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Fullblown Panic
kunstler.com ^ | January 21, 2008 | James H. Kunstler

Posted on 01/21/2008 7:12:51 PM PST by B-Chan

[CAUTION: CONTAINS VULGAR LANGUAGE]

Knees knocked last week from sea to shining sea as the shape-shifting monster of economic reality cut a swathe of destruction through the markets and financial ranks. The exact nature of this giant beast still remained largely concealed in a fog of accounting gambits, policy blusters, and reporting dodges, but a few intrepid scouts who glimpsed the behemoth up close said it looked like Godzilla with Herbert Hoover's face.

George W. Bush tried to appease the beast by offering each American adult the dollar equivalent of half a month's mortgage payment -- with the exhortation to drive forthwith to the nearest WalMart and blow it on salad shooters and plasma TV's -- but Hooverzilla just laughed at the offering and pounded the equity markets further into the dust of loss, while the "bank-like" guardians of wealth lay in the drainage ditches bleeding from their ears and eyes.

My favorite moment was seeing Treasury Secretary Paulson and one of his fellow shaved-head deputies at a press conference rostrum frantically trying to calm the news media rabble like a couple of extraplanetary high priests from a Star Trek episode -- the batteries having run down in their laser wands, and their incantations ("liquidity! liquidity!) veering into mystifying glossolalia.

I resort to such admitted extreme hyperbole because it may be the only language that an infotainment-drunk society can still process in the face of an epochal calamity that will transform the lush terms of everyday life as we've known it into something like a bleak surrealist landscape in the manner of Tanguy. That crashing sound out there is the armature of confidence needed to support an economy based on faith that borrowed money will be paid back. It's as simple as that. (Doesn't seem so exciting now, does it?)

The United States is so broke, its people at every level from the Federal Reserve on down don't know whether to shit or go blind. The homeowners cringing in the media rooms of their 5000-square-foot personal family resorts don't know how long they can stay put microwaving pepperoni hot pockets with the default clock ticking. The mortgage "servicers" don't know how they will persuade interested parties like, say, the Illinois State Cafeteria Workers' Pension Fund (holder of X-amount of mortgage-backed securities underwritten by, say, Merrill Lynch or Deutsche Bank) to foreclose on properties scattered everywhere from Key West to Bainbridge Island -- or if there is actually any legal mechanism known to man that would make it possible to "work out" the sliced-and-diced collateral. The millions of maxed-out credit card holders and the issuers of their plastic are stuck together paddling a leaky tub in a sea of troubles every bit as wide, deep, and polluted as the one the mortgage junkies and their enablers are sinking in. The developers of malls, office parks, and power centers are weeping into their filing cabinets as the harsh daylight of insolvency stops the orgy of "consumption" and the retail tenants pack up their unsellable goodies for the liquidators, and the rent checks stop arriving in the mail, and the notes on this mall and that mall enter the eerie realm of "non-performance." And, of course, there are the genius wonder boyz and Wall Street playerz whose algorithms and turpitudes underwrote the script of this horror show -- for all I know they'll end up laughing into sugary skull drinks on a beach in the Cayman Islands, or doing Chinese fire drills in federal prison (or simply ass-fucked on the granite countertops of their Tribecca aeries by mobs of angry, repossessed, swindled former American dreamers pouring into Manhattan from the tract house dormitories of New Jersey and Long Island).

There's a lot to be concerned about out there. I don't mean to be too cute about it. But, as the master once said, nothing is funnier than unhappiness.

A whole closet full of "other shoes" is now waiting to be dropped. Surely the biggest clodhoppers in the closet belong to the hedge funds, representing trillions and trillions of dollar-denominated "positions" which, however hallucinatory, had previously yielded enough real "money" year-by-year to keep all the realtors and Humvee dealers in the Hamptons goose-stepping to Goldman Sachs's drumbeat. These "positions" can't help now from moving into counterparty crisis territory, especially as the bond insurers such as MBIA and Ambac go up in a vapor, and if that happens the damage could be so colossal globally that Stephen Hawking might have to be brought in to run the Federal Reserve.

This is going to be a rough week. Fastening your seat belts may not be enough for this ride. Better superglue yourselves to the floorboards and pray for God's mercy.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; fed; finance; fraud; markets; mortgage; paulson
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To: Slip18; B-Chan
I don't quite understand it. Really funny, the overly colorful and overly dense collection of overextended cliche metaphors and buzzwords and tough talk.

A whole closet full of "other shoes" is now waiting to be dropped.

That totally cracks me up. It's brilliant. But then on his website, he seems to be serious about it. Maybe he's like George Noory, who just tells ghost stories, but is ostensibly serious about it.

The markets change like the weather.

Thanks, B-Chan.

121 posted on 01/22/2008 1:48:42 AM PST by FreePoster
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122 posted on 01/22/2008 1:49:20 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo (Enough has been said already. The RINO takeover is almost complete. It is what it is.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
"We went down in Japan by nearly 752 today:" to about 12,570

How long has it been since Nikkei 39,000? And I understand there was even a quarter or two of +GDP in the last 15 years.

yitbos

123 posted on 01/22/2008 2:28:18 AM PST by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds. - Ayn Rand")
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To: Squantos

Wow...this is what we’ve been watching! This was predictable, and it’s happening now.


124 posted on 01/22/2008 5:33:23 AM PST by hiredhand (My kitty disappeared. NOT the rifle!)
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To: milwguy
Her Thighness Hillary II proposed hiring ‘hundreds’ of young people to install these new fangled solar panels, thus saving us from global warming, and rescuing the economy. Why should ‘We The People; be frightened when we have leadership like that waiting in the wings?>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Then we can also get the army and navy to help, by having our military ships transport the solar panels from China and Korea, and USAF choppers to deliver them on site. What a great idea! We finally can make some good use of the military!I wonder how long it will take to complete the amalgamation of our military with the Peace Corps! Semper Fi to "It Takes a Village."

LOL.

And then we can get everyone enthusiastic for the cause be getting rid of don't ask don't tell!The fudge packing nation! Who needs a rifle when you can have a riffle?

Squawk 10-4.

125 posted on 01/22/2008 5:45:51 AM PST by Candor7 (Fascism? All it takes is for good men to say nothing.)
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To: Mariner
To reduce this GENUINE crisis to a partisan political jab simply shows your ignorance.

I'll take that; I may not know enough to speak intelligently about the economy. You might have a thing or two to learn about civility, though.

I am certain that the credit crisis is real. I only contend that mentioning the word "recession" in every mainstream media report is intended to have a deleterious effect on the electorate, especially given that we're still enjoying economic growth.

The key to avoiding a panic is to not panic.

126 posted on 01/22/2008 6:18:06 AM PST by TonyInOhio (FDR got this right, at least: The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.)
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To: B-Chan

Carnage and bloodshed in about 7 minutes...


127 posted on 01/22/2008 6:20:04 AM PST by ovrtaxt (In my fantasy world, the Dems run a Zell Miller/ Lieberman ticket...)
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To: hiredhand

Yep..........but remember by definition a recession is two (2) negative quarters in succession as ole Neil Cavuto stated this AM.

That’s all the sugar coating I can see on this fiscal goat rope.....(no pun intended :o)


128 posted on 01/22/2008 11:47:15 AM PST by Squantos (Be polite. Be professional. But, have a plan to kill everyone you meet. ©)
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To: Squantos

Agreed! We’ll just sit and watch! Keep me posted if you run across anything noteworthy. :-)


129 posted on 01/22/2008 12:50:40 PM PST by hiredhand (My kitty disappeared. NOT the rifle!)
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To: hiredhand

Fred Quit .........:o(


130 posted on 01/22/2008 12:53:19 PM PST by Squantos (Be polite. Be professional. But, have a plan to kill everyone you meet. ©)
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To: Squantos
Well. It doesn't change what we have to do, but only rather the knowlege of the very likely outcome. :-)

I'll pencil in Eaker... what about you?! :-)
131 posted on 01/22/2008 2:13:25 PM PST by hiredhand (My kitty disappeared. NOT the rifle!)
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To: hiredhand

I think we ALL need to write in Fred or Hunter and send a big ole fat FU in November to the MSN , their handlers and their BS social experimentation reindeer games of manipulating this nation with hate, heresy and handouts in trade for sedition and subversion of our constitutional freedoms, our republic, our nations citizens fiscal security and our way of life in these United States.

The promised RAT’n RINO quick , gimmie, I want, lets go sugar high won’t fly this time.....or next.

Doom on em !

Write in FRED/HUNTER 08.


132 posted on 01/22/2008 2:48:51 PM PST by Squantos (Be polite. Be professional. But, have a plan to kill everyone you meet. ©)
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To: Squantos
It's "interesting" (if that's even the correct adjective to use in this instance) that you should say this....because I was thinking the SAME thing.

We (me and my clan) can write in Thompson/Hunter 08 and live with ourselves. Consider it DONE!
133 posted on 01/22/2008 3:58:49 PM PST by hiredhand (My kitty disappeared. NOT the rifle!)
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To: Blue_Ridge_Mtn_Geek; nicmarlo; Borax Queen

Very considerate of you to post those links.

Thanks.


134 posted on 01/22/2008 4:06:17 PM PST by Czar ( StillFedUptotheTeeth@Washington)
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To: Czar; Blue_Ridge_Mtn_Geek; nicmarlo; Borax Queen
from: http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Anyone feeding capital to Ambac at this point probably needs to have their head examined.

I'd say that's an understatement. Thanks for bringing my attention to those links, Czar.

135 posted on 01/22/2008 4:26:55 PM PST by nicmarlo
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To: B-Chan

btrl


136 posted on 01/22/2008 5:55:40 PM PST by TigersEye (Crusty is as Crusty does.)
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To: Squantos

I’ll be doing that. And I’m not giving up my tagling which I’ve had for longer than Fred threw in his hat into the ring.


137 posted on 01/22/2008 6:57:36 PM PST by Slip18 (Fred Thompson for POTUS 2008)
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