What are the chances we are right about this?
It makes sense to me, but I’ve suprised and disappointed so often by my fellow Americans. I’d rather have sober analysis than rah-rah stuff.
Here’s some sober analysis. I can’t find the post I wrote about it, but about two or three weeks ago I took a look at the internals of a Newsweek poll nad found they had McCain winning whites by 1 point and losing men by 14 points. Yet, in 1996 Bob Dole lost by 9 points in the popular vote and he won men by several points. There’s no way the samples in these polls is anywhere close to reality, nd polls are the only reason to believe Obama has this thing won.