Posted on 11/01/2008 3:12:37 PM PDT by johncocktoasten
My FRiends all you need to know about this election is as follows:
You can't win an election by losing 20% of your own base and losing independents.
Forget about Gallup or Rasmussen tracking polls and their special sauce weighting for party ID. Rasmussen says today that Obama receives support from only 75% of Democrats and is losing independents by a slight margin, but incredibly, defying laws of math and physics still leads McCain by 4% overall. Friends, that simply is not possible.
If you are looking for a poll showing a McCain lead before election day, you can forget it. It isn't going to happen, nor does it need to. In fact, it serves us better if McCain doesn't lead prior to victory on Tuesday night. The fall and subsequent meltdown of the left and its propagandist media is the result we need. This is a war we are in with the left. Why would you expect them to give us any quarter? Credibility? Honesty? Those traits have been discarded in the name of advocacy and survival.
Meanwhile, the Full Court Press will continue through election day and into the evening after the polls close. Many of you will go to sleep, resigned to a President Barack H. Obama. You will wake surprised to learn of John McCain's election instead. The media and pollsters have willingly bought the myth of huge youth and new voter turnout. However, the truth is that the Democrat voter registration goals in many states only moved Democrats to parity with Republicans in voter registration. John McCain has consistently outpolled his Voter ID percentages this entire campaign. If you see a poll with Obama up by 10, you can be certain that the Dem Party ID advantage was at least 13%. If you see Obama up 5, you can be certain the Dem Party ID advantage was 7%.
The Obama campaign is going to continue the push of inevitability stories thru election day. They aren't concerned with looking bad after the fact, because they have no shame. So understand that this garbage is coming, understand that our base is still going to show up huge, and understand that mathematically we are in the driver's seat. All we have to do is show up.
The other side is sitting there hoping to make something happen that has never happened before.
The IBD/TIPP Poll is at 47.2-43.8-8.0 undecided today. These are likely voters mind you. Those 8% undecideds are votes for John McCain FRiends. Not to mention that Obama's total number is overstated in these polls as his likely's are less likely than Mc's.
Look at the red states where Obama thinks he has a shot. IN, NC, VA, and GA all have huge minority populations, which is the only factor making these states close.
New Voters is a Myth, Gallup found the percentages of new votes identical to 2004
Youth Votes are a Myth, once again, the percentage increase in youth vote is below trend from 2004
Don't fall for the myths. Just vote and talk to FRiends and family about voting McCain.
America is not stupid, only the media portrayal of America is stupid. We won't elect Obama.
Eastern shore, but the worst experiences were in DC and Balmer. I actually felt at home on the shore. I liked far-east Merlin. It’s the middle I couldn’t stand.
IDB sounds pretty good.
let’s hope GOP turns out..
Take2—have you really been here this long and have yet to make more than one post?
I will be here celebrating. See you then
see #84. Wow...these past few weeks I have checked joining dates with those I suspect being trolls—but imagine joining seven years ago, and today is his first post. Talk about your imbeds...
I abhor the racism motivation.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
I do too. There are a number of blacks I would would vote for in any election.
But...Racism does exist, especially among those of my father’s generation. It **will** be a factor. He and my mother are both FDR Democrats. FDR walked on water as far they are concerned, yet, in this election both are voting for McCain.
The reason my parents gave me is that they saw what happened to Philadelphia after the blacks took over the politics in that city. It does not occur to them that it isn’t the color of skin that destroyed Philly. It was Marxist Democratic philosophy and policies.
I live in Florida. I do my own day-to-day poll, and I can tell you with absolute certainty that 80% of the registered democrats I know will be voting for McCain if they haven’t already.
It is astounding what the Obama campaign has gotten away with. If only I could tell you what I do for a living so you would really know the extent of it. It’s disgusting.
Thank you. I think that might just work.
If Mac wins and Palin gets 2 terms, it coud be 2021 or later before another RAT is elected prez. By then much of MSM denizens will be reduced to trying to remember where they were this morning. 1st 1/4 of this century GOP all the way?
what percentage of eligible black voters are registered to vote this year? in 2004 approx 56% registered and 65% of the 56% voted. Anyone have any way to extrapolate those numbers for this year yet?
Better keep our powder dry until we actually win; I don’t want to invite bad karma on our side.
I will do so.
If there were a black conservative running, we would sure as heck vote for them.
The racism is in the black community. When 97%-99% of one demographic vote for a candidate, just because of skin color, that is racist. There is no diversity of thought there. It begins and ends with skin color.
I think it is foolish to say these folk vote against Obama strictly because he is black. His ideas are left wing, early 20th century garbage. All stuff that has already been tried and proven to fail every time. If a white, asian, latino, or pollock were running with his platform, he would lose by an even bigger margin than he is going to. If a white guy ran with this platform, I would venture a guess that he wouldn’t crack 40% in the popular vote.
It’s still Take2’s first post.
Interesting...
YOU WROTE “Take2—have you really been here this long and have yet to make more than one post?”
That’s right. And that affects the result of the election ... how?
Remember, trolls are people too. And sometimes they’re even right.
Great. Loser brings the champagne...
That's the assertion on which most of your conclusions hinge. Got some support for it?
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