This isn't affected by playing with the map.
I can remember back to about a month and a half ago when Obama had an electoral college lead over McCain of 290 something to 160 something (without any Toss Ups added in).
When Toss Ups were added, Obama led 320 something to 200 something.
Obama is sinking like a rock.
No wonder he has people up in Alaska trying to dig up stuff on Sarah Palin. Perhaps Obama is trying to clear the playing field?
What say you?
They’ve got VA as a tossup.
So many states that were once solid Obama now say leaning Obama, and so many states that used to say leaning McCain are now saying solid McCain.
And... so many states that once said toss up are now saying leaning McCain.
The above poll has not been updated since the wave of Gov Palin came on strong. Barry may well be below 50% in Illinois, but no one is noticing. If the Indies and disenchanted DEMS are switching sides and since both King Richard of Chicago and Gov Blow-Dry-o-Vich have been relatively kind to Gov Palin, I think Illinois could surprise people.
Don’t forget, according to polls released within the last few days, Washington state is basically a dead heat too (Obama +2)
Interesting. If you click on the “no toss ups”, it leaves CO as Obama, but the polls below the map show it for McCain. If you make that single change on the map, it has McCain 274/Obama 264. Why didn’t the map reflect that shift if the table below does?
Does anyone have polling data on the race; Murtha vs Russell? Can’t seem to find anything on the web.
Perhaps Obama is trying to clear the playing field?
That’s exactly what he is doing and how Chicago politics are ran. Obama ONLY got in office by uncovering Fitzgerald (or Fitzpatrick) divorce papers where he had frequented a strip club. His opponent left the race in disgrace and he won. He is trying this again...but this time HE is being uncovered....and this is not Chicago but the big stage!!
most of the female voters will go for palin with the way obama treated her and hillary...
look for every state, save 2, going for mccain...
hawaii and maryland... it’ll be a trouncing...
america is ready for a woman... this woman... not that man obama...
teeman
Interesting poll numbers. The National Poll on Sept. 2 had Obama up 8 compared to the Sept. 8 National Poll having McCain up 10. Nearly 20 point swing. Much more than a bump from the convention. It’s the Sarah bump!!!!
Ping!
In the RCP table of states that have changed status (solid O, leaning O, tossup, leaning McC, solid McC), since 8/19, all the changes have gone McC’s way except Minnesota, which changed to “leaning O” on 9/3 but went back to “tossup” yesterday.
09/14 Minnesota Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 227 - Obama 207 McCain +2.3
09/13 Indiana Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 227 - Obama 217 McCain +2.4
09/11 Florida Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 216 - Obama 217 McCain +2.5
09/11 North Carolina Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 216 - Obama 217 McCain +2.5
09/11 Georgia Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 216 - Obama 217 McCain +2.5
09/09 North Carolina Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 189 - Obama 217 McCain +2.4
09/09 New Jersey Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama McCain 189 - Obama 217 McCain +2.4
09/08 Washington Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama McCain 174 - Obama 217 McCain +2.9
09/07 Pennsylvania Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 174 - Obama 217 McCain +1.0
09/05 Indiana Leaning McCain »»» Toss Up McCain 174 - Obama 238 Obama +2.6
09/03 Minnesota Toss Up »»» Leaning Obama McCain 185 - Obama 238 Obama +5.8
08/30 Alaska Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 185 - Obama 228 Obama +3.9
08/27 Indiana Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 185 - Obama 228 Obama +1.8
08/21 Missouri Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 174 - Obama 228 Obama +1.5
08/20 North Carolina Leaning McCain »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +1.2
08/19 North Carolina Toss Up »»» Leaning McCain McCain 178 - Obama 228 Obama +3.0
08/15 Maine Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Kansas Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Mississippi Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Texas Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 New Jersey Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Massachusetts Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/15 Washington Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +3.5
08/14 Minnesota Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 228 Obama +4.2
08/13 Kansas Solid McCain »»» Leaning McCain McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +4.6
08/07 Maine Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +3.6
08/04 Massachusetts Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +2.3
07/24 Michigan Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +4.0
07/22 Louisiana Leaning McCain »»» Solid McCain McCain 163 - Obama 255 Obama +4.3
07/13 Michigan Toss Up »»» Leaning Obama McCain 163 - Obama 255 Obama +3.8
07/10 North Dakota Solid McCain »»» Leaning McCain McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +5.5
07/02 Connecticut Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +5.4
06/25 California Leaning Obama »»» Solid Obama McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +6.9
06/20 Alaska Solid McCain »»» Leaning McCain McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +5.5
06/19 Florida Leaning McCain »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +4.2
06/19 Ohio Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up McCain 163 - Obama 238 Obama +4.2
06/18 Ohio Toss Up »»» Leaning Obama McCain 190 - Obama 258 Obama +4.2
06/12 Wisconsin Toss Up »»» Leaning Obama McCain 190 - Obama 238 Obama +4.3
They’ve still got VA and OH as toss ups.. VA clearly is not based on polling at this point, and OH is not going to go Fauxbama, that’s just wishful thinking by pundents.
PA and MI are the 2 big ones to watch. (and frankly I believe WI will go R as well)
On the ground in PA, here myself I see no way fauxbama wins PA. I’m not seeing on the ground what I normally see here, nothing indicates Fauxbama is connecting with the blue dogs he needs to win this state, in fact everything I see is pointing to the oposite.