As I have thought all along, if McCain looks healthy and campaigns vigorously, the Obama negatives will make enough independents and moderate Dems go into the last few days and think McCain is the safer choice.
Those on the right upset with McCain will turn out to vote against Obama.
If the youth vote shows up, McCain wins a squeaker, if they stay home he wins solidly.
The “youth vote” is actually the “youth posturing”, in effect a symbolic “vote of confidence” delivered to Obama as payment for the personal rapport he has managed to strike with them, and that may be as far as it goes, in practical terms—as election day nears, the Media becomes more measured and ambivalent in their support of BHO, the resolve of Obama supporters weakens and begins to come apart, and many of them stay home,rather than vote for McCain. This will happen because the kind of artificial “enthusiasm” that has been carrying Obama along on the “crest” of the proverbial wave is already hitting the shore and dissipating......It will recede and deflate as quickly as it developed. It is an artificial phenomenon.
That’s what happens to artificial phenomena.
McCain in a near landslide, with 60% if the popular vote.