I think you’re right, although I do think we’ll see the Bradley effect on Election Day. Freeper LS studied the Bradley effect in statewide elections and found it had been real for every black candidate except Lynn Swann, who was running as a conservative Republican.
What the Dems will never admit is that their polarizing politics have left an impression on many white voters that any black with a D afer his name is a stone cold bizarro world radical as in Sharpton, Maxine Waters, Cynthia McKinney.
The reason many people belive that is because in order for black politicians to rise from the ranks, they have to kiss the rings of the established black players.
Or, in Swann’s case, they can be independently wealthy former famous athletes.
Racial politics is a big, big money making scheme for Sharpton, Jackson and the rest. They are not going to give up that cash cow just because some up and coming pol asks them to.