Posted on 08/04/2008 4:44:59 PM PDT by maccaca
A couple of polls out today at state level are showing further improvement of McCain's standing at state level.
Survey USA Florida McCain 50 Obama 44
Poor Obama, he has spent over $5 million on ads in this state since primary, and McCain has spent ZERO. Great investment return, and keep it up, Obama.
Other polls are conducted in safe blue and red states, nothing particular interessting except the trendline.
Suffolk Massachusetts Massachusetts Obama 47, McCain 38 (June: Obama 53, McCain 30) John Kerry, keep talking and I'm sure you'll help your buddy even more.
Rasmussen Arizona McCain 52, Obama 36 (June: McCain 49, Obama 40)
Rasmussen Alabama McCain 55, Obama 37(June: McCain 51, Obama 36)
Rasmussen Connecticut Obama 51, McCain 36(June: Obama 52, McCain 35)
If he can keep them all, he wins. Period.
Still a long, long way to go, but this has to be dispiriting to the RATs.
Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, Misouri, and Virginia ALL have recent polls out that show McCain ahead.
If he can keep them all, he wins. Period.
Still a long, long way to go, but this has to be dispiriting to the RATs.
The beast will enter. obama is going to need her
As I have thought all along, if McCain looks healthy and campaigns vigorously, the Obama negatives will make enough independents and moderate Dems go into the last few days and think McCain is the safer choice.
Those on the right upset with McCain will turn out to vote against Obama.
If the youth vote shows up, McCain wins a squeaker, if they stay home he wins solidly.
So, how bad to the polls have to get before the Superdelegates ditch Obama and go with Hillary in Denver?
Recreate ‘68!
The Beast is looking toward 2012 and doesn’t want to be saddled with a loser in ‘08.
They may have to resort to a ban on the Internet and radio.
The “youth vote” is actually the “youth posturing”, in effect a symbolic “vote of confidence” delivered to Obama as payment for the personal rapport he has managed to strike with them, and that may be as far as it goes, in practical terms—as election day nears, the Media becomes more measured and ambivalent in their support of BHO, the resolve of Obama supporters weakens and begins to come apart, and many of them stay home,rather than vote for McCain. This will happen because the kind of artificial “enthusiasm” that has been carrying Obama along on the “crest” of the proverbial wave is already hitting the shore and dissipating......It will recede and deflate as quickly as it developed. It is an artificial phenomenon.
That’s what happens to artificial phenomena.
McCain in a near landslide, with 60% if the popular vote.
McCain must keep Obama on the Defensive.
Keep dreaming.
The pubbies have all the trends against them
Democrat voter fraud was at epidemic levels which will make it very difficult for McCain to get an honest count
McCain might win in the end, but it will be close enough for the rats pull every stunt, file every lawsuit to over turn the vote.
Liberals are on the offensive and always overreach, they will do the same in the post election cage match between their lawyers and the GOP lawyers.
Don't be surprised if 2008 makes 2000 look like a a church picnic
I hear a Hillarybeast rustling at the edge of the woods.
I hear a Hillarybeast rustling at the edge of the woods.
I think the only way a scenario like that takes place is if HILLARY enters the pic at the last moment, and that would be at the behest of the DNC....it has NOTHING to do with McCain. Obama and Hillary were always each other’s biggest problem.....both of them would be waging a losing battle against McCain, who STILL has to keep plugging away, but not nearly as hard as Obama. I have felt since the earliest primaries that showed Obama had surprising strength, that Hillary would wind up being the nominee. I still see that as a possibility....Okay, I’ll revise my “dreamy” statistics: McCain wins 60%/40% over Obama, but only 55%/45% over Hillary. Too bad it can’t be both, but there should be some polling numbers to confirm both possibilities. And as far as a replay of the “stolen election” scenarios of the last two elections, I think the voting public would be so turned off by the slightest whiff of that crap AGAIN that they would, once again, either vote McCain, or more likely STAY HOME. But you may be talking about a contested election AFTER “all the votes are in”, which is a somewhat different story.
And, by the way, I would be willing to bet the margin is much closer to 10% than your 1%-2% “squeaker”.
The thought of Obama pouring money into Massachusetts is just too sweet for words.
I am in CT, and I can't find a single White Democrat over 40 who will vote for Obama. They all seem to fear him around here.
Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, Misouri, and Virginia ALL have recent polls out that show McCain ahead. If he can keep them all, he wins. Period.Not true.
Obama will not carry Pennsylvania. That’s a pantload.
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