RealClearPolitics Electoral College (McCain/Palin Now Lead Obama/Biden 227 to 207

To: Laissez-faire capitalist

1. You can change Indiana to solid McCain. 0bama has no chance here.

2. I played with the scenarios some. I still think MI and MN go blue.

3. I think it comes down to PA. If McCain wins PA, it’s over. If 0bama takes PA, it’s a tough task to take enough states to overcome the loss.

21 posted on 09/14/2008 1:58:27 PM PDT by henkster (Sarah Palin; the 2nd coming of Teddy Roosevelt)

To: Laissez-faire capitalist

most of the female voters will go for palin with the way obama treated her and hillary...

look for every state, save 2, going for mccain...

hawaii and maryland... it’ll be a trouncing...

america is ready for a woman... this woman... not that man obama...

teeman

22 posted on 09/14/2008 2:08:27 PM PDT by teeman8r

“1. You can change Indiana to solid McCain. 0bama has no chance here.”

Well, I hope you’re right, but I sure haven’t seen a lot of enthusiasm for McCain here in SE Indiana. Mostly what I’ve noticed is not a lot of bumper stickers or yard signs like usual.

23 posted on 09/14/2008 2:14:59 PM PDT by EEDUDE

To: Laissez-faire capitalist

Interesting poll numbers. The National Poll on Sept. 2 had Obama up 8 compared to the Sept. 8 National Poll having McCain up 10. Nearly 20 point swing. Much more than a bump from the convention. It’s the Sarah bump!!!!

24 posted on 09/14/2008 2:15:32 PM PDT by Road Warrior ‘04 (Kill 'em til they're dead, then kill 'em again!)

To: Republic Rocker

Including those three states brings the count to 265. McCain needs either New Mexico or New Hampshire.

25 posted on 09/14/2008 2:15:35 PM PDT by guido911 (Islamic terrorists are members of the "ROP", the "religion of pu*&ies")

To: Laissez-faire capitalist

26 posted on 09/14/2008 2:17:54 PM PDT by ajay_kumar (Tax cuts my A** Obama voted 94 times for tax increases! Pulling a Clinton on taxes.)

It shows 280 on my map. Something is wrong. I changed OH and VA and it shows 280. Odd.

27 posted on 09/14/2008 2:20:29 PM PDT by JRochelle

To: 2ndDivisionVet

This is all lies, there is no Palin bump, I assure you...

This is all lies, there are no Palin bumps, I assure you...

Corrected ... 8<)

28 posted on 09/14/2008 2:21:59 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Hillary's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)

I’m putting IN squarely in McCain’s camp for 5 reasons:

1. Daniels is going to wipe out Thompson in the governor’s race. He’ll have some coat tails for McCain;

2. This state is reliably Republican in Presidential elections, and I don’t see any major demographic shifts that have changed that;

3. Obama didn’t even win the primary here. The only reason the demo primary was so close was the head of the democrat party in Lake County promising whatever fraud 0bama needed to win the state in May;

4. The “Bradley effect” in NW IN will be very pronounced. I’ve got many friends in “the Region” and I think you’ll be surprised at how close it will be, even with masssive voter fraud for 0bama.

5. The democrat machine in Marion County has been damaged with Bart Peterson’s upset loss and Julia Carson’s death last year. There won’t be as much fraud as usual down in Indy.

29 posted on 09/14/2008 2:24:38 PM PDT by henkster (Sarah Palin; the 2nd coming of Teddy Roosevelt)

I just realized if you hit the ‘change to leaning McCain’ twice, it keeps adding electoral votes.

LOL

30 posted on 09/14/2008 2:24:42 PM PDT by JRochelle

Obama will win in VT by at least 65%-35%.

31 posted on 09/14/2008 2:38:26 PM PDT by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)

To: Laissez-faire capitalist

States to watch for possible switches:

Nevada 5: McCain 49% / Obama 46% (Sept 11th Rasmussen)

Colorado 9: McCain 46% / Obama 49% (Sept 10th IndAdv/Pollposition)

New Mexico 5: McCain 49% / Obama 47% (Sept 8th Rasmussen)

Ohio 20: McCain 48% / Obama 47% (Sept 9th InAdv/PollPosition)

Michigan 17: McCain 46% /Obama 51% (9/10 Rasm) McCain 45%/ Obama 44% (9/10 IndAdv/PollPosition)

Pennsylvania 21: McCain 45% Obama 48% (Sept 9th Quinnipiac)

Wisconsin 10: McCain 43% / Obama 47% (Sept 7th Strategic Vision)

32 posted on 09/14/2008 2:40:19 PM PDT by eaglestar

To: Laissez-faire capitalist

States to watch for possible switches:

Nevada 5: McCain 49% / Obama 46% (Sept 11th Rasmussen)

Colorado 9: McCain 46% / Obama 49% (Sept 10th IndAdv/Pollposition)

New Mexico 5: McCain 49% / Obama 47% (Sept 8th Rasmussen)

Ohio 20: McCain 48% / Obama 47% (Sept 9th InAdv/PollPosition)

Michigan 17: McCain 46% /Obama 51% (9/10 Rasm) McCain 45%/ Obama 44% (9/10 IndAdv/PollPosition)

Pennsylvania 21: McCain 45% Obama 48% (Sept 9th Quinnipiac)

Wisconsin 10: McCain 43% / Obama 47% (Sept 7th Strategic Vision)

33 posted on 09/14/2008 2:40:44 PM PDT by eaglestar

To: Straight Vermonter

time will tell...

the defeat has to be devastating to bring the charges of stealing the elections...

teeman

ps- i’ve been wrong lots of times...

34 posted on 09/14/2008 8:18:58 PM PDT by teeman8r

Same here—Could not find any polls re Murtha vs Russell...

Did find an article in the Johnstown (Pa) Tribune where voter registration of Democrats is running way ahead of Republicans in the State of Pa , 107,000 new Dems vs 2702 new Rep signups...

‘Course registrations don’t mean the people will vote the way they registered but you’d wish that the Reps could step up the efforts...and you would think some Newspaper in Pa would have polls on the House Races by now...

fyi: Pollster.com keeps track of the Presidential and Senate Races and their maps are interesting..checkout the Senate map...

Here are the URLs..

http://www.pollster.com/polls/2008senate/

http://www.tribune-democrat.com/local/local_story_257231633.html

35 posted on 09/14/2008 8:23:07 PM PDT by billmor (Friday:Red Shirt Day- silent no more..,McCain and Palin-the right team for '08)

Can you crop out the guy on the left side of the picture. I would rather not remember I have to vote for McCain in order to vote for Palin.

36 posted on 09/14/2008 9:24:18 PM PDT by AndyTheBear (Disastrous social experimentation is the opiate of elitist snobs.)

37 posted on 09/15/2008 5:57:38 AM PDT by Islander7 ("Common sense and common decency are uncommon virtues among America's left.")

To: Laissez-faire capitalist

In the RCP table of states that have changed status (solid O, leaning O, tossup, leaning McC, solid McC), since 8/19, all the changes have gone McC’s way except Minnesota, which changed to “leaning O” on 9/3 but went back to “tossup” yesterday.

09/14 Minnesota Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 227 - Obama 207 McCain +2.3
09/13 Indiana Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 227 - Obama 217 McCain +2.4
09/11 Florida Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 216 - Obama 217 McCain +2.5
09/11 North Carolina Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 216 - Obama 217 McCain +2.5
09/11 Georgia Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 216 - Obama 217 McCain +2.5
09/09 North Carolina Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 189 - Obama 217 McCain +2.4
09/09 New Jersey Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama McCain 189 - Obama 217 McCain +2.4
09/08 Washington Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama McCain 174 - Obama 217 McCain +2.9
09/07 Pennsylvania Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 174 - Obama 217 McCain +1.0
09/05 Indiana Leaning McCain »»» Toss Up McCain 174 - Obama 238 Obama +2.6
09/03 Minnesota Toss Up »»» Leaning Obama McCain 185 - Obama 238 Obama +5.8
08/30 Alaska Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 185 - Obama 228 Obama +3.9
08/27 Indiana Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 185 - Obama 228 Obama +1.8
08/21 Missouri Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 174 - Obama 228 Obama +1.5
08/20 North Carolina Leaning McCain »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +1.2
08/19 North Carolina Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 178 - Obama 228 Obama +3.0
08/15 Maine Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Kansas Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Mississippi Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Texas Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 New Jersey Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Massachusetts Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Washington Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/14 Minnesota Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +4.2
08/13 Kansas Solid McCain »»» Leaning McCain McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +4.6
08/07 Maine Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +3.6
08/04 Massachusetts Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +2.3
07/24 Michigan Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +4.0
07/22 Louisiana Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 163 - Obama 255 Obama +4.3
07/13 Michigan Toss Up »»» Leaning Obama McCain 163 - Obama 255 Obama +3.8
07/10 North Dakota Solid McCain »»» Leaning McCain McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +5.5
07/02 Connecticut Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +5.4
06/25 California Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +6.9
06/20 Alaska Solid McCain »»» Leaning McCain McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +5.5
06/19 Florida Leaning McCain »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +4.2
06/19 Ohio Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +4.2
06/18 Ohio Toss Up »»» Leaning Obama McCain 190 - Obama 258 Obama +4.2
06/12 Wisconsin Toss Up »»» Leaning Obama McCain 190 - Obama 238 Obama +4.3

38 posted on 09/15/2008 8:17:07 AM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (I want to "Buy American" but the only things for sale made in the USA are politicians)

To: Laissez-faire capitalist

They’ve still got VA and OH as toss ups.. VA clearly is not based on polling at this point, and OH is not going to go Fauxbama, that’s just wishful thinking by pundents.

PA and MI are the 2 big ones to watch. (and frankly I believe WI will go R as well)

On the ground in PA, here myself I see no way fauxbama wins PA. I’m not seeing on the ground what I normally see here, nothing indicates Fauxbama is connecting with the blue dogs he needs to win this state, in fact everything I see is pointing to the oposite.

39 posted on 09/15/2008 8:22:38 AM PDT by HamiltonJay

Is PA ready for the Larry Sinclair tour?

http://larrysinclair-0926.blogspot.com/

It no longer about beating OBambi, its about saving the congress from rat infestation.

I predict pretty soon we will see obambi starting to “get emotional, wiping a tear from his eye, his wife crying...”

Oh well thats what happens when your nothing but one huge lie.

40 posted on 09/15/2008 8:33:13 AM PDT by TomasUSMC

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