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Food prices are rocketing all over Europe
The Telegraph ^ | 5/31/2008 | David Blair

Posted on 05/30/2008 7:28:51 PM PDT by bruinbirdman

Bulgarian bus drivers are going on strike. Italian fishermen will soon down tools. Lorry drivers have sealed off oil refineries across France. Even the fishermen of Belgium, hitherto a relatively obscure force in European politics, are due to mass in Brussels.

It's not just us. All over Europe, the rocketing cost of food and fuel is straining family budgets, stirring unrest and shaking governments. David Blair examines the roots and the impact of a widening crisis.


Shoppers in Madrid strain for 20,000kg of free fish distributed by fishermen
protesting against rising fuel prices

It was dawn outside a Paris supermarket and President Nicolas Sarkozy, joined by his wife, Carla, mingled with the early shoppers. The presidential couple had arrived at Rungis, France's biggest chain store, the moment the doors opened.

Mr Sarkozy's up-with-the-lark excursion from the Élysée was designed to make good his tributes on the campaign trail to "the France that gets up early and asks only to live from the fruits of its labour".

But the president was taken aback by the prices he encountered. "Everything is really too expensive!" he exclaimed to a florist.

Across Europe, millions of shoppers are echoing Mr Sarkozy's words. Anyone outraged by the cost of a trip to Tesco or Sainsbury's – or the price of filling their car – should know that they are not alone: the same bewilderment and anxiety is sweeping the Continent.

Bulgarian bus drivers are going on strike. Italian fishermen will soon down tools. Lorry drivers have sealed off oil refineries across France. Even the fishermen of Belgium, hitherto a relatively obscure force in European politics, are due to mass in Brussels.

This week, France's ever-troublesome fishermen, incensed by the rising fuel prices that threaten their livelihoods, blockaded Cherbourg. They made ingenious use of an old trick from the Napoleonic wars, draping underwater lines across the port's entrance to snarl keels or propellers. This time, the effect was to keep the British in rather than out: dozens of yachts were trapped inside the harbour.

A study conducted by the French finance ministry has found that supermarket prices have risen by up to 18 per cent in the past two months alone. Butter, pasta and milk have all gone up by nine per cent since last year. If you buy a baguette on the streets of Paris, the price will have risen by anything from five to eight per cent.

"Why would the baker sell his bread at one euro if he knows that at 1.2 euros he will sell as many?" asks Jocelyn Lohezic, a 39-year-old who makes around 1,000 baguettes every Saturday. "Prices will keep rising, that's for sure."

Across the Rhine, things are much the same. Last year, Germans paid the equivalent of 80p for a litre of milk. Today, they will have little change left from £1. A loaf of bread has suddenly risen from £1 to £1.20. Eggs are up by the same margin. Only meat, with a price increase of a mere three per cent, has risen alongside the general rate of inflation. Every other category of food has comfortably outpaced Germany's retail price rises.

"For me it just makes a big difference when I get to the checkout," says Melanie Müller, a 21-year-old florist in Berlin. "Dairy products in particular have gone up, so I buy more fruit. But those prices have risen by more than 15 per cent too."

Miss Muller's worries are shared by millions more shoppers down in Spain. Nowhere in the entire eurozone has seen bigger increases in food prices: the latest estimate suggests that flour and milk have risen by anything from 23 per cent to 40 per cent in the last year, and eggs by 11 per cent.

All this has pushed Spain's overall rate of inflation above four per cent – the highest level for a decade and double the European Central Bank's target.

The concerns of ordinary families with falling living standards were central to Spain's general election campaign in March. Mariano Rajoy, the conservative opposition leader, seized on rising food prices to attack the Socialist government's economic record. The prime minister, José Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, won re-election anyway, only to face a looming economic crisis. Rising food and fuel prices are combining with a tumbling property market to bring Spain's economy to a shuddering halt. Economic growth is now slower than at any time in the past 13 years.

Politicians across Europe are feeling the heat from this sudden outbreak of a distinctly Seventies variety of economic sickness. As a result, the world is about to witness a series of crisis meetings. First on the list is an emergency summit in Rome next week, called by the UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation. After that, our ministers will go to Geneva for a World Trade Organisation gathering. The peak of activity will come in July, when Gordon Brown and President Bush join other leaders of the rich world in Japan for a G8 summit.

But they will find that the causes of this "resource crunch" are both global and complicated. Take oil prices, which now exceed $130 a barrel. The great oil crises of 1973 and 1979, which wrought havoc on Western economies and helped make Britain "the sick man of Europe", had a simple cause: big producers in the Middle East turned off the taps. First, Saudi Arabia led an Arab oil embargo in 1973 designed to punish the West for supporting Israel during the Yom Kippur war. Six years later, the Iranian Revolution threw another immense spanner in the works.

This time, there is no problem with supply. All the Middle Eastern producers, including Iran, are pumping out their oil as fast as possible. While America wants Saudi Arabia to churn out even more, the truth is that the Arabs are selling us their oil about as quickly as they can. And with prices this high, they are enjoying a windfall worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

Instead, the central issue is rapidly rising demand. China and India, with a combined population exceeding two billion – or one third of humanity – are transforming the global economic landscape. Both are enjoying sustained booms, with China's economy growing by at least 10 per cent a year and India's achieving eight per cent.

Neither of these giants has much oil of their own. Both are buying as much of the stuff as they can on the global markets – and this has pushed up the price.

As for food prices, the underlying causes are similar. Paul Roberts, the author of The End of Food, which presents a disturbing picture of humanity running down its essential resources, says that the world has entered "a perfect storm of natural and political disasters" – "drought in Australia, a bad crop in Canada and an overly aggressive biofuels policy in North America and the European Union".

All this has hit world food supplies. No less than 100 million tonnes of maize will be grown in America this year for the sole purpose of filling fuel tanks instead of human stomachs – refined into ethanol to keep American motorists happy. Across the world, roughly five per cent of all the cereals grown are now being used to feed cars instead of people.

But this is not as important as you might think. As with oil, the main problem is not the supply of food but massive growth in demand. Once again, the emergence of hundreds of millions of affluent Chinese and Indian consumers is the vital factor.

"Asian countries that used to have average incomes of a dollar a day are now at the two dollar threshold, which means they don't have to rely on basic grain," says Kona Haque, a commodities strategist at Macquarie bank. "They can buy a bit more meat, and add a bit more protein to their diet. That requires vast amounts of grain."

Not only are the Chinese and Indians eating more of everything, they are now buying almost as much meat as the rest of us. In China alone, 200 million tonnes of grain are being used to feed livestock to satisfy this rising demand for meat. All this food – twice as much as America uses for biofuels – is going into the stomachs of animals instead of people.

Consequently, the world has consumed more food than it has produced in each of the past three years. Emergency stocks are steadily being depleted. Once, the EU encouraged farmers to grow surpluses: the famous food mountain and milk lake were either stored or dumped on world markets at derisory prices.

But today, the Common Agricultural Policy no longer encourages surplus production. The world's remaining food stocks are being run down – by 50 million tonnes of grain last year alone.

So high food and fuel prices are probably here to stay. Unless China and India become very poor very quickly – which would require a global economic catastrophe that would have far worse consequences than today's crisis – their new spending power will keep prices high.

The only way of minimising the damage caused by this structural change is to grow more food. Partly this could be done by improving agricultural technology, or increasing fertiliser use, although the price of fertiliser is soaring, too. The other element would be to open up more land for agriculture – but that takes time. "It's a fight for acreage," says Ms Haque. "But even assuming a huge bumper crop, farmers will still have to cover their costs, so they're not going to cut their prices any time soon."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; europe; food; foodsupply; inflation
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1 posted on 05/30/2008 7:28:51 PM PDT by bruinbirdman
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To: bruinbirdman

Doesn’t sound like alot, but rice has went from .25 to 1.30 in my area. In just a few months. We won’t even go into dairy and eggs!


2 posted on 05/30/2008 7:34:26 PM PDT by Southerngl
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To: bruinbirdman

Will someone please explain to me the logic of truck drivers, for example, going on strike to protest the price of gas - as if there is a High Minister of Gas Prices who will see this and lower the prices. I mean seriously, what the hell to people who do this hope to accomplish other than showing how ignorant they are?


3 posted on 05/30/2008 7:36:31 PM PDT by frankiep (Every socialist is a disguised dictator - Ludwig von Mises)
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To: frankiep

Sounds like they want Communist rule worldwide.


4 posted on 05/30/2008 7:38:30 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: bruinbirdman

finally a cure for obesity


5 posted on 05/30/2008 7:40:39 PM PDT by Flavius (war gives peace its security)
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To: bruinbirdman

Riots are fine, just as long as its not global warming we’ll be OK.


6 posted on 05/30/2008 7:40:51 PM PDT by ElkGroveDan (The road to hell is paved with the stones of pragmatism.)
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To: eyedigress

I used to think that but now I have to wonder if they could even tell you what communism is. I can’t imagine a person being very smart if they honestly believe that something as complex as global fuel prices will somehow change because of a protest.
The only logical explanation is that they are just useful idiots.


7 posted on 05/30/2008 7:42:06 PM PDT by frankiep (Every socialist is a disguised dictator - Ludwig von Mises)
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To: bruinbirdman
Hey, nor problem. The Euros can just raise taxes on business and have the government give them food subsidies.
8 posted on 05/30/2008 7:42:09 PM PDT by Hugin (Mecca delenda est!)
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To: bruinbirdman
I thought Europe had the utopia thing a figured out.

Guess not.

9 posted on 05/30/2008 7:42:12 PM PDT by lawnguy (The function of wisdom is to discriminate between good and evil-Cicero)
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To: bruinbirdman
supermarket prices have risen by up to 18 per cent in the past two months alone.

They need to use the US method. Then they can claim that food inflation is only running at 4% per year.

[/s]
10 posted on 05/30/2008 7:42:46 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: bruinbirdman
First on the list is an emergency summit in Rome next week, called by the UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation.

Nothing like the one world socialist body trying to run the world.
11 posted on 05/30/2008 7:43:26 PM PDT by Man50D (Fair Tax, you earn it, you keep it!)
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To: frankiep

Seeking a cut in taxes?


12 posted on 05/30/2008 7:43:30 PM PDT by DeaconBenjamin
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To: frankiep
Will someone please explain to me the logic of truck drivers, for example, going on strike to protest the price of gas

The price of fuel in much of Europe is nearly all tax. American fuel taxes are minuscule in comparison.

13 posted on 05/30/2008 7:43:30 PM PDT by agere_contra
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To: frankiep

IMHO you are correct. They don’t know the difference and accept the fodder fed. Our Founders knew the difference and won. The Idiot media that feeds the “government at fault” agenda doesn’t realize their freedom falls also.


14 posted on 05/30/2008 7:46:23 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: DeaconBenjamin

The day I see Europeans protesting high taxes and their expanding nanny states is the day that I.....hell, I can’t think of anything.


15 posted on 05/30/2008 7:47:40 PM PDT by frankiep (Every socialist is a disguised dictator - Ludwig von Mises)
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To: eyedigress
Not only are the Chinese and Indians eating more of everything, they are now buying almost as much meat as the rest of us.

Do herds of brahma cows still roam the streets in India?

16 posted on 05/30/2008 7:49:16 PM PDT by txhurl (Hirari, Owari ne" ("It's Over for Hillary, Isn't it?"))
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To: Southerngl
In the last year, I have seen price increases of 10-30% and more on common items in the grocery store.

Spam spam spam: Sales of Spam rise as consumers look to trim food costs

Thursday, May 29, 2008 9:20:52 AM ·
Food inflation is running at an annualized rate of 6.1 percent as of April, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
A box of crackers has jumped from $0.69 a year ago to $1.25. That is a tad more the annualized 6.1%

A jar of peanuts has jumped from $1.99 to $2.50. That is about 24%, which causes me to wonder what items made up that annyalized 6.1% number.

A box of powered milk mix has jumped from $3.99 to $6.99. According to my calculator, that is a 75% increase.

Fruit pies, from $0.25 to $0.33 to $0.40.

17 posted on 05/30/2008 7:51:35 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: Man50D

First on the list is an emergency summit in Rome next week, called by the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation.

I wonder how many children will be molested at this meeting.


18 posted on 05/30/2008 7:52:30 PM PDT by shaft29 (Just your typical black woman.)
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To: agere_contra
The price of fuel in much of Europe is nearly all tax. American fuel taxes are minuscule in comparison.

Oh, believe me I know. I was stationed in Germany for seven years, and my fiance is German and still lives there. About $8-$9 a gallon is what they pay over there. And I'll be damned but the blame for that isn't placed so much on taxes, or the growing influence of China and India. No, it is placed on capitalism and Bush/USA for being in Iraq.

19 posted on 05/30/2008 7:53:32 PM PDT by frankiep (Every socialist is a disguised dictator - Ludwig von Mises)
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To: txflake
Not only are the Chinese and Indians eating more of everything, they are now buying almost as much meat as the rest of us.

Not my words, but I'm sure they do. :^)

20 posted on 05/30/2008 7:55:22 PM PDT by eyedigress
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