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Election 2008: Arkansas Presidential Election Arkansas: McCain 57% Obama 33%
Rasmussen ^ | May 15 ,2008 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 05/15/2008 8:15:59 PM PDT by Red Steel

In Arkansas, John McCain leads Barack Obama by twenty-four percentage points. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows McCain attracting 57% of the vote while Obama earns 33%.

McCain build this margin by winning 92% of the Republican vote, 38% support from Democrats, and leading Obama by twenty-four percentage points among unaffiliated voters.

McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of Arkansas voters, Obama by 38%.

In March, McCain had a twenty-nine percentage point lead over Obama.

Rasmussen Markets shows that Republicans are currently given a 73.0 % chance of winning the Six Electoral College Votes from Arkansas this fall. George W. Bush won the state by six percentage points in Election 2000 and by ten points in 2004. At the time this poll was released, Arkansas was rated as “Likely Republican" in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Arkansas is one of the few states where Hillary Clinton could absolutely make the case that she is more electable. Clinton leads McCain by fourteen percentage points (53% to 39%). However, this is not enough to change the outcome of the Democratic Presidential Nomination process. As Rasmussen Reports noted last week, the Democratic race is effectively over and Obama will be the party’s nominee.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Arkansas voters say that the economy is the top voting issue in Election 2008.

Most—54%--favor the federal gas tax holiday as proposed in slightly different forms by McCain and Clinton. Just 36% oppose that plan. Nationally, voters are evenly divided on the question.

Just 32% believe the federal government needs more revenue to fund important national programs. Nationally, that figure is 37%. In Arkansas, 57% say the federal government does not need any more money.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Arkansas voters are worried that the next President will raise taxes so much that it harms the economy. A separate survey recently found that 60% of voters nationwide believe that tax hikes are bad for the economy.

Thirty-one percent (31%) are worried that the next President will cut taxes so much that it harms important government programs.

By a 64% to 17% margin, Arkansas voters oppose an increase in the capital gains tax. Nationwide, 65% oppose a capital gains tax hike.

Forty-two percent (42%) of Arkansas voters own at least $5,000 worth of stocks, bonds, and mutual funds.

Four years ago, George W. Bush won 54% of the vote in Arkansas. Today, just half that number—27%--say he is doing a good or an excellent job. Fifty-five percent (55%) say the President is doing a poor job.

Sixty-three percent (63%) say Governor Mike Beebe is doing a good or excellent job while just 11% give him poor marks.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; ar2008; mccain; obama
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1 posted on 05/15/2008 8:15:59 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; Norman Bates; LdSentinal; BillyBoy; Impy; ...

Based on this poll, there’s no need to choose Mike Huckabee as the running mate.


2 posted on 05/15/2008 8:17:07 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Karl Marx supported free trade. Does that make him a free market conservative?)
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To: Red Steel

As a staunch anti-Klintoon person (I had a dream the movie “The Devils Advocate” was about Bill) I thought it was IMPOSSIBLE for the DNC to find somebody less appealing than Shrillery, but did they prove me wrong.


3 posted on 05/15/2008 8:19:32 PM PDT by BipolarBob (Yes I backed over the vampire but I swear I didn't see it in my rearview mirror.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Amen...


4 posted on 05/15/2008 8:30:10 PM PDT by Gator113 (Obama is a member of the Far Wright Conspiracy.......)
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To: Red Steel

No offense but I couldn’t give a rat’s tootsie which of the 3 dwarf’s is leading in any poll. When the reported choice is between “phony”, “bitchy”, and “elderly” I just get “cranky”, “dopey”, and “grouchy” .


5 posted on 05/15/2008 8:31:00 PM PDT by crazyshrink (Being uninformed is one thing, choosing ignorance is just plain liberal..)
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To: Red Steel

“McCain build this margin by winning 92% of the Republican vote, 38% support from Democrats, and leading Obama by twenty-four percentage points among unaffiliated voters.”

Just FYI, this is why McCain is campaigning as he is...you have a state Bush won heavily in 04 and is in the dumps now.

And Freepers wonder why McCain is distancing himself from Bush?

Now, I don’t like him dissing W any more than anyone else...but first he has to defeat Neville Hobama...or it’s all academic.


6 posted on 05/15/2008 8:33:08 PM PDT by Keith (ANY REPUBLICAN in 2008 -- it's about defeating lefty surrender-monkeys like Obama)
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To: Keith

Thirty-eight percent support from Democrats is huge.


7 posted on 05/15/2008 8:37:34 PM PDT by popdonnelly (Concerned about the price of arugula)
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To: Red Steel

So much for the ‘rats Southern Strategy.......


8 posted on 05/15/2008 8:39:08 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: Keith

However, we gain nothing from a McCain win that is different from a Dim win.


9 posted on 05/15/2008 8:40:50 PM PDT by Ingtar (Haley Barbour 2012, Because he has experience in Disaster Recovery. - ejonesie22)
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To: Red Steel

McCamnesty needs to do something conservative before I decided he’s worth voting for. He can’t be strong on The War on Terror and be weak on immigration.


10 posted on 05/15/2008 8:44:56 PM PDT by pulaskibush (USA, founded by tolerant Christians. USSR, founded by intolerant Secularist.)
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To: Red Steel
Arkansas: McCain 57% Obama 33%

Is anyone surprised by this?
11 posted on 05/15/2008 8:56:13 PM PDT by no dems (Moderate me if you like; I'm NOT Politically Correct in the least. PC is Fascism.)
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To: Intolerant in NJ
So much for the ‘rats Southern Strategy.......

The 'rats Southern Strategy is aimed at Virginia and North Carolina, not the mid South.

VA and NC have large numbers of African Americans and upscale, over-educated whites, Obama's core constituency. The numbers aren't quite there, but Obama can almost win both states by getting 90%+ out of the Af-Am community and solidly winning NOVA and the Research Triangle respectively. He'll need another gimmick if the "Southern Strategy" is to actually work.

Now the Obama camp has talked about putting other states in the South in play, by relying on record African-American turnout. Frankly, I think that's BS. Obama could hurt down-ticket Repubs, however, if he can mobilize record black turnout.

12 posted on 05/15/2008 9:02:30 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: Red Steel
Forty-seven percent (47%) of Arkansas voters say that the economy is the top voting issue in Election 2008.

By November, add anothr $0.50 or so to gas prices and another 20-30% to food costs, mix in significantly higher summer and fall utility bills, and that 47% of the voters who say that the economy is the top voting issue will jump to 57% or higher. And that will not bode well for McCain and the GOP.


13 posted on 05/15/2008 9:05:42 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: crazyshrink

LOL!!! I’m sharing the same sentiments. I just want to see “bitchy” lose.


14 posted on 05/15/2008 9:07:10 PM PDT by harpo11
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To: Alter Kaker

The Rats will abandon the south...even with Edwards....they don’t need it. Ohio is all they need & Obama will look to Casey or Baye.


15 posted on 05/15/2008 9:10:41 PM PDT by Archie Bunker on steroids (Hillary Supporters ....... Fags and Hags)
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To: Clintonfatigued

McCain wins AR by a near 2-to-1 margin, but yet we’ll only hold that 1 House seat and nothing else, all thanks to Huckster butchering the AR GOP.


16 posted on 05/15/2008 9:10:43 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: no dems

The CURRENT Electoral-vote.com election predictor is:

Electoral Votes: Obama 237 McCain 290

And that doen’t include updates from last week.

Don’t buy into the MSM drivel, this could be a Dem disaster of HISTORIC proportions. Even CALIFORNIA has recently shifted to “WEAK DEM” in an Obama MCCain matchup.


17 posted on 05/15/2008 9:14:02 PM PDT by tcrlaf (VOTE DEMOCRAT-You'll look great in a Burka!)
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To: Alter Kaker
...Southern Strategy...there was talk a few days of the possible need for McCain to put Huckabee on the ticket as VP to blunt Obama's chances of taking away what should be easy southern wins for the 'pubs - based on how well Obama did against Hillary in the primaries in a number of states in the region - doesn't seem like much of a threat to me.........
18 posted on 05/15/2008 9:19:22 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: Clintonfatigued
Rasmussen Markets shows that Republicans are currently given a 73.0 % chance of winning the Six Electoral College Votes from Arkansas this fall.

Only a 73% chance? What the hell? The DUmmies must be hitting this market hard.
19 posted on 05/15/2008 9:22:40 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Ingtar
However, we gain nothing from a McCain win that is different from a Dim win.

That's not true. McCain is far from perfect. But I refuse to make the perfect the enemy of the mediocre.
20 posted on 05/15/2008 9:25:06 PM PDT by Antoninus (Siblings are the greatest gift parents give their children.)
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