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The Unfortunate Palin Gamble
GOPublius.com ^ | August 29, 2008 | GOPublius.com

Posted on 08/29/2008 10:31:47 AM PDT by americanophile

Don’t kid yourself…John McCain just put all his chips on the table and rolled the dice.

Over the past many months, McCain’s team had skillfully underscored the natural impressions of Americans – that Barak Obama was the lightweight in the race; the candidate of risk. Now, with a single stroke McCain has undercut his most effective argument. He has weakened his case for wisdom and experience, and elevated a one-term governor of a small-population state based on her gender.

McCain had plenty of safe choices. Choices that would have bolstered Americans’ inherent understanding of McCain’s competency and ability; choices that would have underscored the longstanding notion that whatever gimmick the Democrats try, the Republican Party remains the serious one.

With the electorate evenly split, McCain’s first job was to pick a competent running mate that would not undermine his standing, and would reassure voters that should something happen to the oldest man ever to be nominated for president, a competent, experienced leader, ready to serve as commander-in-chief in a time of war, was waiting in the wings.

The former Miss Congeniality, and hockey mom from “the last frontier” is a bizarre choice.

McCain’s pick today has all the hallmarks of a political gimmick and a hail-Mary pass. While it is likely to excite some conservatives, his choice will refocus the entire campaign away from Obama’s status as a political neophyte and will reshuffle the risk calculus in the favor of the increasingly familiar, and always-eloquent Obama. With Biden on the ticket, Obama has lessened the sense that he poses a serious danger to the electorate. McCain’s selection by contrast is likely to shake voters and cast uncertainty on the wisdom and safety of a McCain presidency.

With competent and proven individuals waiting in the wings such as Governor Mitt Romney, the selection of Sarah Palin is a most unfortunate choice.

John McCain may have just lost the 2008 election…cue the hurricane.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2008veep; electionpresident; mccain; palin; vicepresident
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To: americanophile

The author can bite my crank. McCain has consistently shown audacity throughout this campaign. He has made a bold choice with Palin. I think it’s brilliant.


21 posted on 08/29/2008 10:42:44 AM PDT by karnage
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To: Pearls Before Swine


22 posted on 08/29/2008 10:42:45 AM PDT by Diogenesis (Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum)
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To: raygunfan

I LOVE this pick. Governor Sarah Palin has more EXECUTIVE experience than Biden and obama - COMBINED.


23 posted on 08/29/2008 10:42:48 AM PDT by Presto (Liberalsim is nonsense on stilts.)
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To: expatpat

But does he have any Elvis in him?


24 posted on 08/29/2008 10:42:49 AM PDT by RichInOC ("Elvis is everywhere, Elvis is everything, Elvis is everybody, Elvis is still the King!"--Mojo Nixon)
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To: americanophile
Sarah Palin is an NRA life member. I've already seen a picture of her on the internet holding an M4 carbine. NRA members will turn out for her in droves, and that's a VERY important vote. They know what Obama and Biden represent.

She takes the whole stupid "Make history by electing the first (fill in the blank for your favorite minority)" argument. I just read that Evangelical Christians are ecstatic about her being chosen. McCain just shored up his base, and maybe brought in some PUMA's as well.

I don't see how there could have been a better choice.

25 posted on 08/29/2008 10:42:52 AM PDT by Hardastarboard (I have Zero Tolerance for Zero Tolerance policies.)
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To: americanophile

1) first Republican woman selected to run as VP instantly makes this a “historic” ticket
2) secures and energizes the base
3) offers Hillary voters the opportunity to vote for a woman
4) executive experience (plus Governor of a Western state is a plus with many Western states in play this election)
5) great on oil/gas/energy
6) excellent speaking skills
7) conservatives can visualize her as future president
8) very “family values”
9) will attract some union voters who normally vote straight Dem ticket
10) stregthens McCain’s “reform” message

Did I miss anything?


26 posted on 08/29/2008 10:43:03 AM PDT by Califelephant
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To: Pearls Before Swine

I can vote for McCain/Palin without holding my nose.


27 posted on 08/29/2008 10:43:10 AM PDT by HuntsvilleTxVeteran (Remember the Alamo, Goliad and WACO, It is Time for a new San Jacinto!)
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To: americanophile

Palin is a brilliant choice.

For gambling analogies McCain just pulled an inside straight against two pair. Question now is if Obama can turn it into a full house.


28 posted on 08/29/2008 10:43:16 AM PDT by Domandred (McCain's 'R' is a typo that has never been corrected)
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To: americanophile

I couldn’t disagree more with the tone or content of this article. It’s an inspired choice.

Yes, he may have given away a little of the experience argument against Barack, although I don’t completely agree with that. But, he got so much more in the bargain. He’ll solidify the conservative base vote. He’ll pick up a lot of independent women. Plus, she’s pro-life, NRA member, reformer. She’s got it all!

Great choice, McCain. Checkmate.


29 posted on 08/29/2008 10:43:48 AM PDT by News Junkie (Faith and Reason)
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To: americanophile
Sorry, do not agree. Had McCain wanted to pander to the Hillary PUMA's and independent soccer moms, he had other more well-known women to choose from like Kay Bailey Hutchinson or Christine Whitman.

It's painfully obvious this author knows nothing of Governor Palin's record of achievements and her stands. Shame on them for not doing their homework before writing that vitriol.
30 posted on 08/29/2008 10:43:59 AM PDT by OCCASparky (Steely-Eyed Killer of the Deep)
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To: americanophile

Uh, just speaking for myself, I’d like to hear what she has to say prior to forming an opinion.

Is that unreasonable?


31 posted on 08/29/2008 10:44:04 AM PDT by durasell (!)
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To: raygunfan

So let me ask you raygunfan, what is her positions on Illegal Immigration issues?

And I ask that as a non-fan of Romney. I did not want him and saw him as a liability.


32 posted on 08/29/2008 10:44:09 AM PDT by SoConPubbie (GOP: If you reward bad behavior all you get is more bad behavior.)
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To: americanophile
Right, because what this country really needs right now is another elite, east coast a-hole in an Executive position. I can't believe that I'm saying this, but this might tip me towards voting for the McCain ticket. This is the one of the first decisions that he's made that I actually respect.
33 posted on 08/29/2008 10:44:52 AM PDT by thecabal
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To: PatriotBill

Sarah hit 4 grand slams, infact, she hit the balls so hard she put them in obit.


34 posted on 08/29/2008 10:44:53 AM PDT by Rodm (Seest thou a man diligent in his business? He shall stand before kings)
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To: PatriotBill

Sarah has executive experience which Obama lacks.

Sarah has far more accomplishments as Governor than Obama has as a Senator.


35 posted on 08/29/2008 10:45:13 AM PDT by ltc8k6
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To: americanophile

Whine, Whine, Whine about an excellent pick! Figured someone would try to rain on the parade because their candidate was not the choice and here it is within a few hours of the nomination. Sitting here shaking head with a huge smile on my face!


36 posted on 08/29/2008 10:45:28 AM PDT by PhiKapMom ( VOTE FOR McCAIN/PALIN2008! McCainNow.com; LetsGetThisRight.com)
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To: americanophile

Attacking Mrs. Palin on lack of experience would be a very poor tactic. Criticizing McCain for choosing someone outside the short list is also short-sighted. Mrs. Palin may not have a great deal of foreign policy experience (although it might be more extensive than people believe, given her proximity to Russia and Canada), but experience also includes the “real life” experience none of the other candidates can really claim. Obama has lived in a liberal never-never land all his life. Biden is the ultimate Washington insider who has spent nearly his entire adult life in the Senate. McCain is also a long-time Washingtonian who is married to a multi-millionaire. But there is the experience she has: wife, mother of five, worker, coach, grass-roots reformer, mayor of a small town (and don’t kid yourself, that is often more challenging than mayor of a huge city) commissioner, governor. As every woman knows, the so-called powers that be tend to put down that experience as useless. No one can accuse her of being an elitist, something none of the others have dodged. She can capitalize on it in the same way that women have claimed it takes a woman to clean the house. And she will give fits to the Queen Bee on Capitol Hill.


37 posted on 08/29/2008 10:45:29 AM PDT by caseinpoint (Don't get thickly involved in thin things)
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To: Wil H
Palin will have the luxury of “learning on the job” which Obama wouldn’t.

With O as president, he will continue to receive lessons from the DNC that he is their puppet.

38 posted on 08/29/2008 10:45:57 AM PDT by ColdWater
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To: americanophile

Sadly, this is the most accurate assessment of the Palin pick that I’ve read thus far. The euphoria over Palin is IMHO misspent and premature. I have little hope for November at this point.


39 posted on 08/29/2008 10:46:08 AM PDT by Melas (Offending stupid people since 1963)
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To: americanophile

She’s an excellent choice. I’d have been happy with Romney, I like the guy, but she’s an excellent choice.

Forget the nonsense that she undercuts Obama’s lack of experience. She has 16 years in public life, and she has a track record of standing up for what she believes. And she has held real jobs over the years, not make-believe jobs like Obama.

Obama, on the other hand, has never had a real job. He has no resume at all, and what little he has can’t be documented. What have you been doing all your life if before it can be disclosed they have to clean any mention of you out of the files first?


40 posted on 08/29/2008 10:46:08 AM PDT by marron
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