Posted on 10/29/2008 11:15:14 AM PDT by TonyInOhio
'Hildebrand said the [Obama] campaign disregards current state polls showing Obama ahead.'
Earlier today, Obi Wan told me to expect something big and surprising from Fox News. I didn't post it, because I wanted to see if it would pan out before I raised expectations...
Well, here it is.
In a phone interview with FOX News, Barack Obama’s deputy campaign manager, Steve Hildebrand said: “John McCain is right. Things are tightening in the battleground states.”
FOX News obtained a copy of a memo Hildebrand sent to long-standing Democratic operatives on Tuesday.
The memo, shown below, reveals the extensive get-out-the-vote efforts Obama’s team has underway and “urgent” needs that have yet to be met.
Hildebrand told FOX News he sent the memo out to boost efforts in Florida but that similar memos were also sent out seeking help in North Carolina, Georgia and Ohio. He said needs were less acute in Pennsylvania.
Hildebrand said the campaign disregards current state polls showing Obama ahead.
"They were not always a good indicator in the primaries so we’re working hard now. We feel good but we always need more help in the field. On the ground in these states, things feel like they are tightening."
Poorsta mus save face, or in danger of wear ring eggdrop soup arr over self on erection day......
I agree, but that's not what the Bradley Effect refers to. People are afraid to tell pollsters that they won't vote for Barry because they don't want to be seen as racists, not because they are racists. That causes pollsters to overestimate support for Barry, and that is what what the campaign fears. They don't know who will vote for them.
Most people don't want the CIC to be friendly with both domestic and foreign terrorists.
Most people don't like the way people like Sara Palin and Joe the Plumber have been treated by the press and the democRATs.
Most people don't like the idea of our national voting system is being usurped by those that would cheat and that Nobama is supporting them.
Most people don't want the government to tell them what kind of health care they are going to receive.
I can go on and on and on......
Like I have said before, 75% of my deomcRAT acquaintances are either voting for McCain or not voting at all. (I should state that I live in a VERY blue state of Maryland)
If the polls are moving McCain/Palins way it is because they don't want a radical socialist to be POTUS not because of the Bradley Effect.
Another cause for worry for 0: about 5% of his “fervent” supporters consist of people who may not even bother to vote because “something may come up”. This per Rasmussen. History suggests these people WON’T show on election day.
This is like what happens at a company right before it goes bankrupt.
The upper reaches know they are toast, in a last ditch move to save things, they have a middle manager send out some action items accompanied with re-assuring language. Then you show up at the office two days later and they tell you to pack your stuff, and don’t be surprised if your paycheck bounces.
The problem for Obama is that he is depending on re-tread losers who want a hand out to vote for him. By nature, it is very difficult to get them to do ANYTHING on their own. Add on top of that, his supporters are deranged losers who can’t get people to answer the door when they knock. Anecdotally, the obama campaign is like the ant hill I find in the yard. When I pee on it, the ants run around like crazy, but never really accomplish anything, except getting pee’d on.
Yeah, that’s all this is. It’s like Chris Daughtry’s American Idol fans a few years ago. He’s a huge rock star now, but lost American Idol because his fans thought he was safe, at least until the finals, and didn’t vote but was booted several weeks before that.
Earlier this morning, I received my fifth urgent, increasingly frantic email in the last week and a half from MoveOn.org (I’m on their list, heh heh) begging for “get-out-the-vote” volunteers in Chapel Hill/Orange Co. North Carolina. I find it telling that they haven’t even russel up 220 volunteers in liberal CH/OC for a Saturday afternoon vote fraud event.
I think you’re right, although I do think we’ll see the Bradley effect on Election Day. Freeper LS studied the Bradley effect in statewide elections and found it had been real for every black candidate except Lynn Swann, who was running as a conservative Republican.
What the Dems will never admit is that their polarizing politics have left an impression on many white voters that any black with a D afer his name is a stone cold bizarro world radical as in Sharpton, Maxine Waters, Cynthia McKinney.
The democrat party is full of stupid, gullable people and sometimes the insiders get caught up in the doing "The Wave"...... apparently enough of them forgot the O-picture wasn't real....... but an illusion of reality and in the end just a Hollow gram.....
WIN IT!
WE WILL DO IT!
From Georgia South/Central/Coast I believe to be secure for Mac.
BHO seems to have an massive GOTV in the Fulton/Gwinett area. It could be close.
NC seems to have the same problem.
Exactly, like the article posted earlier from the Las Vegas journal, in which Hispanics and young voters were actually voting early at a lower rate than other groups in NV early voting. If someone can't get up the wherewithal to vote during a fourteen day long period prior to the election, what makes us think they're going to turn out in record numbers during a 14 hour election period next Tuesday?
Atlanta area and ACORN.
John that was funny as hell....but when they come to the door you can do like I do.......
.......answer the door tell them what the want to hear, send them away happy.
.......then savior their lose on election day with a nice bottle of Champagne and dancing around.......
No, racist reasons against Obama are real. It helped Hillary in states like PA and is helping McCain in PA. We got burned by it the first time Jindal ran, where he way underperformed Bush in North Louisiana parishes and precincts. This American Life, an NPR radio show, has interviews with Obama canvassers in PA, especially folks calling union households in PA, where they are running into it. I'm a white guy in NH and I hear racist jokes and comments all the time about black people they see on TV, including Obama (there aren't really any actual black people here). I've heard it in Arkansas and Mississippi visiting relatives, too-- folks who happily voted for X42 in 1992 and 1996.
Right . The Bradley Effect is a popular but tired catch phrase. What we are seeing is real , It’s the Palin Effect that matters.
Well I’m still concerned about the early voting in GA and NC. But my gut says Georgia will be fine and North Carolina I will check with a colleague down there in Charlotte but we’ll be positive on that one too.
I’m sensing that this is going better and it’s outside the bounds of my optimism. As such, I’m getting pretty excited with this trend.
It’s clearly going in the right direction and quite fast at the right time.
I have broken it down, and 45% of DeKalb County has already voted, whereas only 29% of Cobb and Gwinnett Counties has voted. Also, the early vote is way overloaded with women. McCain will take GA by 5%-7%.
What are the chances we are right about this?
It makes sense to me, but I’ve suprised and disappointed so often by my fellow Americans. I’d rather have sober analysis than rah-rah stuff.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.