RealClearPolitics Electoral College (McCain/Palin Now Lead Obama/Biden 227 to 207

Real Clear Politics ^ | Staff

[Laissez-faire capitalist]

Obama/Biden 207 McCain/Palin 227 Toss Up 104

[Laissez-faire capitalist]

Right below where it says State-by-State Changes Last 3 Months, it has McCain/Palin at 227, and Obama/Biden at 207.

This isn't affected by playing with the map.

I can remember back to about a month and a half ago when Obama had an electoral college lead over McCain of 290 something to 160 something (without any Toss Ups added in).

When Toss Ups were added, Obama led 320 something to 200 something.

Obama is sinking like a rock.

No wonder he has people up in Alaska trying to dig up stuff on Sarah Palin. Perhaps Obama is trying to clear the playing field?

[Laissez-faire capitalist]

What say you?

[Mamzelle]

They’ve got VA as a tossup.

[Laissez-faire capitalist]

So many states that were once solid Obama now say leaning Obama, and so many states that used to say leaning McCain are now saying solid McCain.

And... so many states that once said toss up are now saying leaning McCain.

[GonzoGOP]

And that is with VA and OH in the toss up category. I think those two are moving towards a lock. Looks like NV and CO are going to be the keys. I'm thinking McCain sees it the same way based on where Gov Palin is today.

[Laissez-faire capitalist]

Look at how many states that once said leaning Obama now say toss up, and states that said toss up now say leaning mccain.

Supposed Obama states - like MI, WI, etc - are now up for grabs.

[Terabitten]

Look at how many states that once said leaning Obama now say toss up, and states that said toss up now say leaning mccain.

Exactly. I don't think there's a single state that's trended towards Obama since the RNC convention.

[SERKIT]

In the stronghold state of Illinois, no one is watching Barry's decline in the polls. This may be a bellwether example of Barry's losses. http://www.pollster.com/polls/il/08-il-pres-ge-mvo.php

The above poll has not been updated since the wave of Gov Palin came on strong. Barry may well be below 50% in Illinois, but no one is noticing. If the Indies and disenchanted DEMS are switching sides and since both King Richard of Chicago and Gov Blow-Dry-o-Vich have been relatively kind to Gov Palin, I think Illinois could surprise people.

[2ndDivisionVet]

This is all lies, there is no Palin bump, I assure you...

[Unkosified]

Sarah needs to show up in Michigan a couple times wearing a Steve Yzerman jersey.

[Dan in Wichita]

Don’t forget, according to polls released within the last few days, Washington state is basically a dead heat too (Obama +2)

[GitmoSailor]

We have a winner!!!!....

[ConservativeMan55]

bump

[RedBloodedTexan]

Interesting. If you click on the “no toss ups”, it leaves CO as Obama, but the polls below the map show it for McCain. If you make that single change on the map, it has McCain 274/Obama 264. Why didn’t the map reflect that shift if the table below does?

[JRochelle]

No, McCain doesn’t need NV or CO if he gets VA and OH. He reaches 280 with OH and VA added.

[Islander7]

Does anyone have polling data on the race; Murtha vs Russell? Can’t seem to find anything on the web.

[IndianPrincessOK]

Perhaps Obama is trying to clear the playing field?

That’s exactly what he is doing and how Chicago politics are ran. Obama ONLY got in office by uncovering Fitzgerald (or Fitzpatrick) divorce papers where he had frequented a strip club. His opponent left the race in disgrace and he won. He is trying this again...but this time HE is being uncovered....and this is not Chicago but the big stage!!

[snarkytart]

Yes, but we shouldn’t count on traditionally blue states. It seems the race always tightens around this time, but in the end they fall back to BLUE.

Check this out to see what I mean:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2082324/posts

Post #12 by conservativeman55

[GonzoGOP]

The RCP map on the link shows McCain 227 / Obama 207. VA and OH are worth 13 and 20 respectively. 227+33 = 260, still 10 short. Did you have something else flipped from the toss-ups?

[Republic Rocker]

OH.+VIRG.+NEV.=VICTORY!