Posted on 10/27/2008 12:06:03 PM PDT by Chet 99
Monday, October 27, 2008
There are no surprises in California where Barack Obama enjoys a huge lead over John McCain.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of California voters shows Obama leading McCain by 27 percentage points, 61% to 34% (see crosstabs). Obama has led in all nine California polls conducted this year. Earlier this month, McCain reached the 40% level of support for only the second time all year but still trailed by 16.
In California, 45% of voters name economic issues as most important for Election 2008. Domestic issues such as Social Security and health care are seen as most important by 20% while 17% say national security issues are their highest priority.
Damn, am I glad I fled that hellhole in 97.
Does anybody need any more proof that his models are a joke. At least he could make the results believable.
Pray for W, McCuda and Our Troops
GOOD WORK! This would bring the numbers into line with the IBD/TIPP poll and means that McCain could very well lose the popular vote but win the presidency.
Arrrrgh. Typo in the above. Obama leads California per Ras 61-34. Splitting the undecideds evenly yields 63.5-36.5, which is what I used in my formula.
He musn’t be polling the same people that are on the AOL online weekly poll.
Out of 7,500 votes so far for CA right now on their poll, McCain is UP 64-34! I know that it’s only an online poll, but something is WHACKED!
I’d be SHOCKED if McCain takes CA, but if he is even CLOSE, NOBAMA’s goin’ down HARD!
ras even has zogsauce laughing at this poll.
LLS
LLS
Jalapeno spiced popcorn and Dos Equis for Nov.4.
If it turns bad for McCain I'll switch to cheap tequila.
Would you object giving the southern half of California to Mexico?
Rasmussen’s ability to get polls right is a joke.
Read this:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2116011/posts
Not exactly consistent with the polling data coming out of Rasmussen...
Help! Help! I'm surrounded.
Obama being ahead 10-12% in CA would be a reasonable prediction. 27% is not.
Rush mentioned this morning that, surprisingly, in early voting in CA, more Republicans have voted than Democrat, both in early voting and absentee ballot voting.
Internals?
The vote counters are probably holding the absentee ballots close to the vest. If I remember correctly, in the 2000 election, there were 100,000 absentee ballots left uncounted for whatever reason. There is a real possibility that Gore may not have won the popular vote.
Republicans almost always lead in absentee balloting, based on recent elections.
Obama up by 27 in California, but up only 5 nationally in his same poll (which is giving him a combined 7.2% turnout advantage)? If Rasmussen is right, McCain is going to win nationally in a landslide.
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