews now underway in Washington point to a fundamental rethinking of the Afghan war.

But whoever is elected Tuesday will face choices on the size of the military buildup, how to strengthen the central government, how far to go in dealing with insurgent sanctuaries across the border, how to help stabilize Pakistan, and whether and how to reconcile with the Taliban, analysts say. Read More


Threat Matrix:
November 2008
Click for Color Code Information


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: abujihad; abujihadalmasri; acorn; afghanistan; alawlaki; algeria; alichehidi; almasri; alqaeda; alqaida; alquds; alqudsalarabi; amjadhamed; annandale; anwaralawlaki; bali; balibombers; balibombing; bolivia; britain; canada; chavez; chehidi; china; denmark; duran; election2008; electionfraud; elections2008; espionage; fec; franklinduran; globaljihad; gulfofaden; gwot; habibignaoua; hakaymah; hamed; hezbollah; hizballah; hizbullah; hofland; homicidebombers; hugochavez; humanbombs; ignaoua; intifada; iran; iraq; italy; jihad; jordan; jordanian; khemiri; laboratories; labs; libya; loszetas; madeinchina; maine; melamine; mexico; middleeast; mindofjihad; mohamedkhemiri; mohammedanism; morocco; oil; pipeline; pipelines; piracy; pirates; randallhofland; rape; russia; school; schoolhostages; somalia; spain; spies; submarine; submarines; suicidebombers; syria; terrorism; themindofjihad; threatmatrix; tunisia; uk; venezuela; votefraud; waziristan; wot; zetas
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To: All

Bin Laden’s son deported to Qatar

One of Osama Bin Laden’s sons is in Qatar after being deported from Egypt and Spain following failed asylum bids....

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7718179.stm


141 posted on 11/09/2008 8:15:48 PM PST by Velveeta (You betcha!)
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To: All

Terror threats remain, even with bombers now dead (Bali)

After a series of delays, the three militants on death row for the 2002 Bali bombings Amrozi, Imam Samudra and Ali Ghufron, alias Mukhlas - were finally executed early Sunday. The delays gave Islamists the opportunity to voice their sympathy and stage rallies in support of the terrorists. They even called them(holy warriors). Whether the executions will help suppress terrorism or instead raise the risk of terror threats in the country is the impending questioning left behind. Terrorism expert Sidney Jones, a senior advisor at the International Crisis Group, shared with The Jakarta Post’s Dian Kuswandini her insights on terrorism in Indonesia following the deaths of the three Bali bombers.....
http://old.thejakartapost.com/detailheadlines.asp?fileid=20081110.A03&irec=2


142 posted on 11/09/2008 8:26:04 PM PST by Velveeta (You betcha!)
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To: Cindy

Closing arguments to start Monday in Holy Land Foundation terrorism financing case
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/localnews/stories/111008dnmetholyland.38d44ee.html


143 posted on 11/09/2008 8:34:01 PM PST by Velveeta (You betcha!)
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To: All

(Interesting analysis by Jane Novak)

Former Senior Yemeni al-Qaeda: Bin Laden in Proactive Phase for Big Attack

Filed under: Al-Qaeda, attacks — by Jane Novak at 4:44 pm on Sunday, November 9, 2008

The following article reports a former senior Yemeni al-Qaeda says that UBL is in the later stages of planning a big attack against the US.

A few things in the statement make sense 1) the end of the truce (”the period of calmness”) in Yemen came as a result of an order from bin Laden, not because of agitation from returnees from Iraq, 2) the continuing importance of the original trusted network of Yemenis, 3) bin Laden’s ability to communicate with operatives in Yemen.....continues
http://armiesofliberation.com/?s=al-fida


144 posted on 11/09/2008 9:14:07 PM PST by Velveeta (You betcha!)
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To: All; Cindy; callmejoe; Godzilla; nwctwx; MamaDearest; Rushmore Rocks; KylaStarr; flutters; ...

(Posted by Casey at IH)

alquds alarabi article:
al qaeda ready to launch attack greater than 9/11

Information around a readiness “ Al-Qaeda “ to launch a greater attack from 11 September
The organization it devotes to the training during the period of the cosmic war on “ the terrorism “

Sanaa - “ Al-Quds Al-Arabi “ - from Khaled Al Hammadi : A source close to the command of the local organization of Al-Qaeda in Yemen revealed that the Al-Qaeda network leader Osama bin Laden directed its followers with the execution of the greater military operation against The United States that surpasses by many the operation of 11 September, aspires from it that it changes the world face politically and economically .

And he mentioned to “ Al-Quds Al-Arabi “ that this great operation will come in response to the refusal of Washington of the truce that the Al-Qaeda network of the western countries and in its introduction presented The United States, and that “ this operation will be executed in the near future “ and will make from the operation of 11 September a forgotten history .And he confirmed that “ the execution of this operation time issue, as for the organizational orders of the execution has been issued by the organization leader the sheikh Osama bin Laden, and remains the execution timing to the operation dependent on the completion of the good preparation and the available opportunities “ .

And he explained that “ the Al-Qaeda network passes now by its better stages, where it became in the strongest level for it since its establishment number and a hardware and a training in many of the world countries, and that it became a wide organization and is not elitist and restricted “ .

And he proved on that that the Al-Qaeda network now became tightening the most of Somalia regions, also Taliban rules the most of Afghanistan lands, whereas many of the sheikhs of the tribes in the governorates of Marb, the heart, Sada and Shabwa in Yemen pledged allegiance to official command of the local organization to Al-Qaeda in their countries and that they joined in the lines of the organization from an ideological aim and it is not kiblah as was before .

And he pointed out that the Al-Qaeda network was devoted through the years of the last chase from the western and Arab security services to the operations of training and attraction and the horizontal expansion and that the world war against the terrorism served the organization what all other factors did not serve, where “ it benefitted the organization from the serious mistakes that Washington and the participating Arab regimes committed for them in the war against terrorism in the attraction of all victims from that cosmic war from the ones who had did not any relation in the organization previously “ .

And this source revealed who asked not to be named for security reasons and he is a previous leader in the Al-Qaeda network and is still on a communication until today with some of its elements and their command that Osama bin Laden directed a message before about six months to all Al-Qaeda cells in the Arab world with the refusal of negotiation with the political regimes, to the non benefit from that, its content “ you leave the negotiation with the regimes, it is a mere evil “ .And he mentioned that this message reached to the command of the local organization to Al-Qaeda in Yemen on the background of the attempt of the Yemeni regime opening dialogue channels with the Al-Qaeda elements for their persuasion of stopping the terrorist operations inside Yemen whether against the western interests or the Yemeni interests against the equalization of their situation and their fusion into the society .

And he explained that “ the moment receiving the organizational message the Al-Qaeda command started in Yemen the qualitative planning for its operations in Yemen its first the last operation against the American embassy in Sanaa in last September, after a stop that lasted a many years “ .

And he confirmed that this operation was executed with planning and directing from the Al-Qaeda network prince in Yemen Nasser Al Ohishi, one of more prominent the 23 fugitives from the prison of the central institution for the political security ( the intelligences ) in Sanaa .
And he pointed out that the Al-Qaeda network in Yemen was devoted in past years to the arrangement of internal situations and the attraction of personalities effective in the society, and in particular those personalities that on a sharp disagreement with the political regime, and their more prominent the tribal leaderships in the governorates of Marb, the heart, Sada and Shabwa .
And he explained that the operations that executed through the two last years against the western and government interests in Yemen did not their execute of the Al-Qaeda network but the Al-Qaeda Group of Jihad in the peninsula that Tzamh Hamza Al Qiti and met its death in a confrontation with the police forces before some months in Hadramaut .

And he expected that the Yemeni arena witnesses through next period qualitative operations of Al-Qaeda and he is what tries the Yemeni authorities easing of its sharpness through the duplication of its security measures .

http://www.wincoast.com/forum/showthread.php?t=83118


145 posted on 11/09/2008 9:23:42 PM PST by Velveeta (You betcha!)
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To: Velveeta

Been monitoring the RUMINT on this one. We’ve seen a lot of boasting over the past many years with nothing really panning out. However, this scenario does pull some similarities and meets stated goals of AQ

1. US Economy hurting - far more so than in 01 when we were struggling with the Clinton recession during W’s first term. AQ stated objective was to strike at the American economy. History shows that it most definitely did. An even bigger attack would cause oil to probably exceed $200/bl and cause even greater turmoil.

2. Could occur in a period of changing administrations AND parties. It will take the obamination some time to get his foreign and military policy folks focused. There will be a window of opportunity to strike while C3 is weak. Not sure if AQ sees Bush as such a lame duck that he won’t respond or have his hands tied to respond if an attack so I’m not sure a pre Inauguration attack is viable or not.

3. Silence on OBL’s part and our progressive victories taking out AQ leadership and cannon fodder may force OBL’s hand to place him back on center stage and not relegated to the backwater of news.


146 posted on 11/09/2008 10:17:23 PM PST by Godzilla (Obama is not my president)
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To: Godzilla
We’ve seen a lot of boasting over the past many years with nothing really panning out.

And thank fully at that, since we now know that many plans were thwarted.

Not sure if AQ sees Bush as such a lame duck that he won’t respond or have his hands tied to respond if an attack so I’m not sure a pre Inauguration attack is viable or not.

That's the $64,000 question.

147 posted on 11/10/2008 7:43:42 AM PST by Velveeta (You betcha!)
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To: Cindy; All; nwctwx; Godzilla; KylaStarr; MamaDearest; Rushmore Rocks; SlowBoat407; penguino; ...

Cindy, from the bottom of my heart, thank you for your hard work and dedication over these many years.

You will be sorely, hugely, immeasurably missed from TM.

Thankfully, we'll see you on other threads at FR and hopefully back here again in 2012 when Sarah is elected.

God bless you, Cindy!

148 posted on 11/10/2008 8:19:20 AM PST by Velveeta
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To: Velveeta
God bless you, Cindy!

Amen to that. Cindy will be back when there is no other answer...Thanks for the ping, Velveeta.

149 posted on 11/10/2008 8:28:58 AM PST by GOPJ ( It's hard for Republicans to hammer Obama as a socialist when(Bush) nationalizing the banks- Steyn)
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To: All

Bin Laden Aide ‘Planned Escape’

A radical cleric, once described as Osama bin Laden’s right-hand man, is back behind bars in the UK after he allegedly planned to escape the country.

Abu Qatada is back in jail accused of breaching his bail conditions.

He will appear before an immigration hearing and could be sent to prison permanently.

(snip)

Qatada was first arrested in 2001 by anti-terrorism police. He was carrying £170,000 in cash, including £805 in an envelope marked “For the mujahedin in Chechnya”.

He had been convicted in his absence in the Middle East of involvement with terror attacks in 1998 and of plotting to plant bombs for the Millennium.

http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/UK-News/Abu-Qatada-Planned-To-Escape-UK-To-Go-To-The-Middle-East/Article/200811215148327?lpos=UK_News_First_Home_Article_Teaser_Region_2&lid=ARTICLE_15148327_Abu_Qatada_Planned_To_Escape_UK_To_Go_To_The_Middle_East


150 posted on 11/10/2008 8:37:20 AM PST by Velveeta
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To: Cindy
He then swung at me screaming he was gonna kill me but did not connect the punch and the chase ensued. There was no way this punk was 16 yrs of age. He looked 18-19 yrs of age and was about 6 foot 5 inches tall.

#1 Take a cell phone pic of the vandalism. Take several and make sure to get a face shot. #2 Buy yourself a stun device, taser or something. I like the normal contact stun device that emits the LOUD "fryin' Bacon" sound. Acts as a great deterrent, even to folks high on drugs or drunk. Nobody wants to get Tased these days. If you do have to make contact use it low (on a guy -- get the hint?) and make sure you have a sustained 2-5 second contact to really communicate your point of view. I promise, you'll win that argument.

151 posted on 11/10/2008 8:41:03 AM PST by ExSoldier (Democracy is 2 wolves and a lamb voting on dinner. Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.)
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To: All; Godzilla

Analysis or veiled threats?

The Profession of Waiting
http://english.daralhayat.com/opinion/OPED/11-2008/Article-20081110-86d43a1c-c0a8-10ed-011c-4d16e8972a2f/story.html


152 posted on 11/10/2008 8:41:58 AM PST by Velveeta
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To: Velveeta; Cindy

I don’t get it?

Cindy is leaving???


153 posted on 11/10/2008 11:19:41 AM PST by fanfan (www.Digg.com)
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To: Velveeta; WestCoastGal; Rushmore Rocks

Thank you Vel.

methinks this comes as no suprise to us here on TM : (

And.. did goat boy draw his last breath or not???? I’ve heard conflicting reports on him.


154 posted on 11/10/2008 11:32:51 AM PST by KylaStarr (..keeping watch)
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To: Cindy
I'm going to miss you.

Be safe, and well.

God Bless you Cindy.


155 posted on 11/10/2008 12:06:29 PM PST by fanfan
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To: Velveeta; Cindy

I’m sorry to hear this news.

Why are you leaving us Cindy?

I hope everything is ok, if not, I will pray for you.

You will definitely be missed.


156 posted on 11/10/2008 12:10:09 PM PST by WestCoastGal (READ MY LIPSTICK!!! Sarah will be back.)
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To: Velveeta; WestCoastGal; Rushmore Rocks

NM about goat boy. I see he’s released a new video.


157 posted on 11/10/2008 12:26:45 PM PST by KylaStarr (..keeping watch)
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To: KylaStarr

Yes, we are not surprised................nor are we ammused.


158 posted on 11/10/2008 12:27:00 PM PST by Rushmore Rocks
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To: KylaStarr

He did?


159 posted on 11/10/2008 12:27:36 PM PST by Rushmore Rocks
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To: Rushmore Rocks

“ammused”............I’m getting dotty in my elder years. Can’t spell anymore.


160 posted on 11/10/2008 12:29:30 PM PST by Rushmore Rocks
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